Sunday , 16 August 2026

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2020-21
Sat 13 Feb 2021 · 17:45 UTC Erve Asito HT 45+5' · FT 45+5'

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs AFC AjaxEredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Kevin Blom
  • Referee Rob Dieperink
  • Referee Cristian Dobre
  • Referee Erwin Blank
  • Referee Freek Vandeursen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Feb AFC Ajax H 0–2 L
05 Feb Fortuna Sittard A 1–0 W
30 Jan FC Groningen H 1–0 W
26 Jan PEC Zwolle A 2–2 D
23 Jan SC Heerenveen H 1–0 W
16 Jan FC Utrecht A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Feb Heracles Almelo A 2–0 W
31 Jan AZ A 3–0 W
28 Jan Willem II Tilburg H 3–1 W
24 Jan Fortuna Sittard A 2–1 W
17 Jan Feyenoord Rotterdam H 1–0 W
14 Jan FC Twente '65 A 3–1 W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Erve Asito!
  • 5' It looks surprising AFC Ajax does not make any changes. Devyne Rensch has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 14' GOAL! Davy Klaassen fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 19' AFC Ajax started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 19.
  • 24' A quiet spell here at Erve Asito. Heracles Almelo seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 29' The home supporters are growing impatient. Heracles Almelo must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 34' Maarten Stekelenburg is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AFC Ajax so far.
  • 39' It’s high time Erik ten Hag made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 44' Both keepers have barely been tested. Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 49' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 54' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 59' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Heracles Almelo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 64' Tim Breukers, a Netherlands , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 65' It is a substitution in Heracles Almelo team. Rai Vloet is replaced by Ahmed Kutucu on 65 minute.
  • 66' The referee calls foul for Sebastien Haller. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 66' A tactical swap from Heracles AlmeloSilvester van der Water on, Teun Bijleveld off on 66 minutes.
  • 71' David Neres makes way for Antony at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from AFC Ajax.
  • 72' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 72 minute. Noussair Mazraoui leaves to be changed by Devyne Rensch.
  • 77' AFC Ajax are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 79' Sebastien Haller adds to his 0 season tally! AFC Ajax lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 81' A change in the Heracles Almelo ranks — Ismail Azzaoui exits the field as Sinan Bakis enters on 81.
  • 84' The referee has no hesitation. Giacomo Quagliata is booked for Heracles Almelo — Yellow card on 84.
  • 88' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 88 minute. Dusan Tadic leaves to be changed by Zakaria Labyad.
  • The points are shared — Heracles Almelo 0-2 AFC Ajax. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.92 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo25% Draw29% AFC Ajax46%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
53%
Draw or AFC Ajax
75%
Heracles Almelo or AFC Ajax
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo17% Draw49% AFC Ajax34%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
12.3%
0 – 0
11%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 24% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
23%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.