FK Orenburg vs RFK Akhmat Grozny, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2025-26

FK Orenburg

2 – 2

Full Time

RFK Akhmat Grozny

Fri 22 Aug 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs RFK Akhmat Grozny — RFPL .

FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 games · 37 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Orenburg 16 games · Avg 3.0 goals RFK Akhmat Grozny

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-22 FK Orenburg 2–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2024-12-08 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FK Orenburg 2024-07-28 FK Orenburg 0–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2023-11-26 FK Orenburg 1–1 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2023-08-20 RFK Akhmat Grozny 4–0 FK Orenburg

Recent Form

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Aug	RFK Akhmat Grozny	H	2–2	D
17 Aug	FK Akron Tolyatti	A	2–1	W
10 Aug	FK Krasnodar	H	0–1	L
03 Aug	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	A	2–3	L
27 Jul	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	H	1–1	D
21 Jul	PFC CSKA Moskva	H	0–0	D

RFK Akhmat Grozny

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Aug	FK Orenburg	A	2–2	D
16 Aug	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	H	3–1	W
09 Aug	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	H	1–0	W
03 Aug	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	A	0–1	L
27 Jul	PFC CSKA Moskva	A	1–2	L
20 Jul	FK Rubin Kazan	H	0–2	L

Season Stats

FK Orenburg		RFK Akhmat Grozny
#12	Position	#9
29	Points	37
30	Played	30
7 / 8 / 15	W / D / L	9 / 10 / 11
29	Scored	35
44	Conceded	39
-15	GD	-4
0.97	PPG	1.23
23%	Win %	30%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: FK Orenburg gets underway.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bernard Berisha	2
Evgenii Kharin	2
Odise Roshi	2
Wilker Angel	1
Andres Ponce	1
Gamid Agalarov	1
Wilker Angel	1
Timur Ayupov	1

Head to Head

FK Orenburg Form

2025-08-22 FK Orenburg 2–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny D 2025-08-17 FK Akron Tolyatti 1–2 FK Orenburg W 2025-08-10 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Krasnodar L 2025-08-03 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 3–2 FK Orenburg L 2025-07-27 FK Orenburg 1–1 FK Dinamo Makhachkala D 2025-07-21 FK Orenburg 0–0 PFC CSKA Moskva D

RFK Akhmat Grozny Form

2025-08-22 FK Orenburg 2–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny D 2025-08-16 RFK Akhmat Grozny 3–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara W 2025-08-09 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2025-08-03 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 1–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny L 2025-07-27 PFC CSKA Moskva 2–1 RFK Akhmat Grozny L 2025-07-20 RFK Akhmat Grozny 0–2 FK Rubin Kazan L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.11 FK Orenburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.34 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG

I would bet for: FK Orenburg or RFK Akhmat Grozny 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FK Orenburg33% Draw30% RFK Akhmat Grozny37%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.45

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	70%	30%
± 2.5	44%	56%
± 3.5	24%	76%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw

62%

Draw or RFK Akhmat Grozny

67%

FK Orenburg or RFK Akhmat Grozny

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Orenburg22% Draw49% RFK Akhmat Grozny29%

Actual: FK Orenburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.8%

0 – 0

10.7%

0 – 1

10.4%

1 – 0

8.4%

1 – 2

8.3%

0 – 2

7.5%

2 – 1

6.9%

2 – 0

5.1%

2 – 2

Actual

1 – 3

3.8%

0 – 3

3.3%

3 – 1

2.6%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap	FK Orenburg covers	Push	RFK Akhmat Grozny covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	8%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	17%	71%
-0.5	29%	—	71%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	21%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	12%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.