Wednesday , 30 September 2026

NEC vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
5 – 0
Full Time
Sat 9 Aug 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

NEC vs SBV Excelsior — Eredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Danny Makkelie
12 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 11.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug SBV Excelsior H 5–0 W
18 May Heracles Almelo A 2–1 W
14 May NAC Breda H 3–0 W
11 May AFC Ajax A 3–0 W
03 May Willem II Tilburg H 1–1 D
27 Apr SC Heerenveen A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug NEC A 0–5 L
19 May Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–4 L
12 May Heracles Almelo H 4–0 W
06 May NEC H 0–3 L
24 Apr AFC Ajax A 2–2 D
12 Apr FC Volendam H 4–0 W

Season Stats

NEC SBV Excelsior
#11 Position #7
8 Points 11
7 Played 7
2 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 2
12 Scored 15
13 Conceded 9
-1 GD +6
1.14 PPG 1.57
29% Win % 43%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
NEC this season
29% Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season

NEC are 11th (8 pts). SBV Excelsior are 7th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

NEC
0-15
3/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SBV Excelsior
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SBV Excelsior
Aymen Sliti 3 G 1 A
David Garden 3 G
Irakli Yegoian 2 G 5 A
Noah Naujoks 2 G
Casper Widell 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
  • The final score is 5-0.

Lineups

NEC Lineups

SBV Excelsior Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.44 NEC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
NEC62% Draw20% SBV Excelsior18%
Actual: NEC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.75
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

NEC or Draw
82%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
38%
NEC or SBV Excelsior
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
NEC45% Draw37% SBV Excelsior18%
Actual: NEC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted
5 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 1
8.3%
3 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
7%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 0
5.6%
1 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
4.7%
4 – 1
4.4%
0 – 0
3.5%
4 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — NEC

Handicap NEC covers Push SBV Excelsior covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 18% 60%
-1.5 40% — 60%
-1 40% 21% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 11% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 5% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

NEC keeps clean sheet
28% ✗
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.