Thursday , 1 October 2026

Kyoto Sanga FC vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 5 Jul 2025 · 10:00 UTC Sanga Stadium by KYOCERA HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kyoto Sanga FC vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Sanga Stadium by KYOCERA.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul Albirex Niigata H 2–1 W
28 Jun Gamba Osaka H 3–1 W
21 Jun Kashiwa Reysol A 3–3 D
31 May FC Tokyo H 3–0 W
25 May Tokyo Verdy A 0–1 L
17 May Yokohama F.Marinos A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–2 L
29 Jun FC Machida Zelvia H 0–4 L
25 Jun Kawasaki Frontale A 1–3 L
21 Jun Avispa Fukuoka A 2–3 L
15 Jun Yokohama F.Marinos H 1–0 W
31 May Nagoya Grampus A 0–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Kyoto Sanga FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kyoto Sanga FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/7
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kyoto Sanga FC
Rafael Elias 5 G 3 A
Ryuma Nakano 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65 Kyoto Sanga FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kyoto Sanga FC53% Draw25% Albirex Niigata22%
Actual: Kyoto Sanga FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Kyoto Sanga FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
47%
Kyoto Sanga FC or Albirex Niigata
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kyoto Sanga FC35% Draw46% Albirex Niigata19%
Actual: Kyoto Sanga FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Kyoto Sanga FC

Handicap Kyoto Sanga FC covers Push Albirex Niigata covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Kyoto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.