Saturday , 14 November 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 1 Feb 2025 · 17:45 UTC The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park 5,661 HT 45' · FT 45'
Marley Watkins 72' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee David Dickinson
  • Assistant 1 Jonathan Bell (Scotland)
  • Assistant 2 Dougie Potter
7 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 14.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb Dundee United FC H 1–0 W
25 Jan Heart of Midlothian FC A 2–3 L
08 Jan Motherwell FC H 0–0 D
05 Jan Ross County FC H 0–1 L
02 Jan St. Mirren FC H 2–0 W
29 Dec Hibernian FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb Kilmarnock FC A 0–1 L
26 Jan Rangers FC H 1–3 L
11 Jan St. Mirren FC A 1–0 W
08 Jan Celtic FC A 0–2 L
05 Jan Heart of Midlothian FC H 0–1 L
02 Jan Dundee FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Dundee United FC
#12 Position #6
9 Points 17
13 Played 12
2 / 3 / 8 W / D / L 4 / 5 / 3
13 Scored 17
29 Conceded 17
-16 GD +0
0.69 PPG 1.42
15% Win % 33%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
Dundee United FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (9 pts). Dundee United FC are 6th (17 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/4
31-45
3/8
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/3
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Dundee United FC
0-15
4/4
16-30
2/4
31-45
7/1
46-60
–/4
61-75
1/4
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
Greg Kiltie 3 G
Joe Hugill 2 G 2 A
Michael Schjonning-Larsen 2 G
Jason Holt 1 G
Dundee United FC
Jesse Randall 3 G 3 A
Zac Sapsford 3 G
Lyall Cameron 2 G 3 A
Will Ferry 1 G 1 A
Lachlan Rose 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Kilmarnock FC and Dundee United FC get this one started.
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Danny Armstrong is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Dundee United FC.
  • 10' Dundee United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' Dundee United FC come into this ranked 3 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 20' Kilmarnock FC currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 25' A quiet spell here at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park. Dundee United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Emmanuel Adegboyega, as he is very good at scoring at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 32' Fresh legs for Kilmarnock FC! Liam Polworth comes on to replace Brad Lyons.
  • 37' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 42' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 47' It looks like no one’s ball. Kilmarnock FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 50' It’s gonna be a card for Emmanuel Adegboyega.
  • 55' The Kilmarnock FC bench stirs into life. Kyle Magennis is withdrawn and Robbie Deas gets his opportunity.
  • 60' Kilmarnock FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 65' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Kilmarnock FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 68' Danny Armstrong was booked on 68.
  • 71' Kilmarnock FC ring the changes. Danny Armstrong has done his job and it is now time for Bruce Anderson to step up.
  • 72' What a strike from Marley Watkins! The score is 1-0.
  • 77' Poor challenge from Will Ferry. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 82' It’s high time Jim Goodwin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 87' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kyle Magennis suffering a number of foals already.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Kilmarnock FC 1-0 Dundee United FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 Dundee United FC xG
I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC or Dundee United FC 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC40% Draw27% Dundee United FC33%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Dundee United FC
60%
Kilmarnock FC or Dundee United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC24% Draw48% Dundee United FC28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
9.9%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
3.7%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Dundee United FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✗
Dundee United FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.