Italy vs Poland, 2017
-
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history -
Events
-
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Poland Lineups
-
H2H
Italy Form
-
Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 41.49 Italy xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo0.85 Poland xGI would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.34Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 88% 12% ± 1.5 68% 32% ± 2.5 41% 59% ± 3.5 21% 79% ± 4.5 10% 90% Double Chance
Italy or Draw 79%Draw or Poland 48%Italy or Poland 73%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Italy win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 0 13.3%1 – 1 13.1%0 – 0 11.8%2 – 0 Actual2 – 1 8.8%0 – 1 7.1%3 – 0 5%1 – 2 5%3 – 1 4.4%2 – 2 3.8%0 – 2 3.4%3 – 2 2%Asian Handicap — Italy
Handicap Italy covers Push Poland covers -2.5 11% — 89% -2 11% 16% 74% -1.5 26% — 74% -1 26% 24% 49% -0.5 51% — 49% +0.5 80% — 20% +1 80% 13% 7% +1.5 93% — 7% +2 93% 5% 2% +2.5 98% — 2% Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet 43% ✗Poland keeps clean sheet 23% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.