Sunday , 16 August 2026

Fagiano Okayama FC vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Wed 26 Feb 2025 · 10:00 UTC City Light Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 90' Yusei Egawa

Overview

Match Preview

Fagiano Okayama FC vs Gamba OsakaJ. League at City Light Stadium.

Head-to-Head

2
2
Fagiano Okayama FC 4 games · Avg 4.8 goals Gamba Osaka

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Gamba Osaka H 2–0 W
22 Feb Yokohama FC A 0–1 L
15 Feb Kyoto Sanga FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Fagiano Okayama FC A 0–2 L
22 Feb Avispa Fukuoka H 2–1 W
14 Feb Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–5 L
08 Dec Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 3–1 W
30 Nov Albirex Niigata A 1–0 W
09 Nov Jubilo Iwata A 4–3 W

Season Stats

Fagiano Okayama FC Gamba Osaka
#6 Position #5
26 Points 28
18 Played 18
8 / 0 / 10 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
41 Scored 61
46 Conceded 53
-5 GD +8
1.44 PPG 1.56
44% Win % 56%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Fagiano Okayama FC host Gamba Osaka — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Hiroto Iwabuchi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Takahiro Yanagi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fagiano Okayama FC.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fagiano Okayama FC and Gamba Osaka are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 20' Gamba Osaka looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Issam Jebali scoring 1 goals.
  • 25' Gamba Osaka fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 30' Issam Jebali, a Tunisia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 45' Takahiro Yanagi doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 46' Neta Lavi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rin Mito at the 46 minute mark.
  • 48' Kazunari Ichimi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 48 minutes.
  • 53' Fagiano Okayama FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gamba Osaka backline.
  • 56' Shoji Toyama has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shu Kurata on 56 minute.
  • 57' A tactical swap from Gamba OsakaIssam Jebali on, Harumi Minamino off on 57 minutes.
  • 59' The whistle greets Ataru Esaka as he departs to be replaced by Takaya Kimura.
  • 60' Lucao is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hiroto Iwabuchi at the 60 minute mark.
  • 65' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 68' Kaito Fujii gets the nod from Fagiano Okayama FC. He replaces Yuta Kamiya and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 78' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Riku Handa suffering a number of foals already.
  • 79' The Gamba Osaka manager makes a substitution. Tokuma Suzuki departs to be replaced by Gaku Nawata.
  • 82' Another substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC to replace Takahiro Yanagi by Kaito Abe on 82 minute.
  • 83' A tactical swap from Fagiano Okayama FCNoah Browne on, Kazunari Ichimi off on 83 minutes.
  • 88' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Yusei Egawa. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • It finishes all square. Fagiano Okayama FC and Gamba Osaka share the spoils 2-0.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.76 Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.1 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 81%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fagiano Okayama FC52% Draw20% Gamba Osaka28%
Actual: Fagiano Okayama FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes81% 0% No19%
Avg goals/match: 4.86
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 85%
15%
± 3.5 70%
30%
± 4.5 52%
48%

Double Chance

Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
48%
Fagiano Okayama FC or Gamba Osaka
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Fagiano Okayama FC41% Draw33% Gamba Osaka26%
Actual: Fagiano Okayama FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 1
6.2%
3 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
1 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 3
4.4%
3 – 3
4%
4 – 2
4%
4 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.3%
2 – 0
Actual

Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC

Handicap Fagiano Okayama FC covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 15% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 18% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 14% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 9% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
13%
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.