NEC vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
NEC vs SBV Excelsior — Eredivisie .
- NEC 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- SBV Excelsior 7 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Danny Makkelie
12 games this season
🟨 3.7/game
⚽ 11.9 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | AFC Ajax | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | SBV Excelsior | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar 1963 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug | SBV Excelsior | H | 5–0 | W |
| 18 May | Heracles Almelo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 May | NAC Breda | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 May | AFC Ajax | A | 3–0 | W |
| 03 May | Willem II Tilburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | SC Heerenveen | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug | NEC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 19 May | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 0–4 | L |
| 12 May | Heracles Almelo | H | 4–0 | W |
| 06 May | NEC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 24 Apr | AFC Ajax | A | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | FC Volendam | H | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| NEC | SBV Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #7 |
| 8 | Points | 11 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 2 / 2 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 2 |
| 12 | Scored | 15 |
| 13 | Conceded | 9 |
| -1 | GD | +6 |
| 1.14 | PPG | 1.57 |
| 29% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
NEC this season
NEC this season
29%
Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season
SBV Excelsior this season
NEC are 11th (8 pts). SBV Excelsior are 7th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
NEC
0-15
3/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SBV Excelsior
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
NEC
| Tjaronn Chery | 3 G | 2 A |
| Kaj Sierhuis | 2 G | |
| Adam Tahauia | 2 G | |
| Bryan Linssen | 1 G |
SBV Excelsior
| Aymen Sliti | 3 G | 1 A |
| David Garden | 3 G | |
| Irakli Yegoian | 2 G | 5 A |
| Noah Naujoks | 2 G | |
| Casper Widell | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
- The final score is 5-0.
Lineups
NEC Lineups
SBV Excelsior Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Magnus Mattsson | 3 |
| Landry Dimata | 2 |
| Tjaronn Chery | 2 |
| Souffian El Karouani | 2 |
| Casper Widell | 1 |
| Noe Lebreton | 1 |
| Richie Omorowa | 1 |
| Adam Tahauia | 1 |
Head to Head
NEC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.44
NEC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31
SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: NEC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.75
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
NEC or Draw
82%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
38%
NEC or SBV Excelsior
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: NEC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–0 not predicted5 – 0Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 1
8.3%
3 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
7%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 0
5.6%
1 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
4.7%
4 – 1
4.4%
0 – 0
3.5%
4 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — NEC
| Handicap | NEC covers | Push | SBV Excelsior covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 18% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 21% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
NEC keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

