Sunday , 16 August 2026

Heracles Almelo vs PEC Zwolle, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
Sun 1 Oct 2023 · 12:30 UTC Erve Asito HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 53' Lennart Thy
Emil Hansson pen 69' 1–1
Emil Hansson 82' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs PEC ZwolleEredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeroen Manschot
  • Assistant 1 Michael Osseweijer
  • Assistant 2 Kevin Weever (Netherlands)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct PEC Zwolle H 2–1 W
28 Sep AZ A 1–1 D
23 Sep FC Volendam A 2–2 D
16 Sep FC Utrecht H 1–3 L
02 Sep SBV Excelsior H 3–1 W
18 Aug NEC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Heracles Almelo A 1–2 L
24 Sep AZ H 0–3 L
17 Sep Go Ahead Eagles H 1–1 D
02 Sep Almere City FC A 2–1 W
27 Aug FC Utrecht H 1–0 W
20 Aug FC Twente '65 A 1–3 L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
PEC Zwolle this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Heracles Almelo and PEC Zwolle get this one started.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. John Lammers might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Thomas Lam suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Odysseus Velanas picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 20' Heracles Almelo are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined PEC Zwolle backline.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 29' Thomas Lam has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 29.
  • 34' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 39' PEC Zwolle is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 44' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 49' It looks surprising Heracles Almelo does not make any changes. Sam Kersten has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 53' Brilliant from the ! Lennart Thy makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 53.
  • 58' The referee has no hesitation. Thomas Bruns is booked for Heracles Almelo — Yellow card on 58.
  • 62' The whistle greets Mohamed Sankoh as he departs to be replaced by Mario Engels.
  • 67' PEC Zwolle are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 69' The Sweden midfielder Emil Hansson breaks the deadlock on 69 minutes. 1-1!
  • 74' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 75' Time for substitution for PEC Zwolle. Ferdy Druijf is replaced by Apostolos Vellios.
  • 76' The referee has no hesitation. Zico Buurmeester is booked for PEC Zwolle — Yellow card on 76.
  • 77' Nico Serrano is ready to make an impact after coming on for Odysseus Velanas at the 77 minute mark.
  • 80' Heracles Almelo make a change. Bryan Limbombe trudges off to be replaced by Lasse Wehmeyer on 80 minutes.
  • 82' Emil Hansson with the second goal in the match!
  • 87' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • PEC Zwolle will have plenty to reflect on. Heracles Almelo were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.59 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 PEC Zwolle xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo50% Draw26% PEC Zwolle24%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
75%
Draw or PEC Zwolle
50%
Heracles Almelo or PEC Zwolle
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo33% Draw46% PEC Zwolle21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push PEC Zwolle covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
32%
PEC Zwolle keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.