Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 1 Feb 2025 · 17:45 UTC The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park 5,661 HT 45' · FT 45'
Marley Watkins 72' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee David Dickinson
  • Assistant 1 Jonathan Bell (Scotland)
  • Assistant 2 Dougie Potter
4 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 12.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb Dundee United FC H 1–0 W
25 Jan Heart of Midlothian FC A 2–3 L
08 Jan Motherwell FC H 0–0 D
05 Jan Ross County FC H 0–1 L
02 Jan St. Mirren FC H 2–0 W
29 Dec Hibernian FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb Kilmarnock FC A 0–1 L
26 Jan Rangers FC H 1–3 L
11 Jan St. Mirren FC A 1–0 W
08 Jan Celtic FC A 0–2 L
05 Jan Heart of Midlothian FC H 0–1 L
02 Jan Dundee FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Dundee United FC
#12 Position #9
5 Points 8
7 Played 7
1 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 3
6 Scored 9
15 Conceded 11
-9 GD -2
0.71 PPG 1.14
14% Win % 29%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
33% Clean Sheets
Dundee United FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). Dundee United FC are 9th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Dundee United FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
–/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
–/3
61-75
–/3
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Dundee United FC
Jesse Randall 2 G 2 A
Will Ferry 1 G 1 A
Lachlan Rose 1 G
Zac Sapsford 1 G
Emmanuel Agyei 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Kilmarnock FC have kicked off against Dundee United FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Kilmarnock FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Kilmarnock FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Kilmarnock FC and Dundee United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Brad Lyons made 386 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 32' A change in the Kilmarnock FC ranks — Brad Lyons exits the field as Liam Polworth enters on 32.
  • 37' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jim Goodwin will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 42' Danny Armstrong has been relatively quiet despite scoring 21 goals in his last 264 appearances.
  • 47' Dundee United FC come into this ranked 3 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 50' That looks like a foul for a card for Emmanuel Adegboyega.
  • 55' Kilmarnock FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Robbie Deas is hanging Kyle Magennis on the field on 55 minute.
  • 60' Kilmarnock FC is showing some good football. However, Kilmarnock FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 65' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 68' The referee calls foul for Danny Armstrong. He receives a card.
  • 71' The crowd applauds Danny Armstrong as he leaves the pitch. Bruce Anderson steps in for Kilmarnock FC.
  • 72' Against the run of play, Marley Watkins has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 77' A meaty challenge results in booking for Will Ferry on 77.
  • 82' Both keepers have barely been tested. Kilmarnock FC and Dundee United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 87' The 26-year-old Sam Dalby has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Kilmarnock FC and Dundee United FC (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 Dundee United FC xG
I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC or Dundee United FC 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC41% Draw27% Dundee United FC32%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Dundee United FC
59%
Kilmarnock FC or Dundee United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC25% Draw48% Dundee United FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Dundee United FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 19% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 20% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✗
Dundee United FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.