Saturday , 14 November 2026

CA Mineiro vs SC Recife, 2018

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2018
5 – 2
Full Time
Sun 30 Sep 2018 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs SC Recife — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Leandro Bizzio Marinho
  • Referee Daniel Luis Marques
  • Referee Daniel Paulo Ziolli
  • Referee Douglas Almeida Costa

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep SC Recife H 5–2 W
23 Sep CR Flamengo A 1–2 L
16 Sep Cruzeiro EC A 0–0 D
10 Sep CA Paranaense H 3–1 W
06 Sep São Paulo FC H 1–0 W
02 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep CA Mineiro A 2–5 L
23 Sep SE Palmeiras H 0–1 L
16 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–2 L
08 Sep Cruzeiro EC H 0–0 D
05 Sep EC Bahia A 0–2 L
02 Sep Parana Clube H 1–0 W

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
3/5
16-30
8/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
2/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Bernard 5 G 4 A
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between CA Mineiro and SC Recife.
  • 5' SC Recife have won 123 goals from 240 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gabriel made 240 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 30' Marlone has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 35' A quiet spell here at . SC Recife seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 40' CA Mineiro are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 45' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 50' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Recife is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 55' Ernando has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 60' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Emerson Royal suffering a number of foals already.
  • 65' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 70' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CA Mineiro side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 75' Ze Welison is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Recife so far.
  • 80' The travelling SC Recife supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 85' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 90' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for SC Recife.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.2 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro56% Draw22% SC Recife22%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
78%
Draw or SC Recife
44%
CA Mineiro or SC Recife
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro41% Draw39% SC Recife20%
Actual: CA Mineiro win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted
5 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 0
5.8%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.2%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 17% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 21% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.