Saturday , 14 November 2026

KV Mechelen vs KAA Gent, Jupiler League 2025-26 CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND

Jupiler Pro League · 2025-26
1 – 0
Full Time
Sun 3 May 2026 · 11:30 UTC AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne HT 45' · FT 45'
Bouke Boersma 16' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

KV Mechelen vs KAA Gent — Jupiler League at AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne.

Match Details

  • Referee Simon Bourdeaud'hui (Belgium)
  • Assistant 1 Bryan Bijnens (Belgium)
  • Assistant 2 Jonas Van Dyck (Belgium)
5 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 7.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May KAA Gent H 1–0 W
26 Apr K. Sint-Truidense VV H 1–4 L
22 Apr Club Brugge KV A 1–6 L
18 Apr RSC Anderlecht H 1–2 L
12 Apr Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 0–1 L
06 Apr KAA Gent A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May KV Mechelen A 0–1 L
26 Apr Club Brugge KV H 0–2 L
22 Apr Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 0–0 D
19 Apr K. Sint-Truidense VV H 0–0 D
12 Apr RSC Anderlecht A 1–3 L
06 Apr KV Mechelen H 1–1 D

Season Stats

KV Mechelen KAA Gent
#11 Position #3
12 Points 28
11 Played 11
3 / 3 / 5 W / D / L 9 / 1 / 1
13 Scored 20
20 Conceded 6
-7 GD +14
1.09 PPG 2.55
27% Win % 82%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
KV Mechelen this season
55% Clean Sheets
KAA Gent this season

KV Mechelen are 11th (12 pts). KAA Gent are 3rd (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

KV Mechelen
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
KAA Gent
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/–
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

KV Mechelen
Myron van Brederode 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. KV Mechelen is hosting KAA Gent for another epic battle.
  • 5' KV Mechelen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined KAA Gent backline.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. KV Mechelen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Frédéric Vanderbiest will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 16' GOAL! Bouke Boersma scores on 16.
  • 21' KV Mechelen are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 26' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 31' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 36' KV Mechelen are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 41' Leonardo Lopes has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 46' The energy levels are beginning to show. Frédéric Vanderbiest might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 53' Mathis Servais picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 58' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His KV Mechelen side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 61' The referee calls foul for Abdelkahar Kadri. He receives a card.
  • 66' Over 66 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 71' Davy Roef has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 104 appearances.
  • 76' KAA Gent have won 465 goals from 308 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 79' Poor challenge from Leonardo Lopes. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 84' Bill Antonio has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 89' KV Mechelen are deployed in a 3-4-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against KAA Gent's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 90' That is a card for KAA Gent. Siebe Van der Heyden will be fuming at that decision.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for KV Mechelen players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.83 KV Mechelen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63 KAA Gent xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
KV Mechelen28% Draw26% KAA Gent46%
Actual: KV Mechelen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

KV Mechelen or Draw
54%
Draw or KAA Gent
72%
KV Mechelen or KAA Gent
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
KV Mechelen14% Draw48% KAA Gent38%
Actual: KV Mechelen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13%
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 2
11%
0 – 0
10.6%
1 – 2
9.1%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 3
5.9%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
3.8%
2 – 0
2.8%
0 – 4
2.4%

Asian Handicap — KV Mechelen

Handicap KV Mechelen covers Push KAA Gent covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 12% 82%
-0.5 18% — 82%
+0.5 45% — 55%
+1 45% 25% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 17% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet
20% ✗
KAA Gent keeps clean sheet
44% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.