Saturday , 14 November 2026

KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen, Jupiler League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Jupiler Pro League · 2025-26
3 – 1
Full Time
Sun 8 Mar 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen — Jupiler League .

Match Details

  • Referee Lothar D'Hondt
7 games this season 🟨 4.9/game ⚽ 11.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar KV Mechelen H 3–1 W
01 Mar KRC Genk A 0–3 L
20 Feb Cercle Brugge KSV H 0–1 L
14 Feb Sporting du Pays de Charleroi A 3–2 W
07 Feb Oud-Heverlee Leuven H 1–3 L
30 Jan UR La Louvière Centre A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar KAA Gent A 1–3 L
28 Feb SV Zulte-Waregem H 2–1 W
22 Feb UR La Louvière Centre A 2–0 W
13 Feb KRC Genk H 2–3 L
08 Feb Royal Antwerp FC H 2–0 W
01 Feb Oud-Heverlee Leuven A 2–2 D

Season Stats

KAA Gent KV Mechelen
#3 Position #11
28 Points 12
11 Played 11
9 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 3 / 3 / 5
20 Scored 13
6 Conceded 20
+14 GD -7
2.55 PPG 1.09
82% Win % 27%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
55% Clean Sheets
KAA Gent this season
18% Clean Sheets
KV Mechelen this season

KAA Gent are 3rd (28 pts). KV Mechelen are 11th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

KAA Gent
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/–
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
KV Mechelen
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

KV Mechelen
Myron van Brederode 4 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

KAA Gent Lineups

KV Mechelen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.13 KAA Gent xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 KV Mechelen xG
I would bet for: KAA Gent to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
KAA Gent59% Draw23% KV Mechelen18%
Actual: KAA Gent win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

KAA Gent or Draw
82%
Draw or KV Mechelen
41%
KAA Gent or KV Mechelen
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
KAA Gent45% Draw41% KV Mechelen14%
Actual: KAA Gent win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.2%
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
9.2%
3 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
3.8%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
3.7%

Asian Handicap — KAA Gent

Handicap KAA Gent covers Push KV Mechelen covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 19% 60%
-1.5 40% — 60%
-1 40% 23% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

KAA Gent keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.