Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Holstein Kiel vs FC Augsburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 21 Dec 2024 · 14:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 14,830 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lasse Rosenboom 12' 1–1
Phil Harres 32' 2–1
Phil Harres 35' 3–1
Shuto Machino 39' 4–1
Shuto Machino 90+1' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs FC Augsburg — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz
  • Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
  • Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak

Head-to-Head

2
1
Holstein Kiel 3 games · Avg 3.7 goals FC Augsburg

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec FC Augsburg H 5–1 W
14 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–4 L
07 Dec RB Leipzig H 0–2 L
29 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–3 L
24 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
09 Nov SV Werder Bremen A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Holstein Kiel A 1–5 L
14 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–2 L
07 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt A 2–2 D
04 Dec Karlsruher SC A 5–4 W
30 Nov VfL Bochum 1848 H 1–0 W
22 Nov FC Bayern München A 0–3 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
FC Augsburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Augsburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
5/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Holstein-Stadion!
  • 5' What a moment for Alexis Claude Maurice! That strike on 5 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 11' Henri Koudossou gets the nod from FC Augsburg. He replaces Keven Schlotterbeck and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 12' GOAL! Lasse Rosenboom fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 17' Holstein Kiel started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 17.
  • 22' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 27' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 27 minutes.
  • 29' Controversy at the stadium! Marius Wolf argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 31' Marcel Rapp is having his name booked by the referee on 31.
  • 32' GOAL! Phil Harres fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 35' GOAL! Phil Harres fires home to make it 3-1!
  • 39' Shuto Machino has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 39 minutes.
  • 44' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Phillip Tietz suffering a number of foals already.
  • 46' FC Augsburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Frank Onyeka is hanging Elvis Rexhbecaj on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Augsburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 59' The crowd applauds Samuel Essende as he leaves the pitch. Ruben Vargas steps in for FC Augsburg.
  • 64' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Holstein Kiel and FC Augsburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 66' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. Alexander Bernhardsson is replaced by Lewis Holtby.
  • 67' Dimitris Giannoulis catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 67.
  • 72' A change in the FC Augsburg ranks — Marius Wolf exits the field as Steve Mounie enters on 72.
  • 73' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Marco Komenda exits the field as Carl Johansson enters on 73.
  • 78' FC Augsburg have won 400 goals from 438 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 83' Ruben Vargas has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 83.
  • 86' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Steve Mounie on 86 minutes.
  • 87' Holstein Kiel make a change. Finn Porath trudges off to be replaced by Dominik Javorcek on 87 minutes.
  • With this win, Holstein Kiel is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.08 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 FC Augsburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel51% Draw24% FC Augsburg25%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
75%
Draw or FC Augsburg
49%
Holstein Kiel or FC Augsburg
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel40% Draw40% FC Augsburg20%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
6.3%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push FC Augsburg covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 16% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 21% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
FC Augsburg keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.