Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2020

Sagan Tosu FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Gamba Osaka

Wed 7 Oct 2020 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45+3' · FT 45+4'

Y 74' Ryu Takao

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Yagi Akane
Referee Hiroki Kasahara
Referee Akihiko Ikeuchi
Referee Tomohisa Gonda

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.3 goals Gamba Osaka

Last 5 meetings

2020-10-07 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Gamba Osaka 2019-09-14 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-05-11 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Gamba Osaka 2018-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 Gamba Osaka 2018-04-29 Gamba Osaka 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Oct	Gamba Osaka	H	1–2	L
03 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–3	L
30 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	1–1	D
27 Sep	FC Tōkyō	H	3–0	W
23 Sep	Vissel Kobe	A	3–4	L
19 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	1–3	L

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Oct	Sagan Tosu FC	A	2–1	W
03 Oct	Kashima Antlers	H	2–0	W
27 Sep	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	2–1	W
23 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	H	2–1	W
19 Sep	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–0	W
13 Sep	Shonan Bellmare	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

0-15

1/4

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/4

46-60

2/3

61-75

2/3

76+

6/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

Issam Jebali	5 G	3 A
Ryotaro Meshino	2 G
Welton	2 G
Deniz Hummet	2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Gamba Osaka get us underway at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
15' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
21' The deadlock is broken! Kazuma Watanabe gets on the scoresheet on 21 minutes.
26' Gamba Osaka are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
31' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Gamba Osaka are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
34' A goal from the Japan international Kazuma Watanabe! He fires home on 34 to make it 0-2!
39' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Gamba Osaka seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
44' Shuhei Kawasaki has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
46' Fresh legs for Gamba Osaka! Kosuke Onose comes on to replace Hiroki Fujiharu.
51' Masaaki Higashiguchi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sagan Tosu FC tonight.
56' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
61' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 61.
65' Renzo Lopez gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Cho Donggeon and will look to change the dynamic.
66' A change in the Gamba Osaka ranks — Ademilson exits the field as Takashi Usami enters on 66.
71' A tactical swap from Gamba Osaka — Yuki Yamamoto on, Shinya Yajima off on 71 minutes.
74' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ryu Takao on 74.
78' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Tomoya Koyamatsu exits the field as Daichi Hayashi enters on 78.
81' Another substitution for Gamba Osaka to replace Kazuma Watanabe by Patric on 81 minute.
84' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 84 minute. Ryang Yong Gi leaves to be changed by Yoshiki Takahashi.
89' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryoya Morishita suffering a number of foals already.
The points are shared — Sagan Tosu FC 1-2 Gamba Osaka. Honours even.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

50
Ryang Yong Gi ↓ Yoshiki Takahashi 84'
18
Yohei Takaoka C
4
Riki Harakawa
41
Daiki Matsuoka ↓ Ayumu Ohata 65'
19
Cho Donggeon ↓ Renzo Lopez 65'
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↓ Kaisei Ishii 46'
2
Teruki Hara
30
Yuta Higuchi
6
Yuto Uchida
22
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Daichi Hayashi 78'
28
Ryoya Morishita

Bench

14
Yoshiki Takahashi ↑ 84'
33
Kaisei Ishii ↑ 46'
15
Park Jeongsu
1
Tatsuya Morita
16
Daichi Hayashi ↑ 78'
31
Ayumu Ohata ↑ 65'
20
Renzo Lopez ↑ 65'

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

Gamba Osaka Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

33
Takashi Usami ↑ 66'
8
Kosuke Onose ↑ 46'
18
Patric ↑ 81'
3
Gen Shoji
25
Kei Ishikawa
29
Yuki Yamamoto ↑ 71'
34
Shuhei Kawasaki ↑ 46'

Coach Tsuneyasu Miyamoto

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kazuma Watanabe	3
Yuji Ono	3
Taisei Miyashiro	2
Yoichi Naganuma	2
Isa Sakamoto	2
Takashi Usami	2
Hwang Seokho	2
Mu Kanazaki	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2020-10-07 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Gamba Osaka L 2020-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2020-09-30 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2020-09-27 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 FC Tōkyō W 2020-09-23 Vissel Kobe 4–3 Sagan Tosu FC L 2020-09-19 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F·Marinos L

Gamba Osaka Form

2020-10-07 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Gamba Osaka W 2020-10-03 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Kashima Antlers W 2020-09-27 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Gamba Osaka W 2020-09-23 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2020-09-19 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–1 Gamba Osaka W 2020-09-13 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Shonan Bellmare L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.31 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.35 Gamba Osaka xG

I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Gamba Osaka 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC33% Draw28% Gamba Osaka39%

Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.66

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	49%	51%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

62%

Draw or Gamba Osaka

67%

Sagan Tosu FC or Gamba Osaka

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC26% Draw47% Gamba Osaka27%

Actual: Gamba Osaka win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.3%

0 – 0

0 – 1

8.5%

1 – 0

8.2%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

7.8%

0 – 2

6.2%

2 – 0

5.9%

2 – 2

5.3%

1 – 3

3.6%

3 – 1

3.4%

0 – 3

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	10%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	19%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	63%	—	37%
+1	63%	19%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	11%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.