Sunday , 16 August 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Santos FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

2 3
Full Time
Thu 12 Jun 2025 · 22:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Santos FCSerie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jun Santos FC H 2–3 L
01 Jun CR Flamengo A 0–5 L
25 May Cruzeiro EC H 0–2 L
17 May CR Vasco da Gama A 0–3 L
10 May EC Juventude H 5–0 W
03 May Sao Paulo FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jun Fortaleza EC A 3–2 W
01 Jun Botafogo FR H 0–1 L
25 May EC Vitoria A 1–0 W
18 May SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–1 L
12 May Ceará SC H 0–0 D
04 May Gremio FBPA A 0–1 L

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Santos FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/4
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Santos FC
Gabriel Barbosa 7 G 2 A
Neymar 6 G 2 A
Alvaro Barreal 4 G 1 A
Benjamin Rollheiser 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Castelao. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Fortaleza EC and Santos FC.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Santos FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' Brilliant from the ! Alvaro Barreal makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 15.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
  • 35' The referee has no hesitation. Benjamin Rollheiser is booked for Santos FC — card on 35.
  • 40' It’s high time Juan Vojvoda made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 41' What a strike from Guilherme! The score is 0-2.
  • 46' The Santos FC manager makes a substitution. Souza departs to be replaced by Ze Ivaldo.
  • 51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fortaleza EC and Santos FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 57' The referee shows Fortaleza EC player a card on 57.
  • 60' A tactical swap from Fortaleza ECYago Pikachu on, Marinho off on 60 minutes.
  • 64' Thaciano has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tiquinho Soares on 64 minute.
  • 66' It’s gonna be a card for Emanuel Britez.
  • 71' What a strike from Yago Pikachu! The score is 1-2.
  • 74' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Yago Pikachu makes it 2-2.
  • 77' The Fortaleza EC bench stirs into life. Deyverson is withdrawn and Juan Lucero gets his opportunity.
  • 79' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jose Welison on 79.
  • 80' Diego Pituca makes way for Gabriel Bontempo at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Santos FC.
  • 81' A tactical swap from Santos FCDeivid Washington on, Alvaro Barreal off on 81 minutes.
  • 85' Joao Schmidt is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ze Rafael at the 85 minute mark.
  • 86' Bruno Pacheco has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 86.
  • 90' David Luiz catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • Santos FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.55 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 Santos FC xG
I would bet for: Fortaleza EC or Santos FC 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC43% Draw28% Santos FC29%
Actual: Santos FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
71%
Draw or Santos FC
57%
Fortaleza EC or Santos FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC32% Draw46% Santos FC22%
Actual: Santos FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Santos FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 21% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
30%
Santos FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.