Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Dundee United FC 33 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee David Dickinson
- Assistant 1 Jonathan Bell (Scotland)
- Assistant 2 Dougie Potter
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | Dundee United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jan | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Jan | Motherwell FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Jan | Ross County FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Jan | St. Mirren FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | Hibernian FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | Kilmarnock FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jan | Rangers FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Jan | St. Mirren FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Jan | Celtic FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Jan | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Jan | Dundee FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | Dundee United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #7 |
| 28 | Points | 40 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 6 / 10 / 17 | W / D / L | 9 / 13 / 11 |
| 37 | Scored | 45 |
| 65 | Conceded | 54 |
| -28 | GD | -9 |
| 0.85 | PPG | 1.21 |
| 18% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Dundee United FC are 7th (40 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Kilmarnock FC and Dundee United FC has kicked off!
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 15' Kevin Holt is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kilmarnock FC tonight.
- 20' A quiet spell here at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park. Dundee United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 25' Dundee United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
- 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 32' Another change for Kilmarnock FC made on 32 minute. Brad Lyons leaves to be changed by Liam Polworth.
- 37' Both keepers have barely been tested. Kilmarnock FC and Dundee United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 42' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Kilmarnock FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 47' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 47 minutes.
- 50' That is a card for Dundee United FC. Emmanuel Adegboyega will be fuming at that decision.
- 55' Time for substitution for Kilmarnock FC. Kyle Magennis is replaced by Robbie Deas.
- 60' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 65' With 0 assists to his name this season, Bruce Anderson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Dundee United FC.
- 68' It’s gonna be a card for Danny Armstrong.
- 71' The supporters are chanting for Bruce Anderson. He replaces Danny Armstrong on 71 minute.
- 72' GOAL! Marley Watkins fires home to make it 1-0!
- 77' The referee calls foul for Will Ferry. He receives a card.
- 82' Kilmarnock FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 87' Supporters expect more eagerness from Declan Gallagher, as he is very good at scoring at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- The final score is 1-0.
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 23
- 4
-
8
Brad Lyons ↓ Liam Polworth 32'
-
16
Kyle Magennis ↓ Robbie Deas 55'
- 15
- 1
- 3
- 5
- 11
- 24
- 12
Bench
- 14
-
19
Bruce Anderson ↑ 71'
- 7
- 22
-
31
Liam Polworth ↑ 32'
- –
-
6
Robbie Deas ↑ 55'
- 30
- 25
Coach
Derek McInnes
Dundee United FC Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- –
- 31
- 11
- 5
- 19
- 17
- 16
- 4
- 21
Bench
- 9
- 25
- 15
- 10
- 23
- 20
- 6
- 7
- 8
Coach
Jim Goodwin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dylan Levitt | 3 |
| Kyle Lafferty | 3 |
| David Watson | 2 |
| Nicke Kabamba | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Kyle Vassell | 2 |
| Marley Watkins | 2 |
| Glenn Middleton | 1 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Dundee United FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.4
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23
Dundee United FC xG
I would bet for:
Kilmarnock FC or Dundee United FC 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kilmarnock FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Dundee United FC
55%
Kilmarnock FC or Dundee United FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 0
9.2%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | Dundee United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 20% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 18% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Dundee United FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

