Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Utrecht vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Fri 8 Nov 2024 · 19:00 UTC Stadion Galgenwaard 22,036 HT 45' · FT 45'
Paxten Aaronson 67' 1–0
Y 90' Ivan Mesik

Overview

Match Preview

FC Utrecht vs Heracles Almelo — Eredivisie at Stadion Galgenwaard.

Match Details

  • Referee Robin Hensgens
  • Assistant 1 Freek Vandeursen
  • Assistant 2 Frans Ozinga (Netherlands)
4 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 11.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov Heracles Almelo H 1–0 W
03 Nov Sparta Rotterdam A 4–1 W
27 Oct Feyenoord Rotterdam H 0–2 L
20 Oct FC Groningen A 1–0 W
05 Oct RKC Waalwijk H 3–2 W
29 Sep AZ A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov FC Utrecht A 0–1 L
02 Nov NAC Breda H 2–0 W
27 Oct FC Twente '65 A 0–5 L
20 Oct AFC Ajax H 3–4 L
06 Oct Go Ahead Eagles A 1–4 L
27 Sep SC Heerenveen H 2–1 W

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
FC Utrecht this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Utrecht
0-15
1/4
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/6
61-75
2/2
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Utrecht to score. At the same time, Heracles Almelo does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 15' Heracles Almelo fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 17' FC Utrecht make a change. Mike van der Hoorn trudges off to be replaced by Matisse Didden on 17 minutes.
  • 22' It’s high time Erwin van de Looi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 27' David Min has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 32' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 37' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 42' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 47' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 52' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 57' FC Utrecht is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 59' FC Utrecht make a change. Anthony Descotte trudges off to be replaced by Noah Ohio on 59 minutes.
  • 64' With 0 assists to his name this season, Victor Jensen is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Heracles Almelo.
  • 67' GOAL! Paxten Aaronson scores on 67.
  • 69' FC Utrecht manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. David Min is hanging Oscar Fraulo on the field on 69 minute.
  • 72' Jizz Hornkamp has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jordy Bruijn on 72 minute.
  • 77' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 82' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Damon Mirani suffering a number of foals already.
  • 87' Suf Podgoreanu has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Heracles Almelo player. Ivan Mesik gets a card.
  • 90' The Heracles Almelo bench stirs into life. Jan Zamburek is withdrawn and Daniel van Kaam gets his opportunity.
  • 1-0 the final result. Heracles Almelo will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.56 FC Utrecht xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58% + FC Utrecht to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Utrecht57% Draw26% Heracles Almelo17%
Actual: FC Utrecht win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

FC Utrecht or Draw
82%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
43%
FC Utrecht or Heracles Almelo
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Utrecht36% Draw49% Heracles Almelo15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 0
11.3%
2 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Utrecht

Handicap FC Utrecht covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 25% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Utrecht keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.