Friday , 16 October 2026

Gremio FBPA vs SC Recife, 2018

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2018
3 – 4
Full Time
Sat 27 Oct 2018 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs SC Recife — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Dewson Fernando Freitas da Silva
  • Referee Heronildo Sebastiao Freitas da Silva
  • Referee Luis Diego Nascimento Lopes
  • Referee Danilo Ricardo Simon Manis

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct SC Recife H 3–4 L
20 Oct America FC A 1–1 D
14 Oct SE Palmeiras A 0–2 L
07 Oct EC Bahia H 2–2 D
29 Sep Fluminense FC A 1–0 W
23 Sep Ceará SC H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct Gremio FBPA A 4–3 W
20 Oct CR Vasco da Gama H 2–1 W
14 Oct CA Paranaense A 0–4 L
05 Oct SC Internacional H 2–1 W
30 Sep CA Mineiro A 2–5 L
23 Sep SE Palmeiras H 0–1 L

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Gremio FBPA vs SC Recife — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' Ernando has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' Gremio FBPA are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SC Recife's shape.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gremio FBPA that had 337 games and scored 394 goals.
  • 30' Bressan has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 35' Gremio FBPA are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 45' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 50' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 55' Gremio FBPA have won 394 goals from 337 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 60' The travelling SC Recife supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 65' SC Recife come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 70' Marcelo Oliveira is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Gremio FBPA tonight.
  • 75' Douglas has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 337 appearances.
  • 80' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 85' SC Recife is showing some good football. However, SC Recife are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 90' SC Recife started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Gremio FBPA.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.13 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: Gremio FBPA or SC Recife 76% + Over 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA45% Draw24% SC Recife31%
Actual: SC Recife win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
69%
Draw or SC Recife
55%
Gremio FBPA or SC Recife
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA36% Draw39% SC Recife25%
Actual: SC Recife win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
5.7%
2 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.8%
1 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
3.8%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
0 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 14% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 19% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 15% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.