Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heracles Almelo vs PEC Zwolle, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
Sun 1 Oct 2023 · 12:30 UTC Erve Asito HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 53' Lennart Thy
Emil Hansson pen 69' 1–1
Emil Hansson 82' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs PEC ZwolleEredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeroen Manschot
  • Assistant 1 Michael Osseweijer
  • Assistant 2 Kevin Weever (Netherlands)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct PEC Zwolle H 2–1 W
28 Sep AZ A 1–1 D
23 Sep FC Volendam A 2–2 D
16 Sep FC Utrecht H 1–3 L
02 Sep SBV Excelsior H 3–1 W
18 Aug NEC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Heracles Almelo A 1–2 L
24 Sep AZ H 0–3 L
17 Sep Go Ahead Eagles H 1–1 D
02 Sep Almere City FC A 2–1 W
27 Aug FC Utrecht H 1–0 W
20 Aug FC Twente '65 A 1–3 L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Heracles Almelo kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Heracles Almelo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' Odysseus Velanas has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 15.
  • 20' PEC Zwolle fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 25' Ruben Roosken needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 29' A moment of madness from Thomas Lam on 29 minutes earns him a Yellow card. PEC Zwolle will be frustrated.
  • 34' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 39' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Heracles Almelo and PEC Zwolle are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 44' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sam Kersten made 6 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 49' Davy van den Berg has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 317 appearances.
  • 53' Lennart Thy doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 58' Poor challenge from Thomas Bruns. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 62' Heracles Almelo make a change. Mohamed Sankoh trudges off to be replaced by Mario Engels on 62 minutes.
  • 67' PEC Zwolle are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 69' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Emil Hansson makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 74' Odysseus Velanas has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 75' Apostolos Vellios is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ferdy Druijf at the 75 minute mark.
  • 76' The referee has no hesitation. Zico Buurmeester is booked for PEC Zwolle — Yellow card on 76.
  • 77' A tactical swap from PEC ZwolleNico Serrano on, Odysseus Velanas off on 77 minutes.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Lasse Wehmeyer. He replaces Bryan Limbombe on 80 minute.
  • 82' Brilliant from the ! Emil Hansson makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 82.
  • 87' It looks like no one’s ball. PEC Zwolle is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Heracles Almelo to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.59 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 PEC Zwolle xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo50% Draw26% PEC Zwolle24%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
75%
Draw or PEC Zwolle
50%
Heracles Almelo or PEC Zwolle
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo33% Draw46% PEC Zwolle21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push PEC Zwolle covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
32%
PEC Zwolle keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.