Fagiano Okayama FC vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fagiano Okayama FC vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at City Light Stadium.
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | Gamba Osaka | A | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jun | Kashima Antlers | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | FC Tōkyō | H | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Jul | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–4 | L |
| 19 Jul | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 05 Jul | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–4 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
| Noah Browne | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at City Light Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Japan international Koki Tachi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ryunosuke Sato is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Shonan Bellmare.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fagiano Okayama FC and Shonan Bellmare are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' Luiz Phellype has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 21' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kazunari Ono.
- 26' Sere Matsumura needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 31' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 32' That is a card for Fagiano Okayama FC. Eiji Miyamoto will be fuming at that decision.
- 37' It looks like no one’s ball. Fagiano Okayama FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 41' Yoshitake Suzuki is having his name booked by the referee on 41.
- 46' Another substitution for Shonan Bellmare to replace Taiyo Hiraoka by Hiroaki Okuno on 46 minute.
- 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 55' Yuta Kamiya gets the nod from Fagiano Okayama FC. He replaces Eiji Miyamoto and will look to change the dynamic.
- 57' The supporters are chanting for Takahiro Yanagi. He replaces Masaya Matsumoto on 57 minute.
- 62' Kaito Abe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Shonan Bellmare so far.
- 65' A stunning finish from Ryunosuke Sato — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 65' Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Takaya Kimura is hanging Kazunari Ichimi on the field on 65 minute.
- 70' The travelling Shonan Bellmare supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 72' Another substitution for Shonan Bellmare to replace Yutaro Oda by Hisatsugu Ishii on 72 minute.
- 75' The whistle greets Ataru Esaka as he departs to be replaced by Hijiri Kato.
- 78' A change in the Shonan Bellmare ranks — Konsuke Onose exits the field as Luiz Phellype enters on 78.
- 81' Sena Ishibashi gets the nod from Shonan Bellmare. He replaces Sere Matsumura and will look to change the dynamic.
- 82' That looks like a foul for a card for Koki Tachi.
- 84' Controversy at the stadium! Akito Suzuki argues furiously but the card stands.
- 87' Luiz Phellype has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 87.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Fagiano Okayama FC take all three points.
Lineups
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 43
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Takaya Kimura 65'
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Hijiri Kato 75'
- 28
- 24
- 39
-
41
Eiji Miyamoto ↓ Yuta Kamiya 55'
- 4
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↓ Lucao 46'
Bench
- 77
-
88
Takahiro Yanagi ↑ 57'
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 55'
- 15
- 98
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↑ 75'
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 65'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 46'
- 14
Shonan Bellmare Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 37
- 66
- 8
-
15
Kohei Okuno ↓ Akimi Barada 46'
-
9
Yutaro Oda ↓ Hisatsugu Ishii 72'
- 4
-
13
Taiyo Hiraoka ↓ Hiroaki Okuno 46'
- 10
-
32
Sere Matsumura ↓ Sena Ishibashi 81'
-
7
Konsuke Onose ↓ Luiz Phellype 78'
Bench
- 6
-
27
Luiz Phellype ↑ 78'
-
25
Hiroaki Okuno ↑ 46'
- 22
-
14
Akimi Barada ↑ 46'
- 81
-
77
Hisatsugu Ishii ↑ 72'
- 72
-
20
Sena Ishibashi ↑ 81'
Coach
Satoshi Yamaguchi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ryunosuke Sato | 2 |
| Luiz Phellype | 1 |
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-08-23
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Shonan Bellmare
W
2025-08-17
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–1
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2025-08-10
Gamba Osaka
0–3
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-07-20
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–2
Vissel Kobe
L
2025-07-05
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-06-28
Kashima Antlers
1–2
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
Shonan Bellmare Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.41
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8
Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
47%
Fagiano Okayama FC or Shonan Bellmare
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
13.1%
2 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
7.6%
3 – 0
4.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC
| Handicap | Fagiano Okayama FC covers | Push | Shonan Bellmare covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 25% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.