Tuesday , 28 July 2026

KV Mechelen vs KAA Gent, Jupiler League 2025-26 CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND

Jupiler Pro League · 2025-26
1 0
Full Time
Sun 3 May 2026 · 11:30 UTC AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne HT 45' · FT 45'
Bouke Boersma 16' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

KV Mechelen vs KAA GentJupiler League at AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne.

Match Details

  • Referee Simon Bourdeaud'hui (Belgium)
  • Assistant 1 Bryan Bijnens (Belgium)
  • Assistant 2 Jonas Van Dyck (Belgium)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May KAA Gent H 1–0 W
26 Apr K. Sint-Truidense VV H 1–4 L
22 Apr Club Brugge KV A 1–6 L
18 Apr RSC Anderlecht H 1–2 L
12 Apr Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 0–1 L
06 Apr KAA Gent A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May KV Mechelen A 0–1 L
26 Apr Club Brugge KV H 0–2 L
22 Apr Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 0–0 D
19 Apr K. Sint-Truidense VV H 0–0 D
12 Apr RSC Anderlecht A 1–3 L
06 Apr KV Mechelen H 1–1 D

Season Stats

KV Mechelen KAA Gent
#5 Position #4
45 Points 45
30 Played 30
12 / 9 / 9 W / D / L 13 / 6 / 11
39 Scored 49
37 Conceded 43
+2 GD +6
1.50 PPG 1.50
40% Win % 43%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

KV Mechelen are 5th (45 pts). KAA Gent are 4th (45 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between KV Mechelen and KAA Gent is underway.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' Bill Antonio has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 223 appearances.
  • 15' KV Mechelen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 16' Bouke Boersma is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 21' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 21 minutes.
  • 26' KAA Gent come into this ranked 4 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 31' Michal Skoras, a Poland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 36' A quiet spell here at AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne. KAA Gent seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 41' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 46' Nacho Miras has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 51' It looks surprising KAA Gent does not make any changes. Therence Koudou has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 53' Poor challenge from Mathis Servais. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 58' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 61' Poor challenge from Abdelkahar Kadri. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 66' It is a cagey affair so far. KV Mechelen in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past KAA Gent's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 71' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 76' Over 76 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 79' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Leonardo Lopes on 79 minutes.
  • 84' KV Mechelen are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 89' KV Mechelen is showing some good football. However, KV Mechelen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 90' The referee shows KAA Gent player a card on 90.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for KV Mechelen players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.42 KV Mechelen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 KAA Gent xG
I would bet for: KV Mechelen or KAA Gent 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
KV Mechelen41% Draw27% KAA Gent32%
Actual: KV Mechelen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

KV Mechelen or Draw
68%
Draw or KAA Gent
59%
KV Mechelen or KAA Gent
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
KV Mechelen28% Draw46% KAA Gent26%
Actual: KV Mechelen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7.5%
2 – 0
6%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — KV Mechelen

Handicap KV Mechelen covers Push KAA Gent covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet
26%
KAA Gent keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.