Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Fakel Voronezh vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 11:30 UTC Centralniy Profsoyuz Stadion 8,973 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 19' Luciano Gondou
0–2 57' Mateo Cassierra

Overview

Match Preview

FK Fakel Voronezh vs FK Zenit Sankt-PetersburgRFPL at Centralniy Profsoyuz Stadion.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 0–2 L
02 Mar FK Khimki A 0–1 L
08 Dec PFC CSKA Moskva H 0–1 L
01 Dec FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 0–0 D
24 Nov FK Dinamo Moskva H 1–1 D
09 Nov FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar FK Fakel Voronezh A 2–0 W
01 Mar PFC CSKA Moskva H 0–0 D
07 Dec FK Akron Tolyatti H 1–2 L
01 Dec PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 2–3 L
23 Nov FK Orenburg A 1–0 W
10 Nov RFK Akhmat Grozny A 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/
31-45
/1
46-60
5/
61-75
/2
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.8 FK Fakel Voronezh xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Fakel Voronezh23% Draw29% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg48%
Actual: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

FK Fakel Voronezh or Draw
52%
Draw or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
77%
FK Fakel Voronezh or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Fakel Voronezh15% Draw51% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg34%
Actual: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
13.3%
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
4.8%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4%
2 – 2
3.5%
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — FK Fakel Voronezh

Handicap FK Fakel Voronezh covers Push FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 14% 80%
-0.5 20% 80%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 25% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 15% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

FK Fakel Voronezh keeps clean sheet
26%
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.