Italy vs Ukraine, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Ukraine Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
1.43
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
Ukraine xG
I would bet for:
Italy or Ukraine 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
71%
Draw or Ukraine
57%
Italy or Ukraine
71%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.1%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 0
7.8%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Ukraine covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 22% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Ukraine keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.