Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kashima Antlers vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 28 Jun 2025 · 09:00 UTC Kashima Soccer Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kashima Antlers vs Fagiano Okayama FCJ. League at Kashima Soccer Stadium.

Head-to-Head

1
1
Kashima Antlers 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Fagiano Okayama FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jun Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–2 L
21 Jun FC Machida Zelvia A 1–2 L
14 Jun Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–1 D
31 May Gamba Osaka A 1–0 W
25 May Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–3 L
17 May Shimizu S-Pulse H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jun Kashima Antlers A 2–1 W
21 Jun Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–0 W
15 Jun Avispa Fukuoka H 0–1 L
01 Jun Shonan Bellmare A 1–1 D
25 May FC Machida Zelvia H 2–2 D
18 May Albirex Niigata H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Kashima Antlers Fagiano Okayama FC
#11 Position #6
45 Points 26
18 Played 18
15 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 8 / 0 / 10
40 Scored 41
20 Conceded 46
+20 GD -5
2.50 PPG 1.44
83% Win % 44%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
61% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season
28% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season

Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashima Antlers
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/
76+
6/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.07 Kashima Antlers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kashima Antlers49% Draw25% Fagiano Okayama FC26%
Actual: Fagiano Okayama FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Kashima Antlers or Draw
74%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
51%
Kashima Antlers or Fagiano Okayama FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kashima Antlers40% Draw41% Fagiano Okayama FC19%
Actual: Kashima Antlers win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
5%
0 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Kashima Antlers

Handicap Kashima Antlers covers Push Fagiano Okayama FC covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 17% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 21% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
29%
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.