Thursday , 2 July 2026

KV Mechelen vs Royale Union Saint-Gilloise, Jupiler League 2025-26 CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND

Jupiler Pro League · 2025-26
Sun 12 Apr 2026 · 11:30 UTC AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne 12,049 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 45+2' Ross Sykes

Overview

Match Preview

KV Mechelen vs Royale Union Saint-GilloiseJupiler League at AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne.

Match Details

  • Referee Nicolas Laforge
  • Assistant 1 Laurent Conotte
  • Assistant 2 Vito Di Vincenzo

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 0–1 L
06 Apr KAA Gent A 1–1 D
22 Mar Club Brugge KV A 1–4 L
15 Mar RSC Anderlecht H 1–0 W
08 Mar KAA Gent A 1–3 L
28 Feb SV Zulte-Waregem H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr KV Mechelen A 1–0 W
04 Apr K. Sint-Truidense VV H 1–0 W
22 Mar K. Sint-Truidense VV A 3–1 W
14 Mar FC Verbroedering Dender EH H 2–0 W
07 Mar KRC Genk H 2–1 W
01 Mar KVC Westerlo A 0–0 D

Season Stats

KV Mechelen Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
#5 Position #1
45 Points 66
30 Played 30
12 / 9 / 9 W / D / L 19 / 9 / 2
39 Scored 50
37 Conceded 17
+2 GD +33
1.50 PPG 2.20
40% Win % 63%

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

KV Mechelen are 5th (45 pts). Royale Union Saint-Gilloise are 1st (66 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.62 KV Mechelen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
KV Mechelen21% Draw31% Royale Union Saint-Gilloise48%
Actual: Royale Union Saint-Gilloise win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 1.88
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

KV Mechelen or Draw
52%
Draw or Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
79%
KV Mechelen or Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
KV Mechelen12% Draw55% Royale Union Saint-Gilloise33%
Actual: Royale Union Saint-Gilloise win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
17.7%
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 2
11.6%
1 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
3.2%
2 – 0
2.7%
2 – 2
2.4%
0 – 4
1.5%

Asian Handicap — KV Mechelen

Handicap KV Mechelen covers Push Royale Union Saint-Gilloise covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 12% 83%
-0.5 17% 83%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 27% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 15% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet
29%
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise keeps clean sheet
54%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.