Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heracles Almelo vs AZ, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
1 2
Full Time
Sun 14 Sep 2025 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs AZEredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Bas Nijhuis

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep AZ H 1–2 L
29 Aug FC Groningen A 0–4 L
24 Aug AFC Ajax A 0–2 L
16 Aug NEC H 1–4 L
10 Aug FC Utrecht A 0–4 L
18 May NEC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Heracles Almelo A 2–1 W
31 Aug NAC Breda A 1–0 W
17 Aug FC Volendam A 2–2 D
10 Aug FC Groningen H 4–1 W
18 May Almere City FC H 1–1 D
14 May FC Twente '65 A 3–2 W

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Heracles Almelo to score. At the same time, AZ does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for AZ players.

Lineups

Heracles Almelo Lineups

AZ Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.31 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 AZ xG
I would bet for: Heracles Almelo or AZ 72% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo32% Draw28% AZ40%
Actual: AZ win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
60%
Draw or AZ
68%
Heracles Almelo or AZ
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo25% Draw47% AZ28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push AZ covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 18% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
25%
AZ keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.