Thursday , 2 July 2026

Italy vs Slovakia, 2016

League Two · 2016
Italy
4 – 1
Full Time
Slovakia
Fri 2 Sep 2016 · 22:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Italy vs Slovakia — Premier League .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Italy 2.00
Draw 3.40
Slovakia 4.33

Head-to-Head

2
1
1
Italy 4 games · Avg 3.8 goals Slovakia
Last 5 meetings
2016-09-02 Italy 4–1 Slovakia

Recent Form

Italy
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Sep Slovakia H 4–1 W
27 Aug Republic of Ireland A 3–0 W
20 Aug Iceland A 1–2 L
16 Aug Blyth Town FC H 2–1 W
13 Aug Austria H 1–1 D
06 Aug Valencia CF A 3–0 W
Slovakia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Sep Italy A 1–4 L
27 Aug Wales H 0–2 L
20 Aug SSC Napoli A 0–0 D
16 Aug Switzerland H 1–1 D
13 Aug Poland H 2–1 W
06 Aug Penistone Church FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Italy and Slovakia get this one started.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Italy Lineups

Slovakia Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
2.2 Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 Slovakia xG
I would bet for: Italy to win 63% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Italy63% Draw21% Slovakia16%
Actual: Italy win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Italy or Draw
84%
Draw or Slovakia
37%
Italy or Slovakia
79%

Half-Time Result

Italy46% Draw40% Slovakia14%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.2%
1 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.9%
3 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
4%
4 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Italy

Handicap Italy covers Push Slovakia covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 19% 58%
-1.5 42% — 58%
-1 42% 23% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Italy keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Slovakia keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.