Hungary vs Italy, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Hungary Lineups
Italy Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Hungary Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
0.76
Hungary xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Hungary or Draw
49%
Draw or Italy
79%
Hungary or Italy
72%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
14.5%
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 0
12.2%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 0
6.6%
0 – 3
5.7%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.4%
2 – 0
2.8%
0 – 4
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Hungary
| Handicap | Hungary covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 12% | 83% |
| -0.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 25% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Hungary keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.