Italy vs Russia, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov | Russia | H | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Nov | Republic of Ireland | H | 7–0 | W |
| 11 Nov | Portugal | A | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Oct | Northern Ireland | H | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Oct | Penistone Church FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | Czechia | A | 4–1 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Russia Lineups
H2H
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
1.77
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85
Russia xG
I would bet for:
Italy to win 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
82%
Draw or Russia
43%
Italy or Russia
75%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.1%
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 0
11.1%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
9.2%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4%
4 – 0
2.8%
0 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Russia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 18% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 24% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Russia keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.