Sunday , 16 August 2026

Holstein Kiel vs SV Werder Bremen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 14:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 15,034 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 25' Marvin Ducksch
0–2 59' Felix Agu
0–3 90+3' Marco Grull

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs SV Werder BremenBundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
  • Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
  • Assistant 2 Fabian Maibaum
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Holstein Kiel 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals SV Werder Bremen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 0–3 L
16 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–3 L
08 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D
02 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–0 W
22 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–2 L
16 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Holstein Kiel A 3–0 W
15 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach H 2–4 L
08 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–0 W
01 Mar VfL Wolfsburg H 1–2 L
25 Feb Arminia Bielefeld A 1–2 L
21 Feb SC Freiburg A 0–5 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Holstein Kiel and SV Werder Bremen is underway.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 16' Poor challenge from Lasse Rosenboom. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 21' It is a cagey affair so far. Holstein Kiel in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past SV Werder Bremen's compact 3-5-2.
  • 24' The referee shows Holstein Kiel player a card on 24.
  • 25' A stunning finish from Marvin Ducksch — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 26' A moment of madness from Marko Ivezic on 26 minutes earns him a card. Holstein Kiel will be frustrated.
  • 31' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 35' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. Marko Ivezic is replaced by Lewis Holtby.
  • 37' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Dirk Bremser on 37 minutes.
  • 42' SV Werder Bremen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 47' Anthony Jung has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 17 appearances.
  • 52' That is a card for Holstein Kiel. Alexander Bernhardsson will be fuming at that decision.
  • 57' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 59' Brilliant from the ! Felix Agu makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 59.
  • 61' Benedikt Pichler has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nicolai Remberg on 61 minute.
  • 66' SV Werder Bremen have won 370 goals from 414 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 71' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 73' SV Werder Bremen make a change. Oliver Burke trudges off to be replaced by Justin Njinmah on 73 minutes.
  • 77' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Finn Porath departs to be replaced by Jann-Fiete Arp.
  • 82' A moment of madness from Jens Stage on 82 minutes earns him a card. SV Werder Bremen will be frustrated.
  • 85' It is a substitution in SV Werder Bremen team. Jens Stage is replaced by Leonardo Bittencourt on 85 minute.
  • 89' The whistle greets Amos Pieper as he departs to be replaced by Anthony Jung.
  • It finishes all square. Holstein Kiel and SV Werder Bremen share the spoils 0-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.05 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71 SV Werder Bremen xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel26% Draw27% SV Werder Bremen47%
Actual: SV Werder Bremen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
53%
Draw or SV Werder Bremen
74%
Holstein Kiel or SV Werder Bremen
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel18% Draw45% SV Werder Bremen37%
Actual: SV Werder Bremen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
9%
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 0
5.7%
1 – 3
5.4%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push SV Werder Bremen covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 49% 51%
+1 49% 23% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
19%
SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.