Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Aberdeen FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Wed 28 Dec 2022 · 19:45 UTC The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Aberdeen FCPremier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Dec Aberdeen FC H 2–1 W
23 Dec Motherwell FC A 2–2 D
17 Dec Heart of Midlothian FC A 1–3 L
12 Nov Hibernian FC H 1–0 W
09 Nov Dundee United FC A 0–4 L
04 Nov Livingston FC H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Dec Kilmarnock FC A 1–2 L
24 Dec St. Mirren FC A 1–3 L
20 Dec Rangers FC H 2–3 L
17 Dec Celtic FC H 0–1 L
12 Nov Dundee United FC H 1–0 W
08 Nov Livingston FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Aberdeen FC
#11 Position #8
28 Points 33
33 Played 33
6 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 18
37 Scored 33
65 Conceded 48
-28 GD -15
0.85 PPG 1.00
18% Win % 27%

Key Stats

22% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Aberdeen FC are 8th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Kilmarnock FC and Aberdeen FC.
  • 5' Kilmarnock FC is showing some good football. However, Kilmarnock FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Duk is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Kilmarnock FC.
  • 15' The referee has no hesitation. Jack MacKenzie is booked for Aberdeen FC — Yellow card on 15.
  • 20' Joe Wright is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kilmarnock FC so far.
  • 23' Controversy at the stadium! Hayden Coulson argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 28' Kilmarnock FC have won 271 goals from 260 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 31' A goal from the Scotland international Scott Robinson! He fires home on 31 to make it 1-0!
  • 36' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 39' The crowd applauds Hayden Coulson as he leaves the pitch. Vicente Besuijen steps in for Aberdeen FC.
  • 42' Brilliant from the ! Joe Wright makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 42.
  • 47' Ashton Taylor needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 52' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kilmarnock FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 56' The Aberdeen FC manager makes a substitution. Ryan Duncan departs to be replaced by Christian Ramirez.
  • 61' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Liam Polworth made 1 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 66' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. James Goodwin will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 71' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 76' Aberdeen FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 77' Another substitution for Aberdeen FC to replace Connor Barron by Marley Watkins on 77 minute.
  • 82' Kilmarnock FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Aberdeen FC backline.
  • 86' A change in the Kilmarnock FC ranks — Scott Robinson exits the field as Christopher Stokes enters on 86.
  • 87' Kilmarnock FC ring the changes. Rory McKenzie has done his job and it is now time for Oliver Shaw to step up.
  • 89' Fresh legs for Kilmarnock FC! Blair Alston comes on to replace Liam Polworth.
  • 90' Lewis Mayo was booked on 90.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Aberdeen FC xG
I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC or Aberdeen FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC42% Draw27% Aberdeen FC31%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Aberdeen FC
58%
Kilmarnock FC or Aberdeen FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC28% Draw46% Aberdeen FC26%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.9%
0 – 0
7.6%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Aberdeen FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.