Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2020

Sagan Tosu FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Gamba Osaka

Wed 7 Oct 2020 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45+3' · FT 45+4'

Y 74' Ryu Takao

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Yagi Akane
Referee Hiroki Kasahara
Referee Akihiko Ikeuchi
Referee Tomohisa Gonda

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.3 goals Gamba Osaka

Last 5 meetings

2020-10-07 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Gamba Osaka 2019-09-14 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-05-11 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Gamba Osaka 2018-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 Gamba Osaka 2018-04-29 Gamba Osaka 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Oct	Gamba Osaka	H	1–2	L
03 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–3	L
30 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	1–1	D
27 Sep	FC Tōkyō	H	3–0	W
23 Sep	Vissel Kobe	A	3–4	L
19 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	1–3	L

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Oct	Sagan Tosu FC	A	2–1	W
03 Oct	Kashima Antlers	H	2–0	W
27 Sep	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	2–1	W
23 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	H	2–1	W
19 Sep	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–0	W
13 Sep	Shonan Bellmare	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

0-15

1/2

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/–

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

Issam Jebali	2 G	1 A
Deniz Hummet	2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani	1 G
Asahi Uenaka	1 G
Welton	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Sagan Tosu FC gets underway.
5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kosuke Onose made 408 appearances and scored 18 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
20' Cho Donggeon has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 279 appearances.
21' Kazuma Watanabe does the damage! The net is bulging and Gamba Osaka surge ahead!
26' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
31' Daiki Matsuoka is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Gamba Osaka tonight.
34' Magnificent from Kazuma Watanabe! That is 28 goals in 408 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
39' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
44' Ryoya Morishita has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
46' The crowd applauds Hiroki Fujiharu as he leaves the pitch. Kosuke Onose steps in for Gamba Osaka.
51' Ryang Yong Gi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
56' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
61' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
65' The whistle greets Cho Donggeon as he departs to be replaced by Renzo Lopez.
66' The Gamba Osaka manager makes a substitution. Ademilson departs to be replaced by Takashi Usami.
71' The Gamba Osaka bench stirs into life. Shinya Yajima is withdrawn and Yuki Yamamoto gets his opportunity.
74' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Ryu Takao.
78' Daichi Hayashi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tomoya Koyamatsu on 78 minute.
81' A tactical swap from Gamba Osaka — Patric on, Kazuma Watanabe off on 81 minutes.
84' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Ryang Yong Gi trudges off to be replaced by Yoshiki Takahashi on 84 minutes.
89' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

50
Ryang Yong Gi ↓ Yoshiki Takahashi 84'
18
Yohei Takaoka C
4
Riki Harakawa
41
Daiki Matsuoka ↓ Ayumu Ohata 65'
19
Cho Donggeon ↓ Renzo Lopez 65'
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↓ Kaisei Ishii 46'
2
Teruki Hara
30
Yuta Higuchi
6
Yuto Uchida
22
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Daichi Hayashi 78'
28
Ryoya Morishita

Bench

14
Yoshiki Takahashi ↑ 84'
33
Kaisei Ishii ↑ 46'
15
Park Jeongsu
1
Tatsuya Morita
16
Daichi Hayashi ↑ 78'
31
Ayumu Ohata ↑ 65'
20
Renzo Lopez ↑ 65'

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

Gamba Osaka Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

33
Takashi Usami ↑ 66'
8
Kosuke Onose ↑ 46'
18
Patric ↑ 81'
3
Gen Shoji
25
Kei Ishikawa
29
Yuki Yamamoto ↑ 71'
34
Shuhei Kawasaki ↑ 46'

Coach Tsuneyasu Miyamoto

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kazuma Watanabe	3
Yuji Ono	3
Taisei Miyashiro	2
Yoichi Naganuma	2
Isa Sakamoto	2
Takashi Usami	2
Hwang Seokho	2
Yohei Toyoda	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2020-10-07 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Gamba Osaka L 2020-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2020-09-30 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2020-09-27 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 FC Tōkyō W 2020-09-23 Vissel Kobe 4–3 Sagan Tosu FC L 2020-09-19 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F·Marinos L

Gamba Osaka Form

2020-10-07 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Gamba Osaka W 2020-10-03 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Kashima Antlers W 2020-09-27 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Gamba Osaka W 2020-09-23 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2020-09-19 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–1 Gamba Osaka W 2020-09-13 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Shonan Bellmare L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.31 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.35 Gamba Osaka xG

I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Gamba Osaka 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC33% Draw28% Gamba Osaka39%

Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.66

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	49%	51%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

62%

Draw or Gamba Osaka

67%

Sagan Tosu FC or Gamba Osaka

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC26% Draw47% Gamba Osaka27%

Actual: Gamba Osaka win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.3%

0 – 0

0 – 1

8.5%

1 – 0

8.2%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

7.8%

0 – 2

6.2%

2 – 0

5.9%

2 – 2

5.3%

1 – 3

3.6%

3 – 1

3.4%

0 – 3

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	10%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	19%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	63%	—	37%
+1	63%	19%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	11%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.