Sunday , 16 August 2026

PFC CSKA Moskva vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Sun 4 Aug 2024 · 12:30 UTC VEB Arena 9,959 HT 45' · FT 45'
Tamerlan Musaev 23' 1–0
Igor Diveev 30' 2–0
Ivan Oblyakov 39' 3–1
Igor Diveev 59' 4–1
Khellven 71' 5–1
Moises 26' Y
Y 89' Ivan Basic
Sekou Koita 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

PFC CSKA Moskva vs FK OrenburgRFPL at VEB Arena.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Aug FK Orenburg H 5–1 W
27 Jul FK Nizhny Novgorod A 3–0 W
20 Jul FK Rostov A 0–0 D
25 May FK Ural H 2–0 W
20 May FK Nizhny Novgorod A 6–2 W
11 May FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Aug PFC CSKA Moskva A 1–5 L
28 Jul RFK Akhmat Grozny H 0–0 D
21 Jul FK Spartak Moskva H 2–0 W
25 May FK Spartak Moskva H 0–0 D
19 May FK Ural A 3–3 D
12 May FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 0–2 L

Season Stats

PFC CSKA Moskva FK Orenburg
#5 Position #12
51 Points 29
30 Played 30
15 / 6 / 9 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 15
44 Scored 29
33 Conceded 44
+11 GD -15
1.70 PPG 0.97
50% Win % 23%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

PFC CSKA Moskva are 5th (51 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at VEB Arena!
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Danil Krugovoy made 394 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' FK Orenburg have won 207 goals from 342 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both PFC CSKA Moskva and FK Orenburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 20' It looks surprising PFC CSKA Moskva does not make any changes. Ivan Oblyakov has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 23' GOAL! Tamerlan Musaev scores on 23. Assisted by Danil Krugovoy
  • 25' It’s gonna be a card for Maksim Sidorov.
  • 26' PFC CSKA Moskva player sees a card in front of him.
  • 30' The deadlock is broken! Igor Diveev gets on the scoresheet on 30 minutes.
  • 31' A stunning finish from Dmitrii Rybchinskii — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 36' The 23-year-old Yaroslav Mikhailov has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 39' Ivan Oblyakov has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 39 minutes.
  • 44' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Orenburg that had 342 games and scored 207 goals.
  • 49' Cesar Florentin has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 170 appearances.
  • 54' It is a cagey affair so far. PFC CSKA Moskva in their 3-4-3 trying to find a way past FK Orenburg's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 59' GOAL! Igor Diveev scores on 59.
  • 64' Over 64 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 66' The supporters are chanting for Stepan Oganesyan. He replaces Dmitrii Rybchinskii on 66 minute.
  • 67' Time for substitution for PFC CSKA Moskva. Abbosbek Fayzullaev is replaced by Sekou Koita.
  • 71' Khellven doubles the advantage! 5-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 76' FK Orenburg are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 79' Time for substitution for PFC CSKA Moskva. Moises is replaced by Matvey Lukin.
  • 84' FK Orenburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 84.
  • 86' Fresh legs for PFC CSKA Moskva! Kirill Glebov comes on to replace Ivan Oblyakov.
  • 89' Poor challenge from Ivan Basic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Sekou Koita is booked for PFC CSKA Moskva — card on 90.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 5-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.72 PFC CSKA Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + PFC CSKA Moskva to win 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFC CSKA Moskva70% Draw18% FK Orenburg12%
Actual: PFC CSKA Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

PFC CSKA Moskva or Draw
87%
Draw or FK Orenburg
30%
PFC CSKA Moskva or FK Orenburg
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PFC CSKA Moskva53% Draw35% FK Orenburg12%
Actual: PFC CSKA Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.8%
3 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7.8%
1 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
6.4%
4 – 1
5.3%
4 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 0
3.6%
1 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — PFC CSKA Moskva

Handicap PFC CSKA Moskva covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 31% 69%
-2 31% 20% 48%
-1.5 52% 48%
-1 52% 20% 28%
-0.5 72% 28%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 7% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

PFC CSKA Moskva keeps clean sheet
37%
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.