Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Utrecht vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Fri 8 Nov 2024 · 19:00 UTC Stadion Galgenwaard 22,036 HT 45' · FT 45'
Paxten Aaronson 67' 1–0
Y 90' Ivan Mesik

Overview

Match Preview

FC Utrecht vs Heracles AlmeloEredivisie at Stadion Galgenwaard.

Match Details

  • Referee Robin Hensgens
  • Assistant 1 Freek Vandeursen
  • Assistant 2 Frans Ozinga (Netherlands)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov Heracles Almelo H 1–0 W
03 Nov Sparta Rotterdam A 4–1 W
27 Oct Feyenoord Rotterdam H 0–2 L
20 Oct FC Groningen A 1–0 W
05 Oct RKC Waalwijk H 3–2 W
29 Sep AZ A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov FC Utrecht A 0–1 L
02 Nov NAC Breda H 2–0 W
27 Oct FC Twente '65 A 0–5 L
20 Oct AFC Ajax H 3–4 L
06 Oct Go Ahead Eagles A 1–4 L
27 Sep SC Heerenveen H 2–1 W

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Stadion Galgenwaard as FC Utrecht face off against Heracles Almelo in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Heracles Almelo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' It looks surprising Heracles Almelo does not make any changes. Souffian El Karouani has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' Ruben Roosken has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 17' Matisse Didden has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mike van der Hoorn on 17 minute.
  • 22' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 22 minutes.
  • 27' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 32' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 37' FC Utrecht started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 37.
  • 42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Utrecht needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 47' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Utrecht must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 52' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 57' David Min has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 59' Noah Ohio is ready to make an impact after coming on for Anthony Descotte at the 59 minute mark.
  • 64' The travelling Heracles Almelo supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 67' A stunning finish from Paxten Aaronson — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 69' FC Utrecht make a change. Oscar Fraulo trudges off to be replaced by David Min on 69 minutes.
  • 72' Heracles Almelo ring the changes. Jordy Bruijn has done his job and it is now time for Jizz Hornkamp to step up.
  • 77' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ron Jans will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 82' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 87' Miguel Rodriguez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Ivan Mesik argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' Heracles Almelo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Daniel van Kaam is hanging Jan Zamburek on the field on 90 minute.
  • 1-0 the final result. Heracles Almelo will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.56 FC Utrecht xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58% + FC Utrecht to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Utrecht57% Draw26% Heracles Almelo17%
Actual: FC Utrecht win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

FC Utrecht or Draw
82%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
43%
FC Utrecht or Heracles Almelo
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Utrecht36% Draw49% Heracles Almelo15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 0
11.3%
2 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Utrecht

Handicap FC Utrecht covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 25% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Utrecht keeps clean sheet
44%
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.