KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen, Jupiler League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen — Jupiler League .
- KAA Gent 30 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
- KV Mechelen 30 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Lothar D'Hondt
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 30 | 66 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | K. Sint-Truidense VV | 30 | 57 |
| 4 | KAA Gent | 30 | 45 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 30 | 45 |
| 6 | RSC Anderlecht | 30 | 44 |
| 7 | KRC Genk | 30 | 42 |
| 8 | Royal Standard de Liege | 30 | 40 |
| 9 | KVC Westerlo | 30 | 39 |
| 10 | Royal Antwerp FC | 30 | 35 |
| 11 | Sporting du Pays de Charleroi | 30 | 34 |
| 12 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 30 | 34 |
| 13 | SV Zulte-Waregem | 30 | 32 |
| 14 | UR La Louviere Centre | 30 | 31 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 30 | 31 |
| 16 | FC Verbroedering Dender EH | 30 | 19 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | KV Mechelen | H | 3–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | KRC Genk | A | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Feb | Cercle Brugge KSV | H | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Feb | Sporting du Pays de Charleroi | A | 3–2 | W |
| 07 Feb | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | H | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Jan | UR La Louviere Centre | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | KAA Gent | A | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Feb | SV Zulte-Waregem | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Feb | UR La Louviere Centre | A | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Feb | KRC Genk | H | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Feb | Royal Antwerp FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Feb | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| KAA Gent | KV Mechelen | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #5 |
| 45 | Points | 45 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 13 / 6 / 11 | W / D / L | 12 / 9 / 9 |
| 49 | Scored | 39 |
| 43 | Conceded | 37 |
| +6 | GD | +2 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 43% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
KAA Gent are 4th (45 pts). KV Mechelen are 5th (45 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. KV Mechelen get us underway at .
- Game over. The scoreline of 3-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
KAA Gent Lineups
KV Mechelen Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Matisse Samoise | 3 |
| Nurio Fortuna | 2 |
| Laurent Depoitre | 2 |
| Benito Raman | 2 |
| Roman Yaremchuk | 2 |
| Bill Antonio | 2 |
| Jonathan David | 2 |
| Franck Gniangbo | 2 |
Head to Head
KAA Gent Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.82
KAA Gent xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45
KV Mechelen xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: KAA Gent win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.27
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
KAA Gent or Draw
72%
Draw or KV Mechelen
53%
KAA Gent or KV Mechelen
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: KAA Gent win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6.3%
1 – 0
6.2%
0 – 0
5.4%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.7%
Asian Handicap — KAA Gent
| Handicap | KAA Gent covers | Push | KV Mechelen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 20% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
KAA Gent keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.