Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2020-21
Sat 13 Feb 2021 · 17:45 UTC Erve Asito HT 45+5' · FT 45+5'

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs AFC AjaxEredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Kevin Blom
  • Referee Rob Dieperink
  • Referee Cristian Dobre
  • Referee Erwin Blank
  • Referee Freek Vandeursen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Feb AFC Ajax H 0–2 L
05 Feb Fortuna Sittard A 1–0 W
30 Jan FC Groningen H 1–0 W
26 Jan PEC Zwolle A 2–2 D
23 Jan SC Heerenveen H 1–0 W
16 Jan FC Utrecht A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Feb Heracles Almelo A 2–0 W
31 Jan AZ A 3–0 W
28 Jan Willem II Tilburg H 3–1 W
24 Jan Fortuna Sittard A 2–1 W
17 Jan Feyenoord Rotterdam H 1–0 W
14 Jan FC Twente '65 A 3–1 W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Erve Asito will turn into a battlefield for Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax.
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nicolas Tagliafico is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AFC Ajax.
  • 10' Davy Klaassen is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Heracles Almelo so far.
  • 14' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Davy Klaassen makes it 0-1.
  • 19' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 24' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 29' AFC Ajax come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 34' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 39' It’s high time Erik ten Hag made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 44' Sebastien Haller has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 49' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 54' USA international Luca de la Torre has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 59' Antony, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 64' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 65' Ahmed Kutucu is replacing Rai Vloet for the Heracles Almelo side.
  • 66' The referee has no hesitation. Sebastien Haller is booked for AFC Ajax — Yellow card on 66.
  • 66' The crowd applauds Teun Bijleveld as he leaves the pitch. Silvester van der Water steps in for Heracles Almelo.
  • 71' Fresh legs for AFC Ajax! Antony comes on to replace David Neres.
  • 72' Noussair Mazraoui makes way for Devyne Rensch at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from AFC Ajax.
  • 77' Over 77 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 79' A stunning finish from Sebastien Haller — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 81' It is a substitution in Heracles Almelo team. Ismail Azzaoui is replaced by Sinan Bakis on 81 minute.
  • 84' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Giacomo Quagliata on 84 minutes.
  • 88' A change in the AFC Ajax ranks — Dusan Tadic exits the field as Zakaria Labyad enters on 88.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.92 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo25% Draw29% AFC Ajax46%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
53%
Draw or AFC Ajax
75%
Heracles Almelo or AFC Ajax
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo17% Draw49% AFC Ajax34%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
12.3%
0 – 0
11%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 24% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
23%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.