Saturday , 14 November 2026

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 6 Dec 2025 · 05:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 32' Yuta Kamiya
Y 64' Lucao

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Head-to-Head

1
3
Shimizu S-Pulse 4 games · Avg 3.0 goals Fagiano Okayama FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–2 L
30 Nov Shonan Bellmare A 0–1 L
09 Nov Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–4 L
25 Oct Tōkyō Verdy H 1–0 W
18 Oct Kawasaki Frontale A 3–5 L
04 Oct FC Tōkyō H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–1 W
30 Nov Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–1 L
08 Nov Kawasaki Frontale A 1–1 D
25 Oct FC Tōkyō A 1–3 L
18 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–2 L
04 Oct Albirex Niigata A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse Fagiano Okayama FC
#7 Position #6
24 Points 26
18 Played 18
8 / 0 / 10 W / D / L 8 / 0 / 10
40 Scored 41
42 Conceded 46
-2 GD -5
1.33 PPG 1.44
44% Win % 44%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
8% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
23% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/4
61-75
4/6
76+
1/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse
Se-hun Oh 2 G
Koya Kitagawa 1 G
Fagiano Okayama FC
Kota Kawano 3 G
Noah Browne 2 G 1 A
Lucao 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Shimizu S-Pulse gets underway.
  • 5' Shimizu S-Pulse is showing some good football. However, Shimizu S-Pulse are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Shimizu S-Pulse and Fagiano Okayama FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fagiano Okayama FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' Shimizu S-Pulse are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fagiano Okayama FC's shape.
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fagiano Okayama FC that had 69 games and scored 66 goals.
  • 32' Poor challenge from Yuta Kamiya. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 37' A quiet spell here at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. Shimizu S-Pulse seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 42' It looks surprising Fagiano Okayama FC does not make any changes. Daichi Tagami has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 47' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 47 minutes.
  • 52' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 57' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 58' Another change for Shimizu S-Pulse made on 58 minute. Alfredo Stephens leaves to be changed by Toshiki Takahashi.
  • 61' The supporters are chanting for Ryo Tabei. He replaces Eiji Miyamoto on 61 minute.
  • 63' Lucao has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 63 minutes.
  • 64' Lucao was booked on 64.
  • 66' Sen Takagi makes way for Kengo Kitazume at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shimizu S-Pulse.
  • 71' It looks like no one’s ball. Fagiano Okayama FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 74' The Fagiano Okayama FC bench stirs into life. Lucao is withdrawn and Kazunari Ichimi gets his opportunity.
  • 76' Ataru Esaka adds to his 2 season tally! Fagiano Okayama FC lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 80' Time for substitution for Shimizu S-Pulse. Sodai Hasukawa is replaced by Kazuki Kozuka.
  • 85' It’s high time Tadahiro Akiba made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 88' The whistle greets Takaya Kimura as he departs to be replaced by Hiroto Iwabuchi.
  • 90' GOAL! Toshiki Takahashi scores on 90. Assisted by Reon Yamahara
  • Shimizu S-Pulse will have plenty to reflect on. Fagiano Okayama FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.09 Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99 Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Shimizu S-Pulse or Fagiano Okayama FC 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Shimizu S-Pulse39% Draw24% Fagiano Okayama FC37%
Actual: Fagiano Okayama FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
63%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
61%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Fagiano Okayama FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Shimizu S-Pulse32% Draw37% Fagiano Okayama FC31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.8%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 3
4.6%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 3
3.3%
1 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap Shimizu S-Pulse covers Push Fagiano Okayama FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 12% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 17% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 17% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 11% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.