Fagiano Okayama FC vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fagiano Okayama FC vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at City Light Stadium.
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb | Gamba Osaka | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | Yokohama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Feb | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Feb | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–5 | L |
| 08 Dec | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Nov | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Jubilo Iwata | A | 4–3 | W |
Season Stats
| Fagiano Okayama FC | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #5 |
| 26 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 61 |
| 46 | Conceded | 53 |
| -5 | GD | +8 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 44% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Fagiano Okayama FC host Gamba Osaka — let the battle begin!
- 5' Hiroto Iwabuchi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Takahiro Yanagi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fagiano Okayama FC and Gamba Osaka are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' Gamba Osaka looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Issam Jebali scoring 1 goals.
- 25' Gamba Osaka fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 30' Issam Jebali, a Tunisia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 45' Takahiro Yanagi doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 46' Neta Lavi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rin Mito at the 46 minute mark.
- 48' Kazunari Ichimi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 48 minutes.
- 53' Fagiano Okayama FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gamba Osaka backline.
- 56' Shoji Toyama has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shu Kurata on 56 minute.
- 57' A tactical swap from Gamba Osaka — Issam Jebali on, Harumi Minamino off on 57 minutes.
- 59' The whistle greets Ataru Esaka as he departs to be replaced by Takaya Kimura.
- 60' Lucao is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hiroto Iwabuchi at the 60 minute mark.
- 65' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 68' Kaito Fujii gets the nod from Fagiano Okayama FC. He replaces Yuta Kamiya and will look to change the dynamic.
- 73' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 78' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Riku Handa suffering a number of foals already.
- 79' The Gamba Osaka manager makes a substitution. Tokuma Suzuki departs to be replaced by Gaku Nawata.
- 82' Another substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC to replace Takahiro Yanagi by Kaito Abe on 82 minute.
- 83' A tactical swap from Fagiano Okayama FC — Noah Browne on, Kazunari Ichimi off on 83 minutes.
- 88' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 90' Poor challenge from Yusei Egawa. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- It finishes all square. Fagiano Okayama FC and Gamba Osaka share the spoils 2-0.
Lineups
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
-
88
Takahiro Yanagi ↓ Kaito Abe 82'
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Noah Browne 83'
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Takaya Kimura 59'
- 24
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↓ Kaito Fujii 68'
- 15
- 50
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↓ Lucao 60'
Bench
- 7
- 1
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 59'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 60'
-
45
Noah Browne ↑ 83'
-
4
Kaito Abe ↑ 82'
- 23
-
3
Kaito Fujii ↑ 68'
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
-
10
Shu Kurata ↓ Shoji Toyama 56'
- 24
- 4
- 22
- 17
- 2
-
16
Tokuma Suzuki ↓ Gaku Nawata 79'
- 3
- 27
-
42
Harumi Minamino ↓ Issam Jebali 57'
Bench
-
11
Issam Jebali ↑ 57'
- 1
- 5
- 67
-
6
Neta Lavi ↑ 46'
-
40
Shoji Toyama ↑ 56'
- 33
-
15
Takeru Kishimoto ↑ 56'
-
38
Gaku Nawata ↑ 79'
Coach
Dani Poyatos
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hiroto Iwabuchi | 2 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
| Takahiro Yanagi | 1 |
| Kazunari Ichimi | 1 |
| Takaya Kimura | 1 |
| Issam Jebali | 1 |
| Takeru Kishimoto | 1 |
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.76
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.1
Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 81%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.86
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 3.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 4.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
Double Chance
Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
48%
Fagiano Okayama FC or Gamba Osaka
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 1
6.2%
3 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
1 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 3
4.4%
3 – 3
4%
4 – 2
4%
4 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.3%
2 – 0
Actual
Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC
| Handicap | Fagiano Okayama FC covers | Push | Gamba Osaka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 15% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 18% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 14% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✗
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

