Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 – 2
Full Time
Fagiano Okayama FC
Sat 6 Dec 2025 · 05:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 32' Yuta Kamiya
Y 64' Lucao

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

1
3
Shimizu S-Pulse 4 games · Avg 3.0 goals Fagiano Okayama FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-06 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Fagiano Okayama FC 2025-03-02 Fagiano Okayama FC 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse

Recent Form

Shimizu S-Pulse
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–2 L
30 Nov Shonan Bellmare A 0–1 L
09 Nov Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–4 L
25 Oct Tōkyō Verdy H 1–0 W
18 Oct Kawasaki Frontale A 3–5 L
04 Oct FC Tōkyō H 1–1 D
Fagiano Okayama FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–1 W
30 Nov Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–1 L
08 Nov Kawasaki Frontale A 1–1 D
25 Oct FC Tōkyō A 1–3 L
18 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–2 L
04 Oct Albirex Niigata A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse Fagiano Okayama FC
#7 Position #6
24 Points 26
18 Played 18
8 / 0 / 10 W / D / L 8 / 0 / 10
40 Scored 41
42 Conceded 46
-2 GD -5
1.33 PPG 1.44
44% Win % 44%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
29% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse
Se-hun Oh 2 G
Koya Kitagawa 1 G
Fagiano Okayama FC
Kota Kawano 3 G
Lucao 1 G 1 A
Noah Browne 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Shimizu S-Pulse get us underway at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Shimizu S-Pulse and Fagiano Okayama FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 20' Jelani Sumiyoshi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 32' That is a card for Fagiano Okayama FC. Yuta Kamiya will be fuming at that decision.
  • 37' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kota Kudo made 443 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 42' It looks like no one’s ball. Fagiano Okayama FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 47' Shimizu S-Pulse have won 287 goals from 371 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 52' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 57' Fagiano Okayama FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 58' The whistle greets Alfredo Stephens as he departs to be replaced by Toshiki Takahashi.
  • 61' The supporters are chanting for Ryo Tabei. He replaces Eiji Miyamoto on 61 minute.
  • 63' The Brazil Lucao breaks the deadlock on 63 minutes. 0-1!
  • 64' It’s a booking for Fagiano Okayama FC player. Lucao gets a card.
  • 66' Fresh legs for Shimizu S-Pulse! Kengo Kitazume comes on to replace Sen Takagi.
  • 71' Ryo Tabei has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 74' A tactical swap from Fagiano Okayama FC — Kazunari Ichimi on, Lucao off on 74 minutes.
  • 76' Ataru Esaka is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 80' A change in the Shimizu S-Pulse ranks — Sodai Hasukawa exits the field as Kazuki Kozuka enters on 80.
  • 85' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 88' Another change for Fagiano Okayama FC made on 88 minute. Takaya Kimura leaves to be changed by Hiroto Iwabuchi.
  • 90' Toshiki Takahashi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 90 minutes.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Shimizu S-Pulse.

Lineups

Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tadahiro Akiba

Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jelani Sumiyoshi 1
Takaya Kimura 1
Toshiki Takahashi 1
Ataru Esaka 1
Lucao 1
Kosuke Shirai 1
Leonardo Gaucho 1

Head to Head

2025-12-06 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Fagiano Okayama FC 2025-03-02 Fagiano Okayama FC 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse

Shimizu S-Pulse Form

2025-12-06 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Fagiano Okayama FC L 2025-11-30 Shonan Bellmare 1–0 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2025-11-09 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–4 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2025-10-25 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–0 Tōkyō Verdy W 2025-10-18 Kawasaki Frontale 5–3 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2025-10-04 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 FC Tōkyō D

Fagiano Okayama FC Form

2025-12-06 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Fagiano Okayama FC W 2025-11-30 Fagiano Okayama FC 0–1 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2025-11-08 Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Fagiano Okayama FC D 2025-10-25 FC Tōkyō 3–1 Fagiano Okayama FC L 2025-10-18 Fagiano Okayama FC 1–2 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2025-10-04 Albirex Niigata 1–1 Fagiano Okayama FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.09 Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99 Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Shimizu S-Pulse or Fagiano Okayama FC 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Shimizu S-Pulse39% Draw24% Fagiano Okayama FC37%
Actual: Fagiano Okayama FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
63%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
61%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Fagiano Okayama FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Shimizu S-Pulse32% Draw37% Fagiano Okayama FC31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.8%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 3
4.6%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 3
3.3%
1 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap Shimizu S-Pulse covers Push Fagiano Okayama FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 12% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 17% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 17% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 11% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.