Shimizu S-Pulse vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
- Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Nov | Shonan Bellmare | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | Tokyo Verdy | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 3–5 | L |
| 04 Oct | FC Tokyo | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Nov | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Nov | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | FC Tokyo | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Oct | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Shimizu S-Pulse | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #6 |
| 24 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 40 | Scored | 41 |
| 42 | Conceded | 46 |
| -2 | GD | -5 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 44% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
100%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds IAI Stadium Nihondaira will turn into a battlefield for Shimizu S-Pulse and Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 5' Shimizu S-Pulse have won 286 goals from 367 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' Fagiano Okayama FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Shimizu S-Pulse must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 20' Japan international Takaya Kimura has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sodai Hasukawa made 437 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jelani Sumiyoshi suffering a number of foals already.
- 32' Yuta Kamiya catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 32.
- 37' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 37 minutes.
- 42' It is a cagey affair so far. Shimizu S-Pulse in their trying to find a way past Fagiano Okayama FC's compact .
- 47' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Shimizu S-Pulse and Fagiano Okayama FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 52' Shimizu S-Pulse are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 57' Yugo Tatsuta is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fagiano Okayama FC tonight.
- 58' Another change for Shimizu S-Pulse made on 58 minute. Alfredo Stephens leaves to be changed by Toshiki Takahashi.
- 61' A tactical swap from Fagiano Okayama FC — Ryo Tabei on, Eiji Miyamoto off on 61 minutes.
- 63' Goal! Lucao scores his 6 goal in 56 matches.
- 64' It’s a booking for Fagiano Okayama FC player. Lucao gets a card.
- 66' Sen Takagi makes way for Kengo Kitazume at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shimizu S-Pulse.
- 71' It looks like no one’s ball. Fagiano Okayama FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 74' The Fagiano Okayama FC bench stirs into life. Lucao is withdrawn and Kazunari Ichimi gets his opportunity.
- 76' The deadlock is broken! Ataru Esaka gets on the scoresheet on 76 minutes.
- 80' Kazuki Kozuka is ready to make an impact after coming on for Sodai Hasukawa at the 80 minute mark.
- 85' With 0 assists to his name this season, Masaya Matsumoto is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Shimizu S-Pulse.
- 88' Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hiroto Iwabuchi is hanging Takaya Kimura on the field on 88 minute.
- 90' Magnificent from Toshiki Takahashi! That is 6 goals in 439 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
-
21
Shinya Yajima ↓ Kota Miyamoto 66'
- 50
- 16
- 98
-
4
Sodai Hasukawa ↓ Kazuki Kozuka 80'
- 14
- 66
-
19
Kai Matsuzaki ↓ Koya Kitagawa 66'
- 24
-
70
Sen Takagi ↓ Kengo Kitazume 66'
Bench
- 7
- 28
- 1
-
23
Koya Kitagawa ↑ 66'
-
8
Kazuki Kozuka ↑ 80'
-
5
Kengo Kitazume ↑ 66'
-
6
Kota Miyamoto ↑ 66'
- 11
-
38
Toshiki Takahashi ↑ 58'
Coach
Tadahiro Akiba
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 18
- 2
- 8
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↓ Kaito Fujii 74'
- 15
- 39
-
41
Eiji Miyamoto ↓ Ryo Tabei 61'
- 26
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 88'
-
99
Lucao ↓ Kazunari Ichimi 74'
Bench
- 43
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↑ 74'
-
28
Masaya Matsumoto ↑ 61'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↑ 61'
- 4
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 88'
-
3
Kaito Fujii ↑ 74'
- 21
- 17
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Takaya Kimura | 1 |
| Toshiki Takahashi | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
| Lucao | 1 |
| Kosuke Shirai | 1 |
| Leonardo Gaucho | 1 |
| Jelani Sumiyoshi | 1 |
Head to Head
Shimizu S-Pulse Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-12-06
Shimizu S-Pulse
1–2
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-11-30
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Urawa Red Diamonds
L
2025-11-08
Kawasaki Frontale
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-10-25
FC Tokyo
3–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-10-18
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–2
Cerezo Osaka FC
L
2025-10-04
Albirex Niigata
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.09
Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Shimizu S-Pulse or Fagiano Okayama FC 76%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.08
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
Double Chance
Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
63%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
61%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Fagiano Okayama FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.8%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 3
4.6%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 3
3.3%
1 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse
| Handicap | Shimizu S-Pulse covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 12% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 17% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 17% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 11% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

