Fagiano Okayama FC vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fagiano Okayama FC vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at City Light Stadium.
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb | Gamba Osaka | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | Yokohama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Feb | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Feb | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–5 | L |
| 08 Dec | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Nov | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Júbilo Iwata | A | 4–3 | W |
Season Stats
| Fagiano Okayama FC | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #5 |
| 26 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 61 |
| 46 | Conceded | 53 |
| -5 | GD | +8 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 44% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/4
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Noah Browne | 2 G | 1 A |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
Gamba Osaka
| Issam Jebali | 5 G | 3 A |
| Ryotaro Meshino | 2 G | |
| Welton | 2 G | |
| Deniz Hummet | 2 G | |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Fagiano Okayama FC host Gamba Osaka — let the battle begin!
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fagiano Okayama FC and Gamba Osaka are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 15' Riku Handa has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 20' Gamba Osaka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. Dani Poyatos might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 40' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 45' Takahiro Yanagi puts Fagiano Okayama FC on the lead.
- 46' Fresh legs for Gamba Osaka! Neta Lavi comes on to replace Rin Mito.
- 48' Magnificent from Kazunari Ichimi! That is 13 goals in 415 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 53' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 56' The Gamba Osaka manager makes a substitution. Shu Kurata departs to be replaced by Shoji Toyama.
- 57' Issam Jebali is ready to make an impact after coming on for Harumi Minamino at the 57 minute mark.
- 59' Time for substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC. Ataru Esaka is replaced by Takaya Kimura.
- 60' Another change for Fagiano Okayama FC made on 60 minute. Hiroto Iwabuchi leaves to be changed by Lucao.
- 65' It’s high time Dani Poyatos made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 68' Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kaito Fujii is hanging Yuta Kamiya on the field on 68 minute.
- 73' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ibuki Fujita is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 78' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jun Ichimori suffering a number of foals already.
- 79' It is a substitution in Gamba Osaka team. Tokuma Suzuki is replaced by Gaku Nawata on 79 minute.
- 82' Time for substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC. Takahiro Yanagi is replaced by Kaito Abe.
- 83' Kazunari Ichimi makes way for Noah Browne at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 88' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Gamba Osaka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 90' The referee shows Gamba Osaka player a card on 90.
- With this win, Fagiano Okayama FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
-
88
Takahiro Yanagi ↓ Kaito Abe 82'
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Noah Browne 83'
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Takaya Kimura 59'
- 24
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↓ Kaito Fujii 68'
- 15
- 50
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↓ Lucao 60'
Bench
- 7
- 1
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 59'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 60'
-
45
Noah Browne ↑ 83'
-
4
Kaito Abe ↑ 82'
- 23
-
3
Kaito Fujii ↑ 68'
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
-
10
Shu Kurata ↓ Shoji Toyama 56'
- 24
- 4
- 22
- 17
- 2
-
16
Tokuma Suzuki ↓ Gaku Nawata 79'
- 3
- 27
-
42
Harumi Minamino ↓ Issam Jebali 57'
Bench
-
11
Issam Jebali ↑ 57'
- 1
- 5
- 67
-
6
Neta Lavi ↑ 46'
-
40
Shoji Toyama ↑ 56'
- 33
-
15
Takeru Kishimoto ↑ 56'
-
38
Gaku Nawata ↑ 79'
Coach
Dani Poyatos
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hiroto Iwabuchi | 2 |
| Takeru Kishimoto | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
| Takahiro Yanagi | 1 |
| Kazunari Ichimi | 1 |
| Takaya Kimura | 1 |
| Issam Jebali | 1 |
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.76
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.1
Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 81%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.86
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 3.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 4.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
Double Chance
Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
48%
Fagiano Okayama FC or Gamba Osaka
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 1
6.2%
3 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
1 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 3
4.4%
3 – 3
4%
4 – 2
4%
4 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.3%
2 – 0
Actual
Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC
| Handicap | Fagiano Okayama FC covers | Push | Gamba Osaka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 15% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 18% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 14% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✗
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

