Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Forest Green Rovers FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 17 Dec 2022 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
Derby County FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Forest Green Rovers FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Dec Forest Green Rovers FC H 4–0 W
10 Dec Burton Albion FC A 1–1 D
03 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–0 D
18 Nov Portsmouth FC A 0–0 D
15 Nov Torquay United FC H 5–0 W
12 Nov Milton Keynes Dons FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Dec Derby County FC A 0–4 L
10 Dec Cheltenham Town FC H 1–0 W
03 Dec Cambridge United FC H 2–1 W
26 Nov Alvechurch FC H 2–1 W
19 Nov Oxford United FC A 1–1 D
12 Nov Wycombe Wanderers FC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.39 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.58 Forest Green Rovers FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC to win 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC70% Draw19% Forest Green Rovers FC11%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
89%
Draw or Forest Green Rovers FC
30%
Derby County FC or Forest Green Rovers FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC55% Draw38% Forest Green Rovers FC7%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.4%
1 – 0
12%
3 – 0
11.2%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 1
7.7%
4 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
6.6%
4 – 1
4%
5 – 0
3.2%
0 – 1
2.4%
2 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Forest Green Rovers FC covers
-2.5 31% 69%
-2 31% 22% 46%
-1.5 54% 46%
-1 54% 23% 24%
-0.5 76% 24%
+0.5 93% 7%
+1 93% 5% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
56%
Forest Green Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.