Kyōto Sanga FC vs Vissel Kobe, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Kyōto Sanga FC

2 – 3

Full Time

Vissel Kobe

Sun 6 Oct 2024 · 05:00 UTC Sanga Stadium by KYOCERA HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 53' Daiju Sasaki

Marco Tulio 59' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Kyōto Sanga FC vs Vissel Kobe — J. League at Sanga Stadium by KYOCERA.

Kyōto Sanga FC 18 games · 23 pts (2026/27)
Vissel Kobe 18 games · 35 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Kyōto Sanga FC 10 games · Avg 3.0 goals Vissel Kobe

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-06 Kyōto Sanga FC 2–3 Vissel Kobe 2024-04-27 Vissel Kobe 0–1 Kyōto Sanga FC 2023-09-03 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Kyōto Sanga FC 2023-04-01 Kyōto Sanga FC 0–3 Vissel Kobe 2022-09-03 Kyōto Sanga FC 2–0 Vissel Kobe

Recent Form

Kyōto Sanga FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Oct	Vissel Kobe	H	2–3	L
28 Sep	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	0–2	L
22 Sep	Gamba Osaka	H	2–2	D
13 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	2–1	W
24 Aug	FC Tōkyō	H	3–0	W
17 Aug	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	5–3	W

Vissel Kobe

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Oct	Kyōto Sanga FC	A	3–2	W
28 Sep	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–0	W
22 Sep	Albirex Niigata	A	3–2	W
13 Sep	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–1	W
01 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	A	2–0	W
25 Aug	Sagan Tosu FC	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Kyōto Sanga FC		Vissel Kobe
#8	Position	#1
23	Points	35
18	Played	18
8 / 0 / 10	W / D / L	11 / 0 / 7
32	Scored	41
39	Conceded	37
-7	GD	+4
1.28	PPG	1.94
44%	Win %	61%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Kyōto Sanga FC this season

38% Clean Sheets
Vissel Kobe this season

Kyōto Sanga FC are 8th (23 pts). Vissel Kobe are 1st (35 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kyōto Sanga FC

0-15

4/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

4/4

46-60

3/2

61-75

2/8

76+

4/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Vissel Kobe

0-15

1/2

16-30

1/1

31-45

4/1

46-60

5/1

61-75

3/6

76+

7/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kyōto Sanga FC

Rafael Elias	7 G	4 A
Haruki Arai	4 G
Ryuma Nakano	2 G	1 A

Vissel Kobe

Yuya Osako	6 G
Yoshinori Muto	4 G	2 A
Ren Komatsu	3 G
Katsuya Nagato	2 G	1 A
Yuta Goke	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Kyoto Sanga FC host Vissel Kobe — let the battle begin!
5' Kyoto Sanga FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
7' Daiju Sasaki gets the nod from Vissel Kobe. He replaces Haruya Ide and will look to change the dynamic.
12' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yuta Miyamoto suffering a number of foals already.
17' Brilliant from the ! Yuya Osako makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 17.
22' Vissel Kobe come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
27' Vissel Kobe fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
32' A quiet spell here at Sanga Stadium by KYOCERA. Kyoto Sanga FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
37' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Kyoto Sanga FC and Vissel Kobe are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
42' Kyoto Sanga FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
46' Another substitution for Kyoto Sanga FC to replace Temma Matsuda by Taiki Hirato on 46 minute.
47' What a moment for Papagaio! That strike on 47 puts his side firmly in control.
52' Daiju Sasaki adds to his 0 season tally! Vissel Kobe lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
53' A meaty challenge results in booking for Daiju Sasaki on 53.
58' Kyoto Sanga FC have won 205 goals from 174 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
59' A goal from the Brazil international Marco Tulio! He fires home on 59 to make it 2-2!
59' Marco Tulio picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
64' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yuto Misao made 459 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
69' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
71' The supporters are chanting for Yuya Kuwasaki. He replaces Takahiro Ogihara on 71 minute.
72' A change in the Vissel Kobe ranks — Taisei Miyashiro exits the field as Jean Patric enters on 72.
74' A tactical swap from Kyoto Sanga FC — Daiki Kaneko on, Shimpei Fukuoka off on 74 minutes.
79' It looks surprising Kyoto Sanga FC does not make any changes. Temma Matsuda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
83' Jean Patric has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 83 minutes.
88' The 34-year-old Yoshinori Muto has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
89' Ryuho Kikuchi is replacing Ryo Hatsuse for the Vissel Kobe side.
90' A change in the Kyoto Sanga FC ranks — Yuto Misao exits the field as Murilo enters on 90.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Vissel Kobe players.

Lineups

Kyōto Sanga FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kwi-Jea Cho

Vissel Kobe Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

21
Shota Arai
22
Daiju Sasaki ↑ 7'
26
Jean Patric ↑ 72'
23
Rikuto Hirose
14
Koya Yuruki
81
Ryuho Kikuchi ↑ 89'
25
Yuya Kuwasaki ↑ 71'

Coach Takayuki Yoshida

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Marco Tulio	3
Daiju Sasaki	2
Jean Patric	2
Temma Matsuda	2
Yuya Osako	2
Koya Yuruki	2
Taichi Hara	2
Ryo Hatsuse	1

Head to Head

Kyōto Sanga FC Form

2024-10-06 Kyōto Sanga FC 2–3 Vissel Kobe L 2024-09-28 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2–0 Kyōto Sanga FC L 2024-09-22 Kyōto Sanga FC 2–2 Gamba Osaka D 2024-09-13 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–2 Kyōto Sanga FC W 2024-08-24 Kyōto Sanga FC 3–0 FC Tōkyō W 2024-08-17 Cerezo Osaka FC 3–5 Kyōto Sanga FC W

Vissel Kobe Form

2024-10-06 Kyōto Sanga FC 2–3 Vissel Kobe W 2024-09-28 Vissel Kobe 1–0 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2024-09-22 Albirex Niigata 2–3 Vissel Kobe W 2024-09-13 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-09-01 Avispa Fukuoka 0–2 Vissel Kobe W 2024-08-25 Vissel Kobe 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.81 Kyōto Sanga FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.16 Vissel Kobe xG

I would bet for: Kyōto Sanga FC or Vissel Kobe 76% + Over 2.5 goals 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kyōto Sanga FC32% Draw24% Vissel Kobe44%

Actual: Vissel Kobe win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes73% 0% No27%

Avg goals/match: 3.97

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	74%	26%
± 3.5	55%	45%
± 4.5	36%	64%

Double Chance

Kyōto Sanga FC or Draw

56%

Draw or Vissel Kobe

68%

Kyōto Sanga FC or Vissel Kobe

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kyōto Sanga FC27% Draw38% Vissel Kobe35%

Actual: Vissel Kobe win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.2%

1 – 2

7.8%

2 – 2

6.9%

2 – 1

6.5%

1 – 3

5.5%

2 – 3

Actual

0 – 2

4.5%

3 – 2

4.2%

3 – 1

3.9%

0 – 1

3.7%

2 – 0

3.2%

0 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Kyōto Sanga FC

Handicap	Kyōto Sanga FC covers	Push	Vissel Kobe covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	10%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	15%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	18%	27%
+1.5	73%	—	27%
+2	73%	14%	13%
+2.5	87%	—	13%

Clean Sheet

Kyōto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Vissel Kobe keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.