Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Leeds United FC vs Chelsea FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Wed 3 Dec 2025 · 20:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs Chelsea FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Darren England
6 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 5.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Chelsea FC H 3–1 W
29 Nov Manchester City FC A 2–3 L
23 Nov Aston Villa FC H 1–2 L
09 Nov Nottingham Forest FC A 1–3 L
01 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 0–3 L
24 Oct West Ham United FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Leeds United FC A 1–3 L
30 Nov Arsenal FC H 1–1 D
25 Nov FC Barcelona H 3–0 W
22 Nov Burnley FC A 2–0 W
08 Nov Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 3–0 W
05 Nov Qarabag Agdam FK A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Leeds United FC Chelsea FC
#5 Position #10
9 Points 7
5 Played 5
2 / 3 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 2
7 Scored 10
3 Conceded 12
+4 GD -2
1.80 PPG 1.40
40% Win % 40%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Chelsea FC this season

Leeds United FC are 5th (9 pts). Chelsea FC are 10th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Leeds United FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chelsea FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Leeds United FC
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 2 G 1 A
Jayden Bogle 2 G
Anton Stach 1 G
Chelsea FC
Joao Pedro 3 G 3 A
Morgan Rogers 3 G 1 A
Cole Palmer 2 G 2 A
Pedro Neto 1 G
Romeo Lavia 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Leeds United FC Lineups

Chelsea FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.33 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Chelsea FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC56% Draw23% Chelsea FC21%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Chelsea FC
44%
Leeds United FC or Chelsea FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC45% Draw38% Chelsea FC17%
Actual: Leeds United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
6.5%
3 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 2
4.7%
0 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
4.3%
4 – 1
4.2%
4 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Chelsea FC covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 18% 60%
-1.5 40% — 60%
-1 40% 21% 38%
-0.5 62% — 38%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.