Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Santos FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

2 – 3
Full Time
Thu 12 Jun 2025 · 22:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Santos FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jun Santos FC H 2–3 L
01 Jun CR Flamengo A 0–5 L
25 May Cruzeiro EC H 0–2 L
17 May CR Vasco da Gama A 0–3 L
10 May EC Juventude H 5–0 W
03 May Sao Paulo FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jun Fortaleza EC A 3–2 W
01 Jun Botafogo FR H 0–1 L
25 May EC Vitoria A 1–0 W
18 May SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–1 L
12 May Ceará SC H 0–0 D
04 May Gremio FBPA A 0–1 L

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Santos FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/3
31-45
7/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
3/4
76+
7/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Santos FC
Gabriel Barbosa 11 G 3 A
Neymar 6 G 3 A
Alvaro Barreal 5 G 1 A
Benjamin Rollheiser 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Fortaleza EC gets underway.
  • 5' Fortaleza EC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Fortaleza EC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' Alvaro Barreal does the damage! The net is bulging and Santos FC surge ahead!
  • 20' Gonzalo Escobar has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Bruno Pacheco made 183 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' It’s high time Juan Vojvoda made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 35' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Benjamin Rollheiser on 35 minutes.
  • 40' It looks like no one’s ball. Santos FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 41' Guilherme adds to his 9 season tally! Santos FC lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 46' Ze Ivaldo is replacing Souza for the Santos FC side.
  • 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 56' Joao Schmidt is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fortaleza EC so far.
  • 57' Poor challenge from Marinho. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 60' Time for substitution for Fortaleza EC. Marinho is replaced by Yago Pikachu.
  • 64' Thaciano is replacing Tiquinho Soares for the Santos FC side.
  • 66' Fortaleza EC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 71' The Brazil Yago Pikachu breaks the deadlock on 71 minutes. 1-2!
  • 74' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Yago Pikachu makes no mistake. 2-2!
  • 77' It is a substitution in Fortaleza EC team. Deyverson is replaced by Juan Lucero on 77 minute.
  • 79' The referee shows Fortaleza EC player a card on 79.
  • 80' Another substitution for Santos FC to replace Diego Pituca by Gabriel Bontempo on 80 minute.
  • 81' A tactical swap from Santos FC — Deivid Washington on, Alvaro Barreal off on 81 minutes.
  • 85' It is a substitution in Santos FC team. Ze Rafael is replaced by Joao Schmidt on 85 minute.
  • 86' Bruno Pacheco is having his name booked by the referee on 86.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for David Luiz. He receives a card.
  • 2-3 the final result. Fortaleza EC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.55 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 Santos FC xG
I would bet for: Fortaleza EC or Santos FC 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC43% Draw28% Santos FC29%
Actual: Santos FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
71%
Draw or Santos FC
57%
Fortaleza EC or Santos FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC32% Draw46% Santos FC22%
Actual: Santos FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Santos FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 21% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Santos FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.