Saturday , 14 November 2026

Heracles Almelo vs PEC Zwolle, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
Sun 1 Oct 2023 · 12:30 UTC Erve Asito HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 53' Lennart Thy
Emil Hansson pen 69' 1–1
Emil Hansson 82' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs PEC Zwolle — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeroen Manschot
  • Assistant 1 Michael Osseweijer
  • Assistant 2 Kevin Weever (Netherlands)
8 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 19.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct PEC Zwolle H 2–1 W
28 Sep AZ A 1–1 D
23 Sep FC Volendam A 2–2 D
16 Sep FC Utrecht H 1–3 L
02 Sep SBV Excelsior H 3–1 W
18 Aug NEC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Heracles Almelo A 1–2 L
24 Sep AZ H 0–3 L
17 Sep Go Ahead Eagles H 1–1 D
02 Sep Almere City FC A 2–1 W
27 Aug FC Utrecht H 1–0 W
20 Aug FC Twente '65 A 1–3 L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
PEC Zwolle this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

PEC Zwolle
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/1
61-75
3/5
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

PEC Zwolle
Koen Kostons 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Heracles Almelo have kicked off against PEC Zwolle. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Heracles Almelo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Davy van den Berg, as he is very good at scoring at Erve Asito with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 15' PEC Zwolle receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 15.
  • 20' Lennart Thy is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Heracles Almelo so far.
  • 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. John Lammers might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 29' The referee has no hesitation. Thomas Lam is booked for PEC Zwolle — Yellow card on 29.
  • 34' Brian De Keersmaecker has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 39' Heracles Almelo currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 44' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 49' Zico Buurmeester has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 53' What a moment for Lennart Thy! That strike on 53 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 58' Thomas Bruns has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 58.
  • 62' A change in the Heracles Almelo ranks — Mohamed Sankoh exits the field as Mario Engels enters on 62.
  • 67' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 69' The deadlock is broken! Emil Hansson gets on the scoresheet on 69 minutes.
  • 74' Mohamed Sankoh, a Netherlands , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 75' PEC Zwolle manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Apostolos Vellios is hanging Ferdy Druijf on the field on 75 minute.
  • 76' Poor challenge from Zico Buurmeester. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 77' PEC Zwolle ring the changes. Odysseus Velanas has done his job and it is now time for Nico Serrano to step up.
  • 80' The Heracles Almelo manager makes a substitution. Bryan Limbombe departs to be replaced by Lasse Wehmeyer.
  • 82' What a moment for Emil Hansson! That strike on 82 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 87' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Heracles Almelo needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.59 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 PEC Zwolle xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo50% Draw26% PEC Zwolle24%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
75%
Draw or PEC Zwolle
50%
Heracles Almelo or PEC Zwolle
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo33% Draw46% PEC Zwolle21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push PEC Zwolle covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
PEC Zwolle keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.