Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kyoto Sanga FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
6 5
5 – 4 pen
Full Time
Sun 22 Mar 2026 · 05:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kyoto Sanga FC vs Nagoya GrampusJ. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Koji Takasaki (Japan)
11 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 4.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 6–5 W
18 Mar V-Varen Nagasaki A 2–1 W
14 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–2 L
08 Mar Fagiano Okayama FC A 0–1 L
27 Feb Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 2–1 W
22 Feb Avispa Fukuoka H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar Kyoto Sanga FC A 5–6 L
18 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–1 W
14 Mar Vissel Kobe H 0–3 L
07 Mar Avispa Fukuoka A 5–1 W
01 Mar Fagiano Okayama FC A 5–6 L
21 Feb V-Varen Nagasaki H 1–3 L

Season Stats

Kyoto Sanga FC Nagoya Grampus
#8 Position #3
23 Points 31
18 Played 18
8 / 0 / 10 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
32 Scored 46
39 Conceded 44
-7 GD +2
1.28 PPG 1.72
44% Win % 56%

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
Kyoto Sanga FC this season
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Kyoto Sanga FC are 8th (23 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kyoto Sanga FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
/6
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Kyoto Sanga FC Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.95 Kyoto Sanga FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.89 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 92% + Both teams to score 88%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kyoto Sanga FC49% Draw18% Nagoya Grampus33%
Actual: Kyoto Sanga FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes88% 0% No12%
Avg goals/match: 5.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 98%
2%
± 2.5 92%
8%
± 3.5 82%
18%
± 4.5 67%
33%

Double Chance

Kyoto Sanga FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
51%
Kyoto Sanga FC or Nagoya Grampus
82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kyoto Sanga FC35% Draw31% Nagoya Grampus34%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–5 not predicted
6 – 5
Actual
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 3
5%
3 – 3
4.8%
2 – 1
3.8%
1 – 2
3.8%
4 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 4
3.6%
4 – 3
3.5%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 4
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Kyoto Sanga FC

Handicap Kyoto Sanga FC covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 12% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 15% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 15% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 12% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

Kyoto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet
6%
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
6%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.