Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Heracles Almelo vs PEC Zwolle, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
Sun 1 Oct 2023 · 12:30 UTC Erve Asito HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 53' Lennart Thy
Emil Hansson pen 69' 1–1
Emil Hansson 82' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs PEC Zwolle — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeroen Manschot
  • Assistant 1 Michael Osseweijer
  • Assistant 2 Kevin Weever (Netherlands)
4 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 24.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct PEC Zwolle H 2–1 W
28 Sep AZ A 1–1 D
23 Sep FC Volendam A 2–2 D
16 Sep FC Utrecht H 1–3 L
02 Sep SBV Excelsior H 3–1 W
18 Aug NEC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Heracles Almelo A 1–2 L
24 Sep AZ H 0–3 L
17 Sep Go Ahead Eagles H 1–1 D
02 Sep Almere City FC A 2–1 W
27 Aug FC Utrecht H 1–0 W
20 Aug FC Twente '65 A 1–3 L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
PEC Zwolle this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

PEC Zwolle
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/5
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

PEC Zwolle
Koen Kostons 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Erve Asito that hosts another battle between Heracles Almelo and PEC Zwolle.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' The referee calls foul for Odysseus Velanas. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 20' It’s high time John Lammers made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Heracles Almelo and PEC Zwolle are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 29' The referee has no hesitation. Thomas Lam is booked for PEC Zwolle — Yellow card on 29.
  • 34' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 39' Heracles Almelo currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 44' Lennart Thy needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 49' Thomas Bruns has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 53' The deadlock is broken! Lennart Thy gets on the scoresheet on 53 minutes.
  • 58' Poor challenge from Thomas Bruns. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 62' The Heracles Almelo bench stirs into life. Mohamed Sankoh is withdrawn and Mario Engels gets his opportunity.
  • 67' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 69' The deadlock is broken! Emil Hansson gets on the scoresheet on 69 minutes.
  • 74' PEC Zwolle come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 75' Fresh legs for PEC Zwolle! Apostolos Vellios comes on to replace Ferdy Druijf.
  • 76' Poor challenge from Zico Buurmeester. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 77' Odysseus Velanas makes way for Nico Serrano at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from PEC Zwolle.
  • 80' Lasse Wehmeyer gets the nod from Heracles Almelo. He replaces Bryan Limbombe and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 82' What composure from Emil Hansson! The Sweden international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 87' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for PEC Zwolle.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.59 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 PEC Zwolle xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo50% Draw26% PEC Zwolle24%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
75%
Draw or PEC Zwolle
50%
Heracles Almelo or PEC Zwolle
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo33% Draw46% PEC Zwolle21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push PEC Zwolle covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
PEC Zwolle keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.