NEC vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
NEC vs SBV Excelsior — Eredivisie .
- NEC 2 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
- SBV Excelsior 2 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Danny Makkelie
18 games this season
🟨 2.5/game
⚽ 8.6 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | PSV | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | NEC | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | AFC Ajax | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | SC Heerenveen | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Telstar 1963 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | FC Twente '65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II Tilburg | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug | SBV Excelsior | H | 5–0 | W |
| 18 May | Heracles Almelo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 May | NAC Breda | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 May | AFC Ajax | A | 3–0 | W |
| 03 May | Willem II Tilburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | SC Heerenveen | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug | NEC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 19 May | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 0–4 | L |
| 12 May | Heracles Almelo | H | 4–0 | W |
| 06 May | NEC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 24 Apr | AFC Ajax | A | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | FC Volendam | H | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| NEC | SBV Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #4 |
| 3 | Points | 3 |
| 2 | Played | 2 |
| 1 / 0 / 1 | W / D / L | 1 / 0 / 1 |
| 5 | Scored | 5 |
| 3 | Conceded | 2 |
| +2 | GD | +3 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 50% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
NEC this season
NEC this season
50%
Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season
SBV Excelsior this season
NEC are 6th (3 pts). SBV Excelsior are 4th (3 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
NEC
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SBV Excelsior
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' NEC have kicked off against SBV Excelsior. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5-0 the final result. SBV Excelsior will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
NEC Lineups
SBV Excelsior Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Magnus Mattsson | 3 |
| Landry Dimata | 2 |
| Tjaronn Chery | 2 |
| Souffian El Karouani | 2 |
| Casper Widell | 1 |
| Richie Omorowa | 1 |
| Koki Ogawa | 1 |
| Sontje Hansen | 1 |
Head to Head
NEC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.65
NEC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41
SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: NEC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.06
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
Double Chance
NEC or Draw
82%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
37%
NEC or SBV Excelsior
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: NEC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–0 not predicted5 – 0Actual
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
7.3%
1 – 1
7.2%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 0
5.3%
3 – 2
5.1%
4 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.5%
1 – 0
4.3%
4 – 0
3.5%
4 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — NEC
| Handicap | NEC covers | Push | SBV Excelsior covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -2 | 25% | 18% | 57% |
| -1.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| -1 | 43% | 20% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 10% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
NEC keeps clean sheet
25%
✗
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

