Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Machida Zelvia vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 05:00 UTC Machida GION Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Albirex Niigata H 1–0 W
08 Mar Yokohama FC A 2–0 W
02 Mar Nagoya Grampus A 2–1 W
26 Feb Tōkyō Verdy H 0–1 L
22 Feb FC Tōkyō A 1–0 W
16 Feb Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar FC Machida Zelvia A 0–1 L
08 Mar Tōkyō Verdy H 2–2 D
02 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–2 D
26 Feb Kashima Antlers A 1–2 L
22 Feb Shimizu S-Pulse A 0–2 L
15 Feb Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–1 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/4
61-75
4/1
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Machida Zelvia
Yuki Soma 3 G 3 A
Koki Ogawa 3 G
Hotaka Nakamura 2 G 1 A
Tete Yengi 2 G 1 A
Takuma Nishimura 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Machida GION Stadium that hosts another battle between FC Machida Zelvia and Albirex Niigata.
  • 5' FC Machida Zelvia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 16' The referee calls foul for Hokuto Shimoda. He receives a card.
  • 21' The travelling Albirex Niigata supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 25' Goal! Takuma Nishimura scores his 61 goal in 402 matches.
  • 30' Kosei Tani is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Machida Zelvia tonight.
  • 35' FC Machida Zelvia currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 40' Jin Okumura has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 45' FC Machida Zelvia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 46' Another substitution for Albirex Niigata to replace Kodai Mori by Ken Yamura on 46 minute.
  • 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 56' Over 56 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 61' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 66' Albirex Niigata seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 71' A quiet spell here at Machida GION Stadium. FC Machida Zelvia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 76' Time for substitution for FC Machida Zelvia. Yuki Soma is replaced by Sang-ho Na.
  • 77' Fresh legs for Albirex Niigata! Kento Hashimoto comes on to replace Yuto Horigome.
  • 82' Yoshiaki Takagi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 84' Shota Fujio is replacing Takuma Nishimura for the FC Machida Zelvia side.
  • 86' The crowd applauds Taiki Arai as he leaves the pitch. Yoshiaki Takagi steps in for Albirex Niigata.
  • 1-0 the final result. Albirex Niigata will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for: FC Machida Zelvia or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Machida Zelvia44% Draw30% Albirex Niigata26%
Actual: FC Machida Zelvia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.03
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
75%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
56%
FC Machida Zelvia or Albirex Niigata
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Machida Zelvia26% Draw54% Albirex Niigata20%
Actual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.4%
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.6%
2 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
2.9%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia

Handicap FC Machida Zelvia covers Push Albirex Niigata covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 22% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 18% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.