Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 1 Feb 2025 · 17:45 UTC The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park 5,661 HT 45' · FT 45'
Marley Watkins 72' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United FCPremier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee David Dickinson
  • Assistant 1 Jonathan Bell (Scotland)
  • Assistant 2 Dougie Potter

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb Dundee United FC H 1–0 W
25 Jan Heart of Midlothian FC A 2–3 L
08 Jan Motherwell FC H 0–0 D
05 Jan Ross County FC H 0–1 L
02 Jan St. Mirren FC H 2–0 W
29 Dec Hibernian FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb Kilmarnock FC A 0–1 L
26 Jan Rangers FC H 1–3 L
11 Jan St. Mirren FC A 1–0 W
08 Jan Celtic FC A 0–2 L
05 Jan Heart of Midlothian FC H 0–1 L
02 Jan Dundee FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Dundee United FC
#11 Position #7
28 Points 40
33 Played 33
6 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 9 / 13 / 11
37 Scored 45
65 Conceded 54
-28 GD -9
0.85 PPG 1.21
18% Win % 27%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Dundee United FC are 7th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Kilmarnock FC and Dundee United FC has kicked off!
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' Kevin Holt is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kilmarnock FC tonight.
  • 20' A quiet spell here at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park. Dundee United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 25' Dundee United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
  • 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 32' Another change for Kilmarnock FC made on 32 minute. Brad Lyons leaves to be changed by Liam Polworth.
  • 37' Both keepers have barely been tested. Kilmarnock FC and Dundee United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 42' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Kilmarnock FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 47' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 47 minutes.
  • 50' That is a card for Dundee United FC. Emmanuel Adegboyega will be fuming at that decision.
  • 55' Time for substitution for Kilmarnock FC. Kyle Magennis is replaced by Robbie Deas.
  • 60' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 65' With 0 assists to his name this season, Bruce Anderson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Dundee United FC.
  • 68' It’s gonna be a card for Danny Armstrong.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Bruce Anderson. He replaces Danny Armstrong on 71 minute.
  • 72' GOAL! Marley Watkins fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 77' The referee calls foul for Will Ferry. He receives a card.
  • 82' Kilmarnock FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 87' Supporters expect more eagerness from Declan Gallagher, as he is very good at scoring at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.4 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Dundee United FC xG
I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC or Dundee United FC 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC45% Draw27% Dundee United FC28%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Dundee United FC
55%
Kilmarnock FC or Dundee United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC29% Draw48% Dundee United FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 0
9.2%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Dundee United FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Dundee United FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.