Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Fagiano Okayama FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
6 – 5
5 – 4 pen
Full Time
Sun 1 Mar 2026 · 05:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fagiano Okayama FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Yusuke Ohashi (Japan)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 6–5 W
22 Feb Gamba Osaka H 1–2 L
14 Feb Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–1 D
08 Feb Avispa Fukuoka A 6–8 L
06 Dec Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–1 W
30 Nov Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Fagiano Okayama FC A 5–6 L
21 Feb V-Varen Nagasaki H 1–3 L
15 Feb Gamba Osaka A 0–0 D
08 Feb Shimizu S-Pulse H 1–0 W
06 Dec Avispa Fukuoka H 1–0 W
30 Nov FC Machida Zelvia A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Fagiano Okayama FC Nagoya Grampus
#6 Position #3
26 Points 31
18 Played 18
8 / 0 / 10 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
41 Scored 46
46 Conceded 44
-5 GD +2
1.44 PPG 1.72
44% Win % 56%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fagiano Okayama FC
Kota Kawano 3 G
Lucao 1 G 1 A
Noah Browne 1 G
Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.88 Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.73 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 91% + Both teams to score 87%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fagiano Okayama FC46% Draw20% Nagoya Grampus34%
Actual: Fagiano Okayama FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes87% 0% No13%
Avg goals/match: 5.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 97%
3%
± 2.5 91%
9%
± 3.5 79%
21%
± 4.5 64%
36%

Double Chance

Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
54%
Fagiano Okayama FC or Nagoya Grampus
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fagiano Okayama FC36% Draw31% Nagoya Grampus33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–5 not predicted
6 – 5
Actual
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 3
5%
3 – 3
4.7%
2 – 1
4.3%
1 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
4%
4 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
3.6%
1 – 1
3.5%
4 – 3
3.4%
2 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC

Handicap Fagiano Okayama FC covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 12% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 16% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 15% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 11% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
7% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.