FK Orenburg vs FK Fakel Voronezh, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Fakel Voronezh — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 9 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- FK Fakel Voronezh 9 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Krasnodar | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 9 | 18 |
| 6 | FK Rubin Kazan | 9 | 12 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 9 | 12 |
| 8 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 9 | 11 |
| 10 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | FK Orenburg | 9 | 9 |
| 12 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 9 | 8 |
| 13 | FK Rostov | 9 | 8 |
| 14 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | FK Rodina Moskva | 9 | 5 |
| 16 | FK Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | FK Fakel Voronezh | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | FK Rostov | H | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Mar | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Nov | FK Akron Tolyatti | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Nov | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | FK Orenburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Mar | FK Khimki | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Dec | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Dec | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | A | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Nov | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Fakel Voronezh | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #16 |
| 9 | Points | 3 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 1 / 6 / 2 | W / D / L | 0 / 3 / 6 |
| 7 | Scored | 6 |
| 10 | Conceded | 13 |
| -3 | GD | -7 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 0.33 |
| 11% | Win % | 0% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
0%
Clean Sheets
FK Fakel Voronezh this season
FK Fakel Voronezh this season
FK Orenburg are 11th (9 pts). FK Fakel Voronezh are 16th (3 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Fakel Voronezh
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FK Orenburg
| Ruslan Kul | 3 G | |
| Andrey Kasadzhikov | 1 G | 1 A |
FK Fakel Voronezh
| Vyacheslav Yakimov | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FK Orenburg and FK Fakel Voronezh is underway.
- 5' FK Fakel Voronezh come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 21' A moment of madness from Ivan Basic on 21 minutes earns him a card. FK Orenburg will be frustrated.
- 26' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 31' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Saeid Saharkhizan made 346 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 36' FK Fakel Voronezh fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 41' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 44' Poor challenge from Andrey Ivlev. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 46' The FK Fakel Voronezh bench stirs into life. Andrey Ivlev is withdrawn and Dylan Mertens gets his opportunity.
- 51' The travelling FK Fakel Voronezh supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 53' That is a card for FK Fakel Voronezh. Dylan Mertens will be fuming at that decision.
- 58' The whistle greets Nichita Motpan as he departs to be replaced by Mohamed Brahimi.
- 60' Ivan Basic makes way for Maksim Savelyev at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Orenburg.
- 65' Igor Kalinin is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Fakel Voronezh so far.
- 67' The referee has no hesitation. Irakli Kvekveskiri is booked for FK Fakel Voronezh — card on 67.
- 69' A moment of madness from Aleksey Tataev on 69 minutes earns him a card. FK Orenburg will be frustrated.
- 74' A change in the FK Orenburg ranks — Saeid Saharkhizan exits the field as Feyttullah Gurluk enters on 74.
- 79' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Orenburg that had 346 games and scored 210 goals.
- 83' FK Fakel Voronezh make a change. Igor Kalinin trudges off to be replaced by Ilnur Alshin on 83 minutes.
- 88' Vladimir Ilyin is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Orenburg tonight.
- 89' FK Orenburg player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Mikhail Shchetinin. He replaces Aleksandr Lomovitskiy on 90 minute.
- It finishes all square. FK Orenburg and FK Fakel Voronezh share the spoils 1-0.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 80
- 5
- 87
-
8
Ivan Basic ↓ Maksim Savelyev 60'
- 14
- 35
- 9
- 81
- 38
- 1
- 10
Bench
- 31
- 20
- 11
- 4
- 24
-
18
Aleksandr Kovalenko ↑ 90'
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 74'
- 61
- 59
-
90
Maksim Savelyev ↑ 60'
- 50
Coach
Vladimir Sliskovic
FK Fakel Voronezh Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 72
- 31
-
13
Igor Kalinin ↓ Ilnur Alshin 83'
- 77
- 9
- 33
- 11
- 15
- 47
-
64
Andrey Ivlev ↓ Dylan Mertens 46'
- 4
Bench
-
10
Ilnur Alshin ↑ 83'
- 22
- 71
-
23
Vyacheslav Yakimov ↑ 58'
- 92
-
7
Mohamed Brahimi ↑ 58'
- 1
-
21
Mikhail Shchetinin ↑ 90'
- 17
-
6
Dylan Mertens ↑ 46'
- 19
Coach
Dmitry Pyatibratov
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jimmy Marin | 3 |
| Braian Mansilla | 2 |
| Cesar Florentin | 2 |
| Dmitry Vorobyev | 1 |
| Ilnur Alshin | 1 |
| Nichita Motpan | 1 |
| Nikolay Giorgobiani | 1 |
| Maksim Maksimov | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Fakel Voronezh Form
2025-03-15
FK Orenburg
1–0
FK Fakel Voronezh
L
2025-03-08
FK Fakel Voronezh
0–2
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
L
2025-03-02
FK Khimki
1–0
FK Fakel Voronezh
L
2024-12-08
FK Fakel Voronezh
0–1
PFC CSKA Moskva
L
2024-12-01
FK Dinamo Makhachkala
0–0
FK Fakel Voronezh
D
2024-11-24
FK Fakel Voronezh
1–1
FK Dinamo Moskva
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.92
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57
FK Fakel Voronezh xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 81% + FK Orenburg or Draw 79%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Orenburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.49
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 1.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 2.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 3.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
| ± 4.5 | 2% |
|
98% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
79%
Draw or FK Fakel Voronezh
56%
FK Orenburg or FK Fakel Voronezh
65%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
25.2%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
11.2%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
5.5%
1 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 0
2.7%
3 – 1
1.8%
2 – 2
1.7%
1 – 3
0.6%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Fakel Voronezh covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 11% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 25% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 15% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
57%
✓
FK Fakel Voronezh keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

