Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FK Orenburg vs FK Fakel Voronezh, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 09:00 UTC Stadion Gazovik 2,731 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sergey Bozhin og 90+4' 1–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar FK Fakel Voronezh H 1–0 W
08 Mar FK Rostov H 1–2 L
02 Mar FK Spartak Moskva A 0–2 L
08 Dec RFK Akhmat Grozny A 0–1 L
30 Nov FK Akron Tolyatti A 0–1 L
23 Nov FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar FK Orenburg A 0–1 L
08 Mar FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 0–2 L
02 Mar FK Khimki A 0–1 L
08 Dec PFC CSKA Moskva H 0–1 L
01 Dec FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 0–0 D
24 Nov FK Dinamo Moskva H 1–1 D

Season Stats

FK Orenburg FK Fakel Voronezh
#11 Position #16
9 Points 3
9 Played 9
1 / 6 / 2 W / D / L 0 / 3 / 6
7 Scored 6
10 Conceded 13
-3 GD -7
1.00 PPG 0.33
11% Win % 0%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
0% Clean Sheets
FK Fakel Voronezh this season

FK Orenburg are 11th (9 pts). FK Fakel Voronezh are 16th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Fakel Voronezh
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Orenburg
Ruslan Kul 3 G
Andrey Kasadzhikov 1 G 1 A
FK Fakel Voronezh
Vyacheslav Yakimov 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FK Orenburg and FK Fakel Voronezh is underway.
  • 5' FK Fakel Voronezh come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 21' A moment of madness from Ivan Basic on 21 minutes earns him a card. FK Orenburg will be frustrated.
  • 26' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 31' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Saeid Saharkhizan made 346 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 36' FK Fakel Voronezh fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 41' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 44' Poor challenge from Andrey Ivlev. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 46' The FK Fakel Voronezh bench stirs into life. Andrey Ivlev is withdrawn and Dylan Mertens gets his opportunity.
  • 51' The travelling FK Fakel Voronezh supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 53' That is a card for FK Fakel Voronezh. Dylan Mertens will be fuming at that decision.
  • 58' The whistle greets Nichita Motpan as he departs to be replaced by Mohamed Brahimi.
  • 60' Ivan Basic makes way for Maksim Savelyev at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Orenburg.
  • 65' Igor Kalinin is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Fakel Voronezh so far.
  • 67' The referee has no hesitation. Irakli Kvekveskiri is booked for FK Fakel Voronezh — card on 67.
  • 69' A moment of madness from Aleksey Tataev on 69 minutes earns him a card. FK Orenburg will be frustrated.
  • 74' A change in the FK Orenburg ranks — Saeid Saharkhizan exits the field as Feyttullah Gurluk enters on 74.
  • 79' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Orenburg that had 346 games and scored 210 goals.
  • 83' FK Fakel Voronezh make a change. Igor Kalinin trudges off to be replaced by Ilnur Alshin on 83 minutes.
  • 88' Vladimir Ilyin is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Orenburg tonight.
  • 89' FK Orenburg player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Mikhail Shchetinin. He replaces Aleksandr Lomovitskiy on 90 minute.
  • It finishes all square. FK Orenburg and FK Fakel Voronezh share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.92 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57 FK Fakel Voronezh xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 81% + FK Orenburg or Draw 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg44% Draw35% FK Fakel Voronezh21%
Actual: FK Orenburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes28% 0% No72%
Avg goals/match: 1.49
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 75%
25%
± 1.5 44%
56%
± 2.5 19%
81%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
79%
Draw or FK Fakel Voronezh
56%
FK Orenburg or FK Fakel Voronezh
65%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg25% Draw62% FK Fakel Voronezh13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
25.2%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
11.2%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
5.5%
1 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 0
2.7%
3 – 1
1.8%
2 – 2
1.7%
1 – 3
0.6%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push FK Fakel Voronezh covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 25% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 15% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
57% ✓
FK Fakel Voronezh keeps clean sheet
40% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.