Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Holstein Kiel vs SV Werder Bremen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 14:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 15,034 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 25' Marvin Ducksch
0–2 59' Felix Agu
0–3 90+3' Marco Grull

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs SV Werder Bremen — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
  • Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
  • Assistant 2 Fabian Maibaum
3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

2
Holstein Kiel 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals SV Werder Bremen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 0–3 L
16 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–3 L
08 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D
02 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–0 W
22 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–2 L
16 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Holstein Kiel A 3–0 W
15 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach H 2–4 L
08 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–0 W
01 Mar VfL Wolfsburg H 1–2 L
25 Feb Arminia Bielefeld A 1–2 L
21 Feb SC Freiburg A 0–5 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
SV Werder Bremen this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SV Werder Bremen
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/3
61-75
3/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SV Werder Bremen
Niclas Fullkrug 3 G
Marco Grull 2 G 3 A
Eren Dinkci 1 G
Dariusz Stalmach 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Holstein Kiel gets underway.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Finn Porath is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Holstein Kiel.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 16' The referee shows Holstein Kiel player a card on 16.
  • 21' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Keke Topp suffering a number of foals already.
  • 24' Controversy at the stadium! Nicolai Remberg argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 25' What composure from Marvin Ducksch! The Germany international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 26' Holstein Kiel receives a card for a hard tackle on 26.
  • 31' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lasse Rosenboom made 284 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' The crowd applauds Marko Ivezic as he leaves the pitch. Lewis Holtby steps in for Holstein Kiel.
  • 37' The referee calls foul for Dirk Bremser. He receives a card.
  • 42' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 47' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 52' Alexander Bernhardsson picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 57' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 59' Goal! Felix Agu scores his 6 goal in 48 matches.
  • 61' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Nicolai Remberg departs to be replaced by Benedikt Pichler.
  • 66' Nicolai Remberg has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 71' Alexander Bernhardsson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SV Werder Bremen so far.
  • 73' The SV Werder Bremen manager makes a substitution. Oliver Burke departs to be replaced by Justin Njinmah.
  • 77' It is a substitution in Holstein Kiel team. Finn Porath is replaced by Jann-Fiete Arp on 77 minute.
  • 82' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jens Stage.
  • 85' Another substitution for SV Werder Bremen to replace Jens Stage by Leonardo Bittencourt on 85 minute.
  • 89' Another substitution for SV Werder Bremen to replace Amos Pieper by Anthony Jung on 89 minute.
  • Holstein Kiel will have plenty to reflect on. SV Werder Bremen were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.05 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71 SV Werder Bremen xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel26% Draw27% SV Werder Bremen47%
Actual: SV Werder Bremen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
53%
Draw or SV Werder Bremen
74%
Holstein Kiel or SV Werder Bremen
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel18% Draw45% SV Werder Bremen37%
Actual: SV Werder Bremen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
9%
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 0
5.7%
1 – 3
5.4%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push SV Werder Bremen covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 23% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.