PFC CSKA Moskva vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
PFC CSKA Moskva vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at VEB Arena.
- PFC CSKA Moskva 30 games · 51 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug | FK Orenburg | H | 5–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | FK Rostov | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | FK Ural | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 May | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 6–2 | W |
| 11 May | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–5 | L |
| 28 Jul | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Jul | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 May | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 May | FK Ural | A | 3–3 | D |
| 12 May | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| PFC CSKA Moskva | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #12 |
| 51 | Points | 29 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 15 / 6 / 9 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 15 |
| 44 | Scored | 29 |
| 33 | Conceded | 44 |
| +11 | GD | -15 |
| 1.70 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 50% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
PFC CSKA Moskva are 5th (51 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at VEB Arena!
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Danil Krugovoy made 394 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' FK Orenburg have won 207 goals from 342 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both PFC CSKA Moskva and FK Orenburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 20' It looks surprising PFC CSKA Moskva does not make any changes. Ivan Oblyakov has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 23' GOAL! Tamerlan Musaev scores on 23. Assisted by Danil Krugovoy
- 25' It’s gonna be a card for Maksim Sidorov.
- 26' PFC CSKA Moskva player sees a card in front of him.
- 30' The deadlock is broken! Igor Diveev gets on the scoresheet on 30 minutes.
- 31' A stunning finish from Dmitrii Rybchinskii — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 36' The 23-year-old Yaroslav Mikhailov has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 39' Ivan Oblyakov has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 39 minutes.
- 44' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Orenburg that had 342 games and scored 207 goals.
- 49' Cesar Florentin has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 170 appearances.
- 54' It is a cagey affair so far. PFC CSKA Moskva in their 3-4-3 trying to find a way past FK Orenburg's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 59' GOAL! Igor Diveev scores on 59.
- 64' Over 64 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 66' The supporters are chanting for Stepan Oganesyan. He replaces Dmitrii Rybchinskii on 66 minute.
- 67' Time for substitution for PFC CSKA Moskva. Abbosbek Fayzullaev is replaced by Sekou Koita.
- 71' Khellven doubles the advantage! 5-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 76' FK Orenburg are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 79' Time for substitution for PFC CSKA Moskva. Moises is replaced by Matvey Lukin.
- 84' FK Orenburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 84.
- 86' Fresh legs for PFC CSKA Moskva! Kirill Glebov comes on to replace Ivan Oblyakov.
- 89' Poor challenge from Ivan Basic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Sekou Koita is booked for PFC CSKA Moskva — card on 90.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 5-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
PFC CSKA Moskva Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
-
27
Moises ↓ Matvey Lukin 79'
- 19
- 35
-
10
Ivan Oblyakov ↓ Kirill Glebov 86'
- 78
- 5
- 13
-
3
Danil Krugovoy ↓ Milan Gajic 79'
- 4
- 21
- 11
Bench
-
22
Milan Gajic ↑ 79'
-
25
Kristijan Bistrovic ↑ 67'
- 38
- 77
-
20
Sekou Koita ↑ 67'
- 49
- 6
- 45
-
90
Matvey Lukin ↑ 79'
-
17
Kirill Glebov ↑ 86'
- 31
- 7
Coach
Marko Nikolic
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 80
- 20
- 21
- 99
- 87
- 22
-
14
Yaroslav Mikhailov ↓ Ivan Basic 67'
- 12
- 6
- 9
- 81
Bench
- 31
- 13
-
8
Ivan Basic ↑ 67'
-
11
Stepan Oganesyan ↑ 66'
- 4
- 24
- 35
- 61
- 38
-
96
Aleksey Baranovsky ↑ 66'
- 1
-
10
Saeid Saharkhizan ↑ 66'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Fedor Chalov | 4 |
| Igor Diveev | 4 |
| Ivan Oblyakov | 4 |
| Nikola Vlasic | 2 |
| Tamerlan Musaev | 2 |
| Vladimir Sychevoi | 2 |
| Adessoye Oyewole | 1 |
| Moises | 1 |
Head to Head
PFC CSKA Moskva Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.72
PFC CSKA Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 70% + PFC CSKA Moskva to win 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PFC CSKA Moskva win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.73
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
PFC CSKA Moskva or Draw
87%
Draw or FK Orenburg
30%
PFC CSKA Moskva or FK Orenburg
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: PFC CSKA Moskva win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
2 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.8%
3 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7.8%
1 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
6.4%
4 – 1
5.3%
4 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 0
3.6%
1 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — PFC CSKA Moskva
| Handicap | PFC CSKA Moskva covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -2 | 31% | 20% | 48% |
| -1.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| -1 | 52% | 20% | 28% |
| -0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
PFC CSKA Moskva keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

