FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at RZD Arena.
- FK Lokomotiv Moskva 30 games · 53 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug | FK Orenburg | H | 5–1 | W |
| 20 Aug | FK Khimki | A | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Aug | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Aug | FK Krasnodar | A | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Jul | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 0–5 | L |
| 24 Jul | FK Rostov | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 1–5 | L |
| 21 Aug | FK Krasnodar | A | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Aug | FK Torpedo Moskva | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Aug | FK Rostov | A | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Jul | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 1–4 | L |
| 23 Jul | FK Ural | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FK Lokomotiv Moskva | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #12 |
| 53 | Points | 29 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 14 / 11 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 15 |
| 54 | Scored | 29 |
| 39 | Conceded | 44 |
| +15 | GD | -15 |
| 1.77 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 47% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FK Lokomotiv Moskva and FK Orenburg get this one started.
- 5' Argentina international Cesar Florentin has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 8' The Russia Ivan Ignatjev breaks the deadlock on 8 minutes. 1-0!
- 11' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ivan Ignatjev makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 12' A stunning finish from Ivan Ignatjev — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 13' Vladimir Sychevoi doubles the advantage! 3-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 18' FK Lokomotiv Moskva is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 19' What composure from Ivan Ignatjev! The Russia international strokes it home. 4-1.
- 20' What a moment for Ivan Ignatjev! That strike on 20 puts his side firmly in control.
- 25' FK Lokomotiv Moskva started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
- 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 36' Poor challenge from Aliaksandr Paulaviec. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 37' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Aliaksandr Paulaviec.
- 42' The -year-old Batraz Gurtsyev has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 46' The crowd applauds Dmitrii Zhivoglyadov as he leaves the pitch. Konstantin Maradishvili steps in for FK Lokomotiv Moskva.
- 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kiril Pechenin suffering a number of foals already.
- 52' What a strike from Gyrano Kerk! The score is 6-1.
- 53' A stunning finish from Gyrano Kerk — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 58' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 61' Another substitution for FK Lokomotiv Moskva to replace Ivan Ignatjev by Marko Rakonjac on 61 minute.
- 62' It is a substitution in FK Orenburg team. Jimmy Marin is replaced by Batraz Gurtsyev on 62 minute.
- 67' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 72' Dmitrii Barinov has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 3 cards already picked up this season.
- 75' Artem Karpukas makes way for Vadim Rakov at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Lokomotiv Moskva.
- 79' Another change for FK Orenburg made on 79 minute. Stepan Oganesyan leaves to be changed by Mateo Stamatov.
- 82' Dmitrii Barinov was booked on 82.
- 84' Controversy at the stadium! Danila Khotulev argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 87' The whistle greets Vladimir Sychevoi as he departs to be replaced by Diego Acosta.
- The final score is 5-1.
Lineups
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 25
- 16
- 11
- 6
- 71
- 2
-
9
Ivan Ignatjev ↓ Marko Rakonjac 61'
- 4
- 53
-
93
Artem Karpukas ↓ Vadim Rakov 75'
Bench
- 1
-
69
Daniil Kulikov ↑ 75'
-
5
Konstantin Maradishvili ↑ 46'
- 60
- 18
- 75
-
77
Marko Rakonjac ↑ 61'
- 59
-
27
Vadim Rakov ↑ 75'
Coach
Josef Zinnbauer
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Batraz Gurtsyev 62'
- 2
- 22
- 5
- 7
- 4
- 23
- 3
- 1
- 77
- 25
Bench
- 15
-
21
Cesar Florentin ↑ 46'
- 99
- 38
-
11
Mateo Stamatov ↑ 79'
-
19
Aleksandr Ektov ↑ 46'
- 90
-
70
Batraz Gurtsyev ↑ 62'
-
20
Diego Acosta ↑ 87'
Coach
Marcel Licka
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ivan Ignatjev | 5 |
| Aleksey Batrakov | 4 |
| Maksim Glushenkov | 3 |
| Gyrano Kerk | 2 |
| Jefferson Farfan | 2 |
| Saeid Saharkhizan | 2 |
| Dmitri Vorobyov | 1 |
| Artem Kulishev | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Form
2022-08-28
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
5–1
FK Orenburg
W
2022-08-20
FK Khimki
0–3
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
W
2022-08-13
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–1
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
D
2022-08-06
FK Krasnodar
3–0
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
L
2022-07-30
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
5–0
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
L
2022-07-24
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
2–2
FK Rostov
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.66
FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 69% + FK Lokomotiv Moskva to win 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.64
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
FK Lokomotiv Moskva or Draw
87%
Draw or FK Orenburg
32%
FK Lokomotiv Moskva or FK Orenburg
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 0
8%
3 – 1
7.8%
1 – 1
7.6%
1 – 0
6.8%
4 – 0
5.3%
4 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FK Lokomotiv Moskva
| Handicap | FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -2 | 31% | 20% | 49% |
| -1.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| -1 | 51% | 21% | 29% |
| -0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

