Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2020-21
Sat 13 Feb 2021 · 17:45 UTC Erve Asito HT 45+5' · FT 45+5'

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Kevin Blom
  • Referee Rob Dieperink
  • Referee Cristian Dobre
  • Referee Erwin Blank
  • Referee Freek Vandeursen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Feb AFC Ajax H 0–2 L
05 Feb Fortuna Sittard A 1–0 W
30 Jan FC Groningen H 1–0 W
26 Jan PEC Zwolle A 2–2 D
23 Jan SC Heerenveen H 1–0 W
16 Jan FC Utrecht A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Feb Heracles Almelo A 2–0 W
31 Jan AZ A 3–0 W
28 Jan Willem II Tilburg H 3–1 W
24 Jan Fortuna Sittard A 2–1 W
17 Jan Feyenoord Rotterdam H 1–0 W
14 Jan FC Twente '65 A 3–1 W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. AFC Ajax kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Dusan Tadic is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Heracles Almelo tonight.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jurrien Timber made 483 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 14' Davy Klaassen doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 19' It looks surprising Heracles Almelo does not make any changes. Nicolas Tagliafico has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 24' AFC Ajax are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 29' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 34' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 34 minutes.
  • 39' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sebastien Haller suffering a number of foals already.
  • 44' It is a cagey affair so far. Heracles Almelo in their trying to find a way past AFC Ajax's compact .
  • 49' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 54' Rai Vloet has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 59' Heracles Almelo currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 64' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 65' Heracles Almelo ring the changes. Rai Vloet has done his job and it is now time for Ahmed Kutucu to step up.
  • 66' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sebastien Haller on 66.
  • 66' Another change for Heracles Almelo made on 66 minute. Teun Bijleveld leaves to be changed by Silvester van der Water.
  • 71' A tactical swap from AFC Ajax — Antony on, David Neres off on 71 minutes.
  • 72' The AFC Ajax bench stirs into life. Noussair Mazraoui is withdrawn and Devyne Rensch gets his opportunity.
  • 77' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 79' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Sebastien Haller makes it 0-2.
  • 81' Time for substitution for Heracles Almelo. Ismail Azzaoui is replaced by Sinan Bakis.
  • 84' Giacomo Quagliata has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 84.
  • 88' The supporters are chanting for Zakaria Labyad. He replaces Dusan Tadic on 88 minute.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.92 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo25% Draw29% AFC Ajax46%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
53%
Draw or AFC Ajax
75%
Heracles Almelo or AFC Ajax
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo17% Draw49% AFC Ajax34%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
12.3%
0 – 0
11%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 24% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
40% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.