Fagiano Okayama FC vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fagiano Okayama FC vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at City Light Stadium.
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Albirex Niigata | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 May | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | FC Tōkyō | H | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Apr | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Noah Browne | 2 G | 1 A |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at City Light Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Fagiano Okayama FC and Albirex Niigata.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' Ataru Esaka adds to his 2 season tally! Fagiano Okayama FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 15' What a strike from Motoki Hasegawa! The score is 1-1.
- 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fagiano Okayama FC and Albirex Niigata are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Daisuke Kimori might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 36' Michael Fitzgerald was booked on 36.
- 41' Svend Brodersen is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fagiano Okayama FC so far.
- 46' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fagiano Okayama FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 56' Yoshiaki Takagi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 58' Kazunari Ichimi adds to his 0 season tally! Fagiano Okayama FC lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
- 58' Another change for Albirex Niigata made on 58 minute. Keisuke Kasai leaves to be changed by Yoshiaki Takagi.
- 63' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 67' The crowd applauds Kazunari Ichimi as he leaves the pitch. Lucao steps in for Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 72' Fagiano Okayama FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Albirex Niigata backline.
- 77' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 78' Albirex Niigata ring the changes. Yuji Hoshi has done his job and it is now time for Ken Yamura to step up.
- 79' Shusuke Ota is replacing Danilo for the Albirex Niigata side.
- 80' Ryo Takeuchi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryo Tabei at the 80 minute mark.
- 85' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 89' The Fagiano Okayama FC bench stirs into life. Yoshitake Suzuki is withdrawn and Kota Kudo gets his opportunity.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Yugo Tatsuta is booked for Fagiano Okayama FC — card on 90.
- It finishes all square. Fagiano Okayama FC and Albirex Niigata share the spoils 2-1.
Lineups
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
-
43
Yoshitake Suzuki ↓ Kota Kudo 89'
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 67'
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Yuta Kamiya 80'
- 24
- 39
- 50
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 67'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↓ Ryo Takeuchi 80'
Bench
- 88
-
7
Ryo Takeuchi ↑ 80'
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 80'
-
15
Kota Kudo ↑ 89'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 67'
- 45
- 4
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 67'
- 21
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
-
19
Yuji Hoshi ↓ Ken Yamura 78'
- 2
-
11
Danilo ↓ Shusuke Ota 79'
- 25
-
31
Yuto Horigome ↓ Kento Hashimoto 58'
- 23
- 41
-
30
Jin Okumura ↓ Yota Komi 58'
-
46
Keisuke Kasai ↓ Yoshiaki Takagi 58'
- 22
Bench
- 35
-
42
Kento Hashimoto ↑ 58'
-
28
Shusuke Ota ↑ 79'
-
16
Yota Komi ↑ 58'
-
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↑ 58'
- 13
- 8
-
9
Ken Yamura ↑ 78'
- 1
Coach
Daisuke Kimori
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kazunari Ichimi | 2 |
| Motoki Hasegawa | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
| Eiji Shirai | 1 |
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-05-18
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–1
Albirex Niigata
W
2025-05-10
Kashiwa Reysol
2–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-05-06
Nagoya Grampus
0–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-05-03
Vissel Kobe
2–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-04-29
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Tōkyō Verdy
L
2025-04-25
Avispa Fukuoka
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
Albirex Niigata Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.44
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
52%
Fagiano Okayama FC or Albirex Niigata
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC
| Handicap | Fagiano Okayama FC covers | Push | Albirex Niigata covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 22% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.