Kawasaki Frontale vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Kawasaki Frontale

3 – 2

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Fri 13 Sep 2024 · 10:00 UTC Todoroki Athletics Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 90' Tae-hyeon Kim

Overview

Match Preview

Kawasaki Frontale vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Todoroki Athletics Stadium.

Kawasaki Frontale 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Kawasaki Frontale 16 games · Avg 2.2 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-09-13 Kawasaki Frontale 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2024-05-15 Sagan Tosu FC 5–2 Kawasaki Frontale 2023-12-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale 2023-05-07 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-08-31 Kawasaki Frontale 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Kawasaki Frontale

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Sep	Sagan Tosu FC	H	3–2	W
01 Sep	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	0–2	L
17 Aug	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	1–3	L
11 Aug	FC Tōkyō	A	3–0	W
07 Aug	Vissel Kobe	H	3–0	W
20 Jul	Kashiwa Reysol	A	3–2	W

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Sep	Kawasaki Frontale	A	2–3	L
31 Aug	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–2	L
25 Aug	Vissel Kobe	A	0–2	L
16 Aug	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	3–5	L
11 Aug	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–1	D
07 Aug	Kashima Antlers	A	0–3	L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Kawasaki Frontale this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kawasaki Frontale

0-15

2/–

16-30

–/2

31-45

5/2

46-60

4/2

61-75

1/3

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kawasaki Frontale

Marcinho	6 G	1 A
Yasuto Wakizaka	2 G	3 A
Tatsuya Ito	2 G	1 A
Lazar Romanic	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' Kawasaki Frontale have kicked off against Sagan Tosu FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
11' GOAL! Kento Tachibanada scores on 11. Assisted by Ryota Oshima
16' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
21' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
26' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
31' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
36' Kawasaki Frontale are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sagan Tosu FC's shape.
41' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
46' Kawasaki Frontale manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Shin Yamada is hanging Erison on the field on 46 minute.
50' GOAL! Tojiro Kubo fires home to make it 1-1!
55' Over 55 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
60' Kawasaki Frontale manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sota Miura is hanging Sai van Wermeskerken on the field on 60 minute.
61' Akihiro Ienaga adds to his 0 season tally! Kawasaki Frontale lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
63' The supporters are chanting for Vykintas Slivka. He replaces Shota Hino on 63 minute.
68' Kawasaki Frontale are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
69' Marcinho is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yasuto Wakizaka at the 69 minute mark.
74' The home supporters are growing impatient. Kawasaki Frontale must find a spark to ignite this game.
75' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Hiroshi Kiyotake on, Yoshiki Narahara off on 75 minutes.
80' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
81' Daiya Tono makes way for Yusuke Segawa at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kawasaki Frontale.
86' Hiroshi Kiyotake has been relatively quiet despite scoring 21 goals in his last 376 appearances.
90' Tae-hyeon Kim has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
90' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 90 minute. Vykintas Slivka leaves to be changed by Tsubasa Terayama.
Another three points for Kawasaki Frontale.

Lineups

Kawasaki Frontale Lineups

Starting XI

41
Akihiro Ienaga
14
Yasuto Wakizaka ↓ Marcinho 69'
31
Sai van Wermeskerken ↓ Sota Miura 60'
44
Cesar Haydar
17
Daiya Tono ↓ Yusuke Segawa 81'
8
Kento Tachibanada
9
Erison ↓ Shin Yamada 46'
5
Asahi Sasaki ↓ Yu Kobayashi 90'
19
So Kawahara
1
Sung-ryong Jung
10
Ryota Oshima ↓ Kota Takai 69'

Bench

11
Yu Kobayashi ↑ 90'
30
Yusuke Segawa ↑ 81'
23
Marcinho ↑ 69'
20
Shin Yamada ↑ 46'
2
Kota Takai ↑ 69'
13
Sota Miura ↑ 60'
98
Louis Thebault-Yamaguchi

Coach Toru Oniki

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Seiji Kimura
22
Cayman Togashi
6
Akito Fukuta
71
Il-kyu Park
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↓ Yuki Horigome 75'
42
Wataru Harada
27
Yoshiki Narahara ↓ Hiroshi Kiyotake 75'
24
Tojiro Kubo
18
Shota Hino ↓ Vykintas Slivka 63'
20
Tae-hyeon Kim
33
Kento Nishiya

Bench

Coach Naoyuki Iwata

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Marcinho	2
Kei Chinen	2
Leandro Damiao	2
Ayumu Yokoyama	2
Akihiro Ienaga	2
Tomoya Koyamatsu	1
Kota Takai	1
Yu Kobayashi	1

Head to Head

Kawasaki Frontale Form

2024-09-13 Kawasaki Frontale 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-09-01 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2–0 Kawasaki Frontale L 2024-08-17 Kawasaki Frontale 1–3 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2024-08-11 FC Tōkyō 0–3 Kawasaki Frontale W 2024-08-07 Kawasaki Frontale 3–0 Vissel Kobe W 2024-07-20 Kashiwa Reysol 2–3 Kawasaki Frontale W

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-09-13 Kawasaki Frontale 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-08-31 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Shonan Bellmare L 2024-08-25 Vissel Kobe 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-08-16 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 5–3 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-08-11 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2024-08-07 Kashima Antlers 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.97 Kawasaki Frontale xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.32 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kawasaki Frontale56% Draw23% Sagan Tosu FC21%

Actual: Kawasaki Frontale win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.29

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

Kawasaki Frontale or Draw

78%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

44%

Kawasaki Frontale or Sagan Tosu FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kawasaki Frontale38% Draw41% Sagan Tosu FC21%

Actual: Kawasaki Frontale win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.5%

2 – 1

9.2%

2 – 0

7.2%

1 – 0

6.7%

1 – 2

6.2%

2 – 2

3 – 1

0 – 0

5.2%

3 – 0

4.6%

0 – 1

4.2%

3 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Kawasaki Frontale

Handicap	Kawasaki Frontale covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	16%	70%
-1.5	30%	—	70%
-1	30%	21%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	14%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Kawasaki Frontale keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.