Spain vs Ukraine, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Spain Lineups
Ukraine Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Spain Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.69
Spain xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66
Ukraine xG
I would bet for:
Spain or Ukraine 74% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Ukraine win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Spain or Draw
63%
Draw or Ukraine
63%
Spain or Ukraine
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Ukraine win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–4 not predicted3 – 4Actual
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 0
5%
0 – 0
5%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 2
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Spain
| Handicap | Spain covers | Push | Ukraine covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 18% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 18% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Spain keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Ukraine keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.