Thursday , 2 July 2026

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 – 2
Full Time
Fagiano Okayama FC
Sat 6 Dec 2025 · 05:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 32' Yuta Kamiya
Y 64' Lucao

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

1
3
Shimizu S-Pulse 4 games · Avg 3.0 goals Fagiano Okayama FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-06 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Fagiano Okayama FC 2025-03-02 Fagiano Okayama FC 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse

Recent Form

Shimizu S-Pulse
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–2 L
30 Nov Shonan Bellmare A 0–1 L
09 Nov Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–4 L
25 Oct Tokyo Verdy H 1–0 W
18 Oct Kawasaki Frontale A 3–5 L
04 Oct FC Tōkyō H 1–1 D
Fagiano Okayama FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–1 W
30 Nov Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–1 L
08 Nov Kawasaki Frontale A 1–1 D
25 Oct FC Tōkyō A 1–3 L
18 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–2 L
04 Oct Albirex Niigata A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse Fagiano Okayama FC
#7 Position #6
24 Points 26
18 Played 18
8 / 0 / 10 W / D / L 8 / 0 / 10
40 Scored 41
42 Conceded 46
-2 GD -5
1.33 PPG 1.44
44% Win % 44%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
28% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at IAI Stadium Nihondaira as Shimizu S-Pulse face off against Fagiano Okayama FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Shimizu S-Pulse are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yugo Tatsuta, as he is very good at scoring at IAI Stadium Nihondaira with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 15' Japan international Jelani Sumiyoshi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 30' Sen Takagi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 32' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Yuta Kamiya.
  • 37' Shimizu S-Pulse are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 42' Sodai Hasukawa has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 47' Hiroto Iwabuchi, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 52' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 57' Over 57 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 58' Another substitution for Shimizu S-Pulse to replace Alfredo Stephens by Toshiki Takahashi on 58 minute.
  • 61' The supporters are chanting for Ryo Tabei. He replaces Eiji Miyamoto on 61 minute.
  • 63' Fagiano Okayama FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Lucao on 63.
  • 64' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lucao on 64 minutes.
  • 66' Shimizu S-Pulse make a change. Sen Takagi trudges off to be replaced by Kengo Kitazume on 66 minutes.
  • 71' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tadahiro Akiba will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 74' Kazunari Ichimi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucao on 74 minute.
  • 76' Goal! Ataru Esaka scores his 45 goal in 411 matches.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Kazuki Kozuka. He replaces Sodai Hasukawa on 80 minute.
  • 85' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 88' Hiroto Iwabuchi gets the nod from Fagiano Okayama FC. He replaces Takaya Kimura and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' GOAL! Toshiki Takahashi scores on 90. Assisted by Reon Yamahara
  • The points are shared — Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 Fagiano Okayama FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tadahiro Akiba

Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kosuke Shirai 1
Leonardo Gaucho 1
Jelani Sumiyoshi 1
Takaya Kimura 1
Toshiki Takahashi 1
Ataru Esaka 1
Lucao 1

Head to Head

2025-12-06 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Fagiano Okayama FC 2025-03-02 Fagiano Okayama FC 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse

Shimizu S-Pulse Form

2025-12-06 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Fagiano Okayama FC L 2025-11-30 Shonan Bellmare 1–0 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2025-11-09 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–4 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2025-10-25 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–0 Tokyo Verdy W 2025-10-18 Kawasaki Frontale 5–3 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2025-10-04 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 FC Tōkyō D

Fagiano Okayama FC Form

2025-12-06 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Fagiano Okayama FC W 2025-11-30 Fagiano Okayama FC 0–1 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2025-11-08 Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Fagiano Okayama FC D 2025-10-25 FC Tōkyō 3–1 Fagiano Okayama FC L 2025-10-18 Fagiano Okayama FC 1–2 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2025-10-04 Albirex Niigata 1–1 Fagiano Okayama FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.09 Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99 Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Shimizu S-Pulse or Fagiano Okayama FC 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Shimizu S-Pulse39% Draw24% Fagiano Okayama FC37%
Actual: Fagiano Okayama FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
63%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
61%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Fagiano Okayama FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Shimizu S-Pulse32% Draw37% Fagiano Okayama FC31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.8%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 3
4.6%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 3
3.3%
1 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap Shimizu S-Pulse covers Push Fagiano Okayama FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 12% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 17% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 17% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 11% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.