Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Burnley FC vs Chelsea FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
0 – 2
Full Time
Sat 22 Nov 2025 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Chelsea FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Peter Bankes
4 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 10.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov Chelsea FC H 0–2 L
08 Nov West Ham United FC A 2–3 L
01 Nov Arsenal FC H 0–2 L
26 Oct Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 3–2 W
18 Oct Leeds United FC H 2–0 W
05 Oct Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov Burnley FC A 2–0 W
08 Nov Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 3–0 W
05 Nov Qarabag Agdam FK A 2–2 D
01 Nov Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–0 W
25 Oct Sunderland AFC H 1–2 L
22 Oct AFC Ajax H 5–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Chelsea FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chelsea FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chelsea FC
Joao Pedro 3 G 3 A
Morgan Rogers 3 G 1 A
Cole Palmer 2 G 2 A
Pedro Neto 1 G
Romeo Lavia 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

Chelsea FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.98 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57 Chelsea FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC24% Draw28% Chelsea FC48%
Actual: Chelsea FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Chelsea FC
76%
Burnley FC or Chelsea FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC18% Draw48% Chelsea FC34%
Actual: Chelsea FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
11.2%
0 – 0
9.8%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
9.1%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 3
4.8%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Chelsea FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 23% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.