Thursday , 2 July 2026

PEC Zwolle vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
Sun 28 Apr 2024 · 10:15 UTC MAC3PARK Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'
Lennart Thy 16' 1–0
1–1 45+2' Marko Vejinovic
Filip Krastev 90+3' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

PEC Zwolle vs Heracles AlmeloEredivisie at MAC3PARK Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
  • Assistant 1 Erwin Zeinstra
  • Assistant 2 Johan Balder
7 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Apr Heracles Almelo H 3–1 W
14 Apr NEC A 2–2 D
06 Apr SBV Excelsior H 2–1 W
03 Apr FC Utrecht A 1–5 L
31 Mar AFC Ajax H 1–3 L
16 Mar Fortuna Sittard A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Apr PEC Zwolle A 1–3 L
14 Apr SC Heerenveen H 0–2 L
06 Apr Sparta Rotterdam A 2–1 W
03 Apr AZ H 5–0 W
31 Mar FC Twente '65 A 0–1 L
15 Mar Go Ahead Eagles H 2–0 W

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — PEC Zwolle and Heracles Almelo get this one started.
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 16' What a strike from Lennart Thy! The score is 1-0.
  • 21' It looks surprising Heracles Almelo does not make any changes. Marko Vejinovic has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 26' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 31' Heracles Almelo fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 36' The 40-year-old Bram van Polen has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 41' It is a cagey affair so far. PEC Zwolle in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Heracles Almelo's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 46' PEC Zwolle started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 46.
  • 47' What composure from Marko Vejinovic! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 50' That looks like a foul for a card for Younes Namli.
  • 53' A moment of madness from Brian De Keersmaecker on 53 minutes earns him a card. Heracles Almelo will be frustrated.
  • 58' It looks like no one’s ball. PEC Zwolle is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 63' PEC Zwolle have won 257 goals from 232 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 65' Odysseus Velanas makes way for Eliano Reijnders at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from PEC Zwolle.
  • 68' The Heracles Almelo bench stirs into life. Sem Scheperman is withdrawn and Thomas Bruns gets his opportunity.
  • 69' A stunning finish from Silvester van der Water — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 74' Heracles Almelo come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 75' The referee has no hesitation. Filip Krastev is booked for PEC Zwolle — card on 75.
  • 79' The crowd applauds Marko Vejinovic as he leaves the pitch. Mohamed Sankoh steps in for Heracles Almelo.
  • 82' PEC Zwolle receives a card for a hard tackle on 82.
  • 87' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 89' The referee has no hesitation. Ajdin Hrustic is booked for Heracles Almelo — card on 89.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Thomas Bruns on 90 minutes earns him a card. Heracles Almelo will be frustrated.
  • 90' Damian van der Haar gets the nod from PEC Zwolle. He replaces Anouar El Azzouzi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Heracles Almelo will have plenty to reflect on. PEC Zwolle were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.54 PEC Zwolle xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PEC Zwolle45% Draw27% Heracles Almelo28%
Actual: PEC Zwolle win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

PEC Zwolle or Draw
72%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
55%
PEC Zwolle or Heracles Almelo
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PEC Zwolle31% Draw46% Heracles Almelo23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — PEC Zwolle

Handicap PEC Zwolle covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

PEC Zwolle keeps clean sheet
30%
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.