Shimizu S-Pulse vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
- Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Nov | Shonan Bellmare | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 3–5 | L |
| 04 Oct | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Nov | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Nov | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Oct | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Shimizu S-Pulse | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #6 |
| 24 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 40 | Scored | 41 |
| 42 | Conceded | 46 |
| -2 | GD | -5 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 44% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
8%
Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/4
61-75
4/6
76+
1/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Shimizu S-Pulse
| Se-hun Oh | 2 G |
| Koya Kitagawa | 1 G |
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Noah Browne | 2 G | 1 A |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Shimizu S-Pulse gets underway.
- 5' Shimizu S-Pulse is showing some good football. However, Shimizu S-Pulse are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Shimizu S-Pulse and Fagiano Okayama FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fagiano Okayama FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' Shimizu S-Pulse are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fagiano Okayama FC's shape.
- 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fagiano Okayama FC that had 69 games and scored 66 goals.
- 32' Poor challenge from Yuta Kamiya. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 37' A quiet spell here at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. Shimizu S-Pulse seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 42' It looks surprising Fagiano Okayama FC does not make any changes. Daichi Tagami has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 47' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 47 minutes.
- 52' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 57' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 58' Another change for Shimizu S-Pulse made on 58 minute. Alfredo Stephens leaves to be changed by Toshiki Takahashi.
- 61' The supporters are chanting for Ryo Tabei. He replaces Eiji Miyamoto on 61 minute.
- 63' Lucao has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 63 minutes.
- 64' Lucao was booked on 64.
- 66' Sen Takagi makes way for Kengo Kitazume at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shimizu S-Pulse.
- 71' It looks like no one’s ball. Fagiano Okayama FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 74' The Fagiano Okayama FC bench stirs into life. Lucao is withdrawn and Kazunari Ichimi gets his opportunity.
- 76' Ataru Esaka adds to his 2 season tally! Fagiano Okayama FC lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
- 80' Time for substitution for Shimizu S-Pulse. Sodai Hasukawa is replaced by Kazuki Kozuka.
- 85' It’s high time Tadahiro Akiba made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 88' The whistle greets Takaya Kimura as he departs to be replaced by Hiroto Iwabuchi.
- 90' GOAL! Toshiki Takahashi scores on 90. Assisted by Reon Yamahara
- Shimizu S-Pulse will have plenty to reflect on. Fagiano Okayama FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
-
21
Shinya Yajima ↓ Kota Miyamoto 66'
- 50
- 16
- 98
-
4
Sodai Hasukawa ↓ Kazuki Kozuka 80'
- 14
- 66
-
19
Kai Matsuzaki ↓ Koya Kitagawa 66'
- 24
-
70
Sen Takagi ↓ Kengo Kitazume 66'
Bench
- 7
- 28
- 1
-
23
Koya Kitagawa ↑ 66'
-
8
Kazuki Kozuka ↑ 80'
-
5
Kengo Kitazume ↑ 66'
-
6
Kota Miyamoto ↑ 66'
- 11
-
38
Toshiki Takahashi ↑ 58'
Coach
Tadahiro Akiba
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 18
- 2
- 8
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↓ Kaito Fujii 74'
- 15
- 39
-
41
Eiji Miyamoto ↓ Ryo Tabei 61'
- 26
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 88'
-
99
Lucao ↓ Kazunari Ichimi 74'
Bench
- 43
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↑ 74'
-
28
Masaya Matsumoto ↑ 61'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↑ 61'
- 4
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 88'
-
3
Kaito Fujii ↑ 74'
- 21
- 17
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kosuke Shirai | 1 |
| Leonardo Gaucho | 1 |
| Jelani Sumiyoshi | 1 |
| Takaya Kimura | 1 |
| Toshiki Takahashi | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
| Lucao | 1 |
Head to Head
Shimizu S-Pulse Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-12-06
Shimizu S-Pulse
1–2
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-11-30
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Urawa Red Diamonds
L
2025-11-08
Kawasaki Frontale
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-10-25
FC Tōkyō
3–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-10-18
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–2
Cerezo Osaka FC
L
2025-10-04
Albirex Niigata
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.09
Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Shimizu S-Pulse or Fagiano Okayama FC 76%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.08
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
Double Chance
Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
63%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
61%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Fagiano Okayama FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.8%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 3
4.6%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 3
3.3%
1 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse
| Handicap | Shimizu S-Pulse covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 12% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 17% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 17% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 11% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

