Fagiano Okayama FC vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fagiano Okayama FC vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at City Light Stadium.
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb | Gamba Osaka | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | Yokohama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Feb | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Feb | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–5 | L |
| 08 Dec | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Nov | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Jubilo Iwata | A | 4–3 | W |
Season Stats
| Fagiano Okayama FC | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #5 |
| 26 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 61 |
| 46 | Conceded | 53 |
| -5 | GD | +8 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 44% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to City Light Stadium that hosts another battle between Fagiano Okayama FC and Gamba Osaka.
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fagiano Okayama FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' Shu Kurata needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fagiano Okayama FC and Gamba Osaka are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Issam Jebali, as he is very good at scoring at City Light Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 40' Takashi Usami has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 45' What a moment for Takahiro Yanagi! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
- 46' The Gamba Osaka manager makes a substitution. Rin Mito departs to be replaced by Neta Lavi.
- 48' Kazunari Ichimi doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 53' The travelling Gamba Osaka supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 56' Another change for Gamba Osaka made on 56 minute. Shu Kurata leaves to be changed by Shoji Toyama.
- 57' Harumi Minamino makes way for Issam Jebali at the 57 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gamba Osaka.
- 59' Fresh legs for Fagiano Okayama FC! Takaya Kimura comes on to replace Ataru Esaka.
- 60' A tactical swap from Fagiano Okayama FC — Lucao on, Hiroto Iwabuchi off on 60 minutes.
- 65' Riku Handa is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Gamba Osaka tonight.
- 68' Kaito Fujii is replacing Yuta Kamiya for the Fagiano Okayama FC side.
- 73' Gamba Osaka seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 78' It looks surprising Fagiano Okayama FC does not make any changes. Shoji Toyama has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 79' The Gamba Osaka bench stirs into life. Tokuma Suzuki is withdrawn and Gaku Nawata gets his opportunity.
- 82' The whistle greets Takahiro Yanagi as he departs to be replaced by Kaito Abe.
- 83' The crowd applauds Kazunari Ichimi as he leaves the pitch. Noah Browne steps in for Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 88' Hiroto Iwabuchi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Yusei Egawa. He receives a card.
- Full Time. Fagiano Okayama FC beats Gamba Osaka
Lineups
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
-
88
Takahiro Yanagi ↓ Kaito Abe 82'
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Noah Browne 83'
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Takaya Kimura 59'
- 24
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↓ Kaito Fujii 68'
- 15
- 50
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↓ Lucao 60'
Bench
- 7
- 1
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 59'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 60'
-
45
Noah Browne ↑ 83'
-
4
Kaito Abe ↑ 82'
- 23
-
3
Kaito Fujii ↑ 68'
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
-
10
Shu Kurata ↓ Shoji Toyama 56'
- 24
- 4
- 22
- 17
- 2
-
16
Tokuma Suzuki ↓ Gaku Nawata 79'
- 3
- 27
-
42
Harumi Minamino ↓ Issam Jebali 57'
Bench
-
11
Issam Jebali ↑ 57'
- 1
- 5
- 67
-
6
Neta Lavi ↑ 46'
-
40
Shoji Toyama ↑ 56'
- 33
-
15
Takeru Kishimoto ↑ 56'
-
38
Gaku Nawata ↑ 79'
Coach
Dani Poyatos
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hiroto Iwabuchi | 2 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
| Takahiro Yanagi | 1 |
| Kazunari Ichimi | 1 |
| Takaya Kimura | 1 |
| Issam Jebali | 1 |
| Takeru Kishimoto | 1 |
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.76
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.1
Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 81%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.86
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 3.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 4.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
Double Chance
Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
48%
Fagiano Okayama FC or Gamba Osaka
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 1
6.2%
3 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
1 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 3
4.4%
3 – 3
4%
4 – 2
4%
4 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.3%
2 – 0
Actual
Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC
| Handicap | Fagiano Okayama FC covers | Push | Gamba Osaka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 15% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 18% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 14% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✗
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

