Thursday , 1 October 2026

Fagiano Okayama FC vs Kyoto Sanga FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 15 Feb 2025 · 05:00 UTC City Light Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Lucao 48' Y
Y 64' Papagaio

Overview

Match Preview

Fagiano Okayama FC vs Kyoto Sanga FC — J. League at City Light Stadium.

Head-to-Head

2
3
Fagiano Okayama FC 5 games · Avg 3.4 goals Kyoto Sanga FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Kyoto Sanga FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Fagiano Okayama FC A 0–2 L
08 Dec Tokyo Verdy H 0–0 D
30 Nov FC Machida Zelvia A 0–1 L
17 Nov Kashima Antlers H 0–0 D
09 Nov Kawasaki Frontale H 1–1 D
03 Nov Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Fagiano Okayama FC Kyoto Sanga FC
#6 Position #8
26 Points 23
18 Played 18
8 / 0 / 10 W / D / L 8 / 0 / 10
41 Scored 32
46 Conceded 39
-5 GD -7
1.44 PPG 1.28
44% Win % 44%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Kyoto Sanga FC this season

Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). Kyoto Sanga FC are 8th (23 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kyoto Sanga FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/7
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fagiano Okayama FC
Kota Kawano 3 G
Lucao 1 G 1 A
Noah Browne 1 G
Kyoto Sanga FC
Rafael Elias 5 G 3 A
Ryuma Nakano 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at City Light Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Kyoto Sanga FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' Fagiano Okayama FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Kyoto Sanga FC's shape.
  • 15' Fagiano Okayama FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' Kyoto Sanga FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 23' GOAL! Daichi Tagami scores on 23.
  • 28' With 0 assists to his name this season, Taiki Hirato is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fagiano Okayama FC.
  • 33' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 36' What composure from Takaya Kimura! The Japan international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 41' Fagiano Okayama FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Kyoto Sanga FC — Shimpei Fukuoka on, Joao Pedro Mendes off on 46 minutes.
  • 48' Controversy at the stadium! Lucao argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 53' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 58' The 27-year-old Papagaio has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 62' Time for substitution for Kyoto Sanga FC. Sota Kawasaki is replaced by Ryuma Nakano.
  • 64' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Papagaio on 64 minutes.
  • 66' Fresh legs for Fagiano Okayama FC! Kazunari Ichimi comes on to replace Takaya Kimura.
  • 71' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 73' Another change for Fagiano Okayama FC made on 73 minute. Takahiro Yanagi leaves to be changed by Kaito Abe.
  • 75' Takuji Yonemoto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Papagaio on 75 minute.
  • 80' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 85' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 89' Fresh legs for Fagiano Okayama FC! Noah Browne comes on to replace Lucao.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Patrick William. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Fagiano Okayama FC take all three points.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.22 Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Kyoto Sanga FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Fagiano Okayama FC to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fagiano Okayama FC61% Draw22% Kyoto Sanga FC17%
Actual: Fagiano Okayama FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Kyoto Sanga FC
39%
Fagiano Okayama FC or Kyoto Sanga FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Fagiano Okayama FC46% Draw40% Kyoto Sanga FC14%
Actual: Fagiano Okayama FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
7%
3 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.4%
4 – 1
3.9%
4 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC

Handicap Fagiano Okayama FC covers Push Kyoto Sanga FC covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 19% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 22% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
Kyoto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.