Thursday , 2 July 2026

NEC vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
5 0
Full Time
Sat 9 Aug 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

NEC vs SBV ExcelsiorEredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Danny Makkelie
18 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 7.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug SBV Excelsior H 5–0 W
18 May Heracles Almelo A 2–1 W
14 May NAC Breda H 3–0 W
11 May AFC Ajax A 3–0 W
03 May Willem II Tilburg H 1–1 D
27 Apr SC Heerenveen A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug NEC A 0–5 L
19 May Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–4 L
12 May Heracles Almelo H 4–0 W
06 May NEC H 0–3 L
24 Apr AFC Ajax A 2–2 D
12 Apr FC Volendam H 4–0 W

Season Stats

NEC SBV Excelsior
#10 Position #13
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

NEC are 10th (0 pts). SBV Excelsior are 13th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against NEC and SBV Excelsior has kicked off!
  • With this win, NEC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

NEC Lineups

SBV Excelsior Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.78 NEC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.31 SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 77% + NEC to win 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
NEC70% Draw22% SBV Excelsior8%
Actual: NEC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes23% 0% No77%
Avg goals/match: 2.09
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

NEC or Draw
92%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
30%
NEC or SBV Excelsior
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
NEC48% Draw48% SBV Excelsior4%
Actual: NEC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
21.6%
2 – 0
18.9%
0 – 0
14.3%
3 – 0
11%
1 – 1
7.1%
2 – 1
6%
4 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 1
3%
5 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
1.8%
1 – 2
1%

Asian Handicap — NEC

Handicap NEC covers Push SBV Excelsior covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 23% 56%
-1.5 44% 56%
-1 44% 28% 27%
-0.5 73% 27%
+0.5 95% 5%
+1 95% 4% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

NEC keeps clean sheet
73%
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.