Saturday , 14 November 2026

Hamburger SV vs Hertha BSC, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 10 Aug 2024 · 18:30 UTC Volksparkstadion 57,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
1–1 86' Jonjoe Kenny

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs Hertha BSC — 2. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Timo Gerach
  • Assistant 1 Marcel Unger
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Gasteier
4 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 9.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug Hertha BSC H 1–1 D
02 Aug 1. FC Köln A 2–1 W
19 May 1. FC Nürnberg H 4–1 W
10 May SC Paderborn 07 A 0–1 L
03 May FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–0 W
27 Apr Eintracht Braunschweig A 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug Hamburger SV A 1–1 D
03 Aug SC Paderborn 07 H 1–2 L
19 May VfL Osnabrück A 1–2 L
11 May 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 3–1 W
05 May SV 07 Elversberg A 2–4 L
26 Apr Hannover 96 H 1–1 D

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
Hertha BSC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hertha BSC
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/2
61-75
3/–
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Volksparkstadion. Hamburger SV are looking to make home advantage count against Hertha BSC.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Haris Tabakovic made 4 appearances and scored 32 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 11' Against the run of play, Ransford Konigsdorffer has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 16' Marton Dardai has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 474 appearances.
  • 21' The energy levels are beginning to show. Steffen Baumgart might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 26' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Hertha BSC that had 474 games and scored 465 goals.
  • 31' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 35' That looks like a foul for a card for Jeremy Dudziak.
  • 39' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Daniel Elfadli.
  • 44' It looks surprising Hamburger SV does not make any changes. Jean-Luc Dompe has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 46' The Hertha BSC bench stirs into life. Jeremy Dudziak is withdrawn and Deyovaisio Zeefuik gets his opportunity.
  • 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 56' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 56 minutes.
  • 61' The referee shows Hamburger SV player a card on 61.
  • 63' The crowd applauds Linus Gechter as he leaves the pitch. Toni Leistner steps in for Hertha BSC.
  • 67' A tactical swap from Hamburger SV — Silvan Hefti on, Bakery Jatta off on 67 minutes.
  • 71' Fresh legs for Hamburger SV! Davie Selke comes on to replace Jean-Luc Dompe.
  • 76' Derry Scherhant makes way for Jan Luca Schuler at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Hertha BSC.
  • 81' It is a cagey affair so far. Hamburger SV in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Hertha BSC's compact 4-3-3.
  • 83' Another change for Hamburger SV made on 83 minute. Daniel Elfadli leaves to be changed by Guilherme Ramos.
  • 84' A moment of madness from Deyovaisio Zeefuik on 84 minutes earns him a card. Hertha BSC will be frustrated.
  • 86' What a moment for Jonjoe Kenny! That strike on 86 puts his side firmly in control.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.89 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 Hertha BSC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV51% Draw24% Hertha BSC25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.24
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
75%
Draw or Hertha BSC
49%
Hamburger SV or Hertha BSC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV36% Draw42% Hertha BSC22%
Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
7%
1 – 0
6.7%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
5.5%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push Hertha BSC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 21% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Hertha BSC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.