Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2020

Gamba Osaka

1 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sun 29 Nov 2020 · 08:00 UTC Panasonic Stadium Suita HT 45+2' · FT 45+4'

Y 52' Eduardo

Shu Kurata 79' Y

Y 90' Riki Harakawa

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Panasonic Stadium Suita.

Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Ryuji Sato
Referee Tadashi Baba
Referee Jun Mihara
Referee Hiroshi Yamauchi

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Gamba Osaka 16 games · Avg 2.3 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2020-11-29 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-10-07 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Gamba Osaka 2019-09-14 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-05-11 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Gamba Osaka 2018-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 Gamba Osaka

Recent Form

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Nov	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
25 Nov	Kawasaki Frontale	A	0–5	L
22 Nov	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	2–1	W
14 Nov	Vegalta Sendai	H	0–4	L
11 Nov	Vissel Kobe	H	1–0	W
03 Nov	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–1	D

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Nov	Gamba Osaka	A	1–1	D
25 Nov	Vegalta Sendai	H	0–1	L
21 Nov	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–1	W
14 Nov	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–1	D
08 Nov	Vegalta Sendai	A	3–0	W
03 Nov	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–0	D

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

0-15

1/2

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/–

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

Issam Jebali	2 G	1 A
Deniz Hummet	2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani	1 G
Asahi Uenaka	1 G
Welton	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to Panasonic Stadium Suita that hosts another battle between Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu FC.
5' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
10' Park Ilkyu has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
11' GOAL! Ryunosuke Sagara scores on 11.
16' With 1 assists to his name this season, Ryoya Morishita is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
21' Gamba Osaka are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
26' It looks surprising Gamba Osaka does not make any changes. Shinya Yajima has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
31' It looks like no one’s ball. Gamba Osaka is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
36' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
41' Gamba Osaka are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
46' The whistle greets Ryunosuke Sagara as he departs to be replaced by Tomoya Koyamatsu.
51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
52' Eduardo was booked on 52.
56' The crowd applauds Yuya Fukuda as he leaves the pitch. Yuki Yamamoto steps in for Gamba Osaka.
61' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
66' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 66 minutes.
69' Kazuma Watanabe gets the nod from Gamba Osaka. He replaces Shuhei Kawasaki and will look to change the dynamic.
72' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Yuta Higuchi is withdrawn and Hideto Takahashi gets his opportunity.
77' Patric doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
79' The referee has no hesitation. Shu Kurata is booked for Gamba Osaka — Yellow card on 79.
80' Shoji Toyama is replacing Takashi Usami for the Gamba Osaka side.
82' Yohei Toyoda has so much to prove this time. He replaces Fuchi Honda on 82 minute.
87' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
90' Riki Harakawa is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

Gamba Osaka Lineups

Starting XI

33
Takashi Usami ↓ Shoji Toyama 80'
21
Shinya Yajima
19
Kim Younggwon
1
Masaaki Higashiguchi C
4
Hiroki Fujiharu
13
Shunya Suganuma
10
Shu Kurata ↓ Dai Tsukamoto 80'
14
Yuya Fukuda ↓ Yuki Yamamoto 56'
18
Patric
27
Ryu Takao
34
Shuhei Kawasaki ↓ Kazuma Watanabe 69'

Bench

39
Kazuma Watanabe ↑ 69'
3
Gen Shoji
26
Kohei Okuno
16
Jun Ichimori
29
Yuki Yamamoto ↑ 56'
38
Shoji Toyama ↑ 80'
30
Dai Tsukamoto ↑ 80'

Coach Tsuneyasu Miyamoto

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Eduardo C
4
Riki Harakawa
41
Daiki Matsuoka
38
Daiki Miya
30
Yuta Higuchi ↓ Hideto Takahashi 72'
40
Park Ilkyu
23
Fuchi Honda ↓ Yohei Toyoda 82'
6
Yuto Uchida ↓ Ryoya Morishita 46'
20
Renzo Lopez ↓ Daichi Hayashi 72'
47
Shinya Nakano
46
Ryunosuke Sagara ↓ Tomoya Koyamatsu 46'

Bench

36
Hideto Takahashi ↑ 72'
11
Yohei Toyoda ↑ 82'
1
Tatsuya Morita
2
Teruki Hara
16
Daichi Hayashi ↑ 72'
22
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↑ 46'
28
Ryoya Morishita ↑ 46'

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuji Ono	3
Kazuma Watanabe	3
Isa Sakamoto	2
Takashi Usami	2
Hwang Seokho	2
Taisei Miyashiro	2
Yoichi Naganuma	2
Ryunosuke Sagara	1

Head to Head

Gamba Osaka Form

2020-11-29 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2020-11-25 Kawasaki Frontale 5–0 Gamba Osaka L 2020-11-22 Urawa Red Diamonds 1–2 Gamba Osaka W 2020-11-14 Gamba Osaka 0–4 Vegalta Sendai L 2020-11-11 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Vissel Kobe W 2020-11-03 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Gamba Osaka D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2020-11-29 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2020-11-25 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Vegalta Sendai L 2020-11-21 Kashiwa Reysol 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC W 2020-11-14 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2020-11-08 Vegalta Sendai 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC W 2020-11-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.09 Gamba Osaka xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.37 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Gamba Osaka or Sagan Tosu FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Gamba Osaka33% Draw29% Sagan Tosu FC38%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.46

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	44%	56%
± 3.5	24%	76%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw

62%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

67%

Gamba Osaka or Sagan Tosu FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Gamba Osaka21% Draw49% Sagan Tosu FC30%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

10.7%

0 – 1

10.6%

1 – 2

8.4%

1 – 0

8.2%

0 – 2

7.8%

2 – 1

6.7%

2 – 0

4.9%

2 – 2

4.7%

1 – 3

3.9%

0 – 3

3.5%

3 – 1

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap	Gamba Osaka covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	8%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	17%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	22%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	13%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.