Sunday , 16 August 2026

NEC vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
5 0
Full Time
Sat 9 Aug 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

NEC vs SBV ExcelsiorEredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Danny Makkelie
18 games this season 🟨 2.5/game 8.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug SBV Excelsior H 5–0 W
18 May Heracles Almelo A 2–1 W
14 May NAC Breda H 3–0 W
11 May AFC Ajax A 3–0 W
03 May Willem II Tilburg H 1–1 D
27 Apr SC Heerenveen A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug NEC A 0–5 L
19 May Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–4 L
12 May Heracles Almelo H 4–0 W
06 May NEC H 0–3 L
24 Apr AFC Ajax A 2–2 D
12 Apr FC Volendam H 4–0 W

Season Stats

NEC SBV Excelsior
#6 Position #4
3 Points 3
2 Played 2
1 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 1
5 Scored 5
3 Conceded 2
+2 GD +3
1.50 PPG 1.50
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
NEC this season
50% Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season

NEC are 6th (3 pts). SBV Excelsior are 4th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

NEC
0-15
/1
16-30
/1
31-45
1/
46-60
1/
61-75
2/
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SBV Excelsior
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
2/
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' NEC have kicked off against SBV Excelsior. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5-0 the final result. SBV Excelsior will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

NEC Lineups

SBV Excelsior Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.65 NEC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
NEC63% Draw19% SBV Excelsior18%
Actual: NEC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 4.06
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

NEC or Draw
82%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
37%
NEC or SBV Excelsior
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
NEC47% Draw35% SBV Excelsior18%
Actual: NEC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted
5 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
7.3%
1 – 1
7.2%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 0
5.3%
3 – 2
5.1%
4 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.5%
1 – 0
4.3%
4 – 0
3.5%
4 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — NEC

Handicap NEC covers Push SBV Excelsior covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 18% 57%
-1.5 43% 57%
-1 43% 20% 37%
-0.5 63% 37%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 10% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 5% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

NEC keeps clean sheet
25%
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.