KV Mechelen vs KAA Gent, Jupiler League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Jupiler Pro League · 2025-26

KV Mechelen

1 – 1

Full Time

KAA Gent

Sat 16 Aug 2025 · 16:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

KV Mechelen vs KAA Gent — Jupiler League .

KV Mechelen 30 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
KAA Gent 30 games · 45 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Nicolas Laforge

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	30	66
2	Club Brugge KV	30	63
3	K. Sint-Truidense VV	30	57
4	KAA Gent	30	45
5	KV Mechelen	30	45
6	RSC Anderlecht	30	44
7	KRC Genk	30	42
8	Royal Standard de Liege	30	40
9	KVC Westerlo	30	39
10	Royal Antwerp FC	30	35
11	Sporting du Pays de Charleroi	30	34
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	30	34
13	SV Zulte-Waregem	30	32
14	UR La Louviere Centre	30	31
15	Cercle Brugge KSV	30	31
16	FC Verbroedering Dender EH	30	19

Head-to-Head

KV Mechelen 15 games · Avg 2.5 goals KAA Gent

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-16 KV Mechelen 1–1 KAA Gent 2025-02-07 KV Mechelen 3–3 KAA Gent 2024-09-15 KAA Gent 2–0 KV Mechelen 2024-01-19 KAA Gent 1–2 KV Mechelen 2023-08-06 KV Mechelen 0–1 KAA Gent

Recent Form

KV Mechelen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Aug	KAA Gent	H	1–1	D
09 Aug	KVC Westerlo	A	1–0	W
01 Aug	Club Brugge KV	H	2–1	W
26 Jul	SV Zulte-Waregem	A	1–1	D
16 Mar	FC Verbroedering Dender EH	H	2–1	W
08 Mar	Sporting du Pays de Charleroi	A	1–0	W

KAA Gent

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Aug	KV Mechelen	A	1–1	D
09 Aug	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	H	2–3	L
02 Aug	UR La Louviere Centre	H	1–0	W
27 Jul	K. Sint-Truidense VV	A	1–3	L
25 May	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	A	1–3	L
18 May	KRC Genk	H	1–4	L

Season Stats

KV Mechelen		KAA Gent
#5	Position	#4
45	Points	45
30	Played	30
12 / 9 / 9	W / D / L	13 / 6 / 11
39	Scored	49
37	Conceded	43
+2	GD	+6
1.50	PPG	1.50
40%	Win %	43%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

KV Mechelen are 5th (45 pts). KAA Gent are 4th (45 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

KV Mechelen Lineups

KAA Gent Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Matisse Samoise	3
Laurent Depoitre	2
Benito Raman	2
Roman Yaremchuk	2
Bill Antonio	2
Jonathan David	2
Franck Gniangbo	2
Nurio Fortuna	2

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.64 KV Mechelen xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.38 KAA Gent xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

KV Mechelen46% Draw25% KAA Gent29%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.02

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	36%	64%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

KV Mechelen or Draw

71%

Draw or KAA Gent

54%

KV Mechelen or KAA Gent

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

KV Mechelen32% Draw44% KAA Gent24%

Actual: KV Mechelen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

8.7%

1 – 2

7.3%

1 – 0

7.2%

0 – 0

6.6%

2 – 0

6.5%

2 – 2

0 – 1

5.9%

3 – 1

4.8%

0 – 2

4.6%

3 – 0

3.5%

1 – 3

3.4%

Asian Handicap — KV Mechelen

Handicap	KV Mechelen covers	Push	KAA Gent covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	13%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	20%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	17%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

KAA Gent keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.