FK Orenburg vs FK Fakel Voronezh, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Fakel Voronezh — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 14 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
- FK Fakel Voronezh 14 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | FK Spartak Moskva | 14 | 29 |
| 4 | FK Krasnodar | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | FK Rostov | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 14 | 18 |
| 9 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 14 | 17 |
| 10 | FK Orenburg | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 14 | 16 |
| 12 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 14 | 12 |
| 14 | FK Rodina Moskva | 14 | 12 |
| 15 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 14 | 11 |
| 16 | FK Fakel Voronezh | 14 | 6 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | FK Fakel Voronezh | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | FK Rostov | H | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Mar | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Nov | FK Akron Tolyatti | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Nov | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | FK Orenburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Mar | FK Khimki | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Dec | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Dec | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | A | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Nov | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Fakel Voronezh | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #16 |
| 17 | Points | 6 |
| 14 | Played | 14 |
| 3 / 8 / 3 | W / D / L | 1 / 3 / 10 |
| 14 | Scored | 9 |
| 14 | Conceded | 23 |
| +0 | GD | -14 |
| 1.21 | PPG | 0.43 |
| 21% | Win % | 7% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
44%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
0%
Clean Sheets
FK Fakel Voronezh this season
FK Fakel Voronezh this season
FK Orenburg are 10th (17 pts). FK Fakel Voronezh are 16th (6 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Fakel Voronezh
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/4
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FK Orenburg
| Jordhy Thompson | 3 G | 3 A |
| Gedeon Guzina | 3 G | 1 A |
| Ruslan Kul | 3 G | 1 A |
| Andrey Kasadzhikov | 1 G | 1 A |
FK Fakel Voronezh
| Vyacheslav Yakimov | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' FK Orenburg have kicked off against FK Fakel Voronezh. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 15' Aleksandr Lomovitskiy needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 21' Ivan Basic has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 21.
- 26' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 31' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Fakel Voronezh that had 97 games and scored 78 goals.
- 36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ilnur Alshin made 59 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Orenburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 44' FK Fakel Voronezh receives a card for a hard tackle on 44.
- 46' FK Fakel Voronezh make a change. Andrey Ivlev trudges off to be replaced by Dylan Mertens on 46 minutes.
- 51' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 53' FK Fakel Voronezh player sees a card in front of him.
- 58' Another substitution for FK Fakel Voronezh to replace Nichita Motpan by Mohamed Brahimi on 58 minute.
- 60' The crowd applauds Ivan Basic as he leaves the pitch. Maksim Savelyev steps in for FK Orenburg.
- 65' Costa Rica international Jimmy Marin has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 67' FK Fakel Voronezh receives a card for a hard tackle on 67.
- 69' Aleksey Tataev is having his name booked by the referee on 69.
- 74' Feyttullah Gurluk is replacing Saeid Saharkhizan for the FK Orenburg side.
- 79' FK Orenburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Fakel Voronezh backline.
- 83' FK Fakel Voronezh ring the changes. Igor Kalinin has done his job and it is now time for Ilnur Alshin to step up.
- 88' It looks surprising FK Fakel Voronezh does not make any changes. Aleksey Kashtanov has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 89' The referee has no hesitation. Maksim Savelyev is booked for FK Orenburg — card on 89.
- 90' Mikhail Shchetinin is ready to make an impact after coming on for Aleksandr Lomovitskiy at the 90 minute mark.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for FK Orenburg and FK Fakel Voronezh (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 80
- 5
- 87
-
8
Ivan Basic ↓ Maksim Savelyev 60'
- 14
- 35
- 9
- 81
- 38
- 1
- 10
Bench
- 31
- 20
- 11
- 4
- 24
-
18
Aleksandr Kovalenko ↑ 90'
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 74'
- 61
- 59
-
90
Maksim Savelyev ↑ 60'
- 50
Coach
Vladimir Sliskovic
FK Fakel Voronezh Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 72
- 31
-
13
Igor Kalinin ↓ Ilnur Alshin 83'
- 77
- 9
- 33
- 11
- 15
- 47
-
64
Andrey Ivlev ↓ Dylan Mertens 46'
- 4
Bench
-
10
Ilnur Alshin ↑ 83'
- 22
- 71
-
23
Vyacheslav Yakimov ↑ 58'
- 92
-
7
Mohamed Brahimi ↑ 58'
- 1
-
21
Mikhail Shchetinin ↑ 90'
- 17
-
6
Dylan Mertens ↑ 46'
- 19
Coach
Dmitry Pyatibratov
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jimmy Marin | 3 |
| Braian Mansilla | 2 |
| Cesar Florentin | 2 |
| Nichita Motpan | 1 |
| Nikolay Giorgobiani | 1 |
| Maksim Maksimov | 1 |
| Kirill Kaplenko | 1 |
| Aleksandr Ektov | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Fakel Voronezh Form
2025-03-15
FK Orenburg
1–0
FK Fakel Voronezh
L
2025-03-08
FK Fakel Voronezh
0–2
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
L
2025-03-02
FK Khimki
1–0
FK Fakel Voronezh
L
2024-12-08
FK Fakel Voronezh
0–1
PFC CSKA Moskva
L
2024-12-01
FK Dinamo Makhachkala
0–0
FK Fakel Voronezh
D
2024-11-24
FK Fakel Voronezh
1–1
FK Dinamo Moskva
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.15
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.54
FK Fakel Voronezh xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 76% + Under — clean sheet likely 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Orenburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.69
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 1.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 2.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 3.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
| ± 4.5 | 3% |
|
97% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
82%
Draw or FK Fakel Voronezh
50%
FK Orenburg or FK Fakel Voronezh
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
21%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 0
11.6%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
4.4%
1 – 2
3%
3 – 1
2.6%
0 – 2
2.4%
2 – 2
1.9%
4 – 0
1.3%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Fakel Voronezh covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 27% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 12% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
59%
✓
FK Fakel Voronezh keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

