NEC vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
NEC vs SBV Excelsior — Eredivisie .
- NEC 12 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
- SBV Excelsior 12 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Danny Makkelie
18 games this season
🟨 3.2/game
⚽ 11.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug | SBV Excelsior | H | 5–0 | W |
| 18 May | Heracles Almelo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 May | NAC Breda | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 May | AFC Ajax | A | 3–0 | W |
| 03 May | Willem II Tilburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | SC Heerenveen | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug | NEC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 19 May | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 0–4 | L |
| 12 May | Heracles Almelo | H | 4–0 | W |
| 06 May | NEC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 24 Apr | AFC Ajax | A | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | FC Volendam | H | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| NEC | SBV Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #15 |
| 14 | Points | 11 |
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 3 / 5 / 4 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 7 |
| 20 | Scored | 16 |
| 21 | Conceded | 29 |
| -1 | GD | -13 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 0.92 |
| 25% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
NEC this season
NEC this season
17%
Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season
SBV Excelsior this season
NEC are 11th (14 pts). SBV Excelsior are 15th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
NEC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
3/5
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SBV Excelsior
0-15
1/5
16-30
2/–
31-45
6/6
46-60
1/4
61-75
3/6
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
NEC
| Tjaronn Chery | 4 G | 2 A |
| Kaj Sierhuis | 2 G | |
| Adam Tahauia | 2 G | |
| Bryan Linssen | 1 G |
SBV Excelsior
| Irakli Yegoian | 3 G | 5 A |
| Aymen Sliti | 3 G | 1 A |
| David Garden | 3 G | |
| Noah Naujoks | 2 G | |
| Casper Widell | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
- That’s it! Another goalless match for NEC and SBV Excelsior (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
NEC Lineups
SBV Excelsior Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Magnus Mattsson | 3 |
| Landry Dimata | 2 |
| Tjaronn Chery | 2 |
| Souffian El Karouani | 2 |
| Nikolas Agrafiotis | 1 |
| David Garden | 1 |
| Oscar Uddenas | 1 |
| Valentin Sulzbacher | 1 |
Head to Head
NEC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.97
NEC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89
SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for:
NEC to win 73% + Over 2.5 goals 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: NEC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.86
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
NEC or Draw
89%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
27%
NEC or SBV Excelsior
84%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: NEC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.5%
3 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.1%
3 – 1
7.9%
4 – 0
6.7%
1 – 0
6.3%
1 – 1
6.3%
4 – 1
5.9%
5 – 0
Actual
5 – 1
3.6%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — NEC
| Handicap | NEC covers | Push | SBV Excelsior covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -2 | 38% | 21% | 41% |
| -1.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| -1 | 59% | 19% | 22% |
| -0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +0.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +1 | 92% | 5% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
NEC keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

