Sunday , 16 August 2026

FK Orenburg vs FK Fakel Voronezh, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
FK Orenburg
1 – 0
Full Time
FK Fakel Voronezh
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 09:00 UTC Stadion Gazovik 2,731 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sergey Bozhin og 90+4' 1–0
Ivan Basic 21' Y
Y 44' Andrey Ivlev
R 53' Dylan Mertens
Y 67' Irakli Kvekveskiri
Aleksey Tataev 69' Y
Maksim Savelyev 89' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Fakel Voronezh — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 30 68
2 FK Krasnodar 30 66
3 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 30 53
4 FK Spartak Moskva 30 52
5 PFC CSKA Moskva 30 51
6 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 46
7 FK Dinamo Moskva 30 45
8 FK Rubin Kazan 30 43
9 RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 37
10 FK Rostov 30 33
11 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 30 32
12 FK Orenburg 30 29
13 FK Akron Tolyatti 30 27
14 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 30 26
15 FK Nizhny Novgorod 30 23
16 PFK Sochi 30 22

Head-to-Head

3
1
2
FK Orenburg 6 games · Avg 2.3 goals FK Fakel Voronezh
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-15 FK Orenburg 1–0 FK Fakel Voronezh 2024-08-24 FK Fakel Voronezh 1–0 FK Orenburg 2024-03-31 FK Fakel Voronezh 0–0 FK Orenburg 2023-10-21 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Fakel Voronezh 2023-04-22 FK Fakel Voronezh 1–3 FK Orenburg

Recent Form

FK Orenburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar FK Fakel Voronezh H 1–0 W
08 Mar FK Rostov H 1–2 L
02 Mar FK Spartak Moskva A 0–2 L
08 Dec RFK Akhmat Grozny A 0–1 L
30 Nov FK Akron Tolyatti A 0–1 L
23 Nov FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 0–1 L
FK Fakel Voronezh
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar FK Orenburg A 0–1 L
08 Mar FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 0–2 L
02 Mar FK Khimki A 0–1 L
08 Dec PFC CSKA Moskva H 0–1 L
01 Dec FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 0–0 D
24 Nov FK Dinamo Moskva H 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Stadion Gazovik. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' FK Orenburg currently sit 16 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' Mohamed Brahimi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Fakel Voronezh tonight.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' FK Orenburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Fakel Voronezh backline.
  • 21' Ivan Basic catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 21.
  • 26' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FK Orenburg and FK Fakel Voronezh are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 31' Kazimcan Karatas has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 36' Ivan Basic is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Orenburg so far.
  • 41' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 44' The referee shows FK Fakel Voronezh player a card on 44.
  • 46' FK Fakel Voronezh manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dylan Mertens is hanging Andrey Ivlev on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' FK Orenburg are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against FK Fakel Voronezh's 3-4-3 shape.
  • 53' Controversy at the stadium! Dylan Mertens argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 58' FK Fakel Voronezh manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mohamed Brahimi is hanging Nichita Motpan on the field on 58 minute.
  • 60' The whistle greets Ivan Basic as he departs to be replaced by Maksim Savelyev.
  • 65' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Fakel Voronezh that had 90 games and scored 73 goals.
  • 67' Irakli Kvekveskiri was booked on 67.
  • 69' Aleksey Tataev picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 74' FK Orenburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Feyttullah Gurluk is hanging Saeid Saharkhizan on the field on 74 minute.
  • 79' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 83' It is a substitution in FK Fakel Voronezh team. Igor Kalinin is replaced by Ilnur Alshin on 83 minute.
  • 88' Yaroslav Mikhailov has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 89' Controversy at the stadium! Maksim Savelyev argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' Fresh legs for FK Fakel Voronezh! Mikhail Shchetinin comes on to replace Aleksandr Lomovitskiy.
  • FK Orenburg celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Vladimir Sliskovic

FK Fakel Voronezh Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Dmitry Pyatibratov

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jimmy Marin 3
Cesar Florentin 2
Braian Mansilla 2
Maksim Maksimov 1
Kirill Kaplenko 1
Aleksandr Ektov 1
Khyzyr Appaev 1
Georgy Gongadze 1

Head to Head

2025-03-15 FK Orenburg 1–0 FK Fakel Voronezh 2024-08-24 FK Fakel Voronezh 1–0 FK Orenburg 2024-03-31 FK Fakel Voronezh 0–0 FK Orenburg 2023-10-21 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Fakel Voronezh 2023-04-22 FK Fakel Voronezh 1–3 FK Orenburg

FK Orenburg Form

2025-03-15 FK Orenburg 1–0 FK Fakel Voronezh W 2025-03-08 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Rostov L 2025-03-02 FK Spartak Moskva 2–0 FK Orenburg L 2024-12-08 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FK Orenburg L 2024-11-30 FK Akron Tolyatti 1–0 FK Orenburg L 2024-11-23 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg L

FK Fakel Voronezh Form

2025-03-15 FK Orenburg 1–0 FK Fakel Voronezh L 2025-03-08 FK Fakel Voronezh 0–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg L 2025-03-02 FK Khimki 1–0 FK Fakel Voronezh L 2024-12-08 FK Fakel Voronezh 0–1 PFC CSKA Moskva L 2024-12-01 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 0–0 FK Fakel Voronezh D 2024-11-24 FK Fakel Voronezh 1–1 FK Dinamo Moskva D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.1 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 FK Fakel Voronezh xG
I would bet for: FK Orenburg or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg43% Draw31% FK Fakel Voronezh26%
Actual: FK Orenburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 1.94
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
75%
Draw or FK Fakel Voronezh
57%
FK Orenburg or FK Fakel Voronezh
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg26% Draw55% FK Fakel Voronezh19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.9%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 1
10.7%
2 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
3.1%
3 – 0
3%
3 – 1
2.7%
1 – 3
1.5%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push FK Fakel Voronezh covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 23% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 17% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
FK Fakel Voronezh keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.