FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs RFK Akhmat Grozny, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs RFK Akhmat Grozny — RFPL at RZD-Arena.
- FK Lokomotiv Moskva 30 games · 53 pts (2026/27)
- RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Feb | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Dec | FK Krasnodar | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Dec | FK Khimki | H | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Nov | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 2–5 | L |
| 09 Nov | FK Fakel Voronezh | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Dec | FK Orenburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Dec | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Nov | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Nov | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Lokomotiv Moskva | RFK Akhmat Grozny | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #9 |
| 53 | Points | 37 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 14 / 11 / 5 | W / D / L | 9 / 10 / 11 |
| 54 | Scored | 35 |
| 39 | Conceded | 39 |
| +15 | GD | -4 |
| 1.77 | PPG | 1.23 |
| 47% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts). RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' FK Lokomotiv Moskva have kicked off against RFK Akhmat Grozny. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 3' Ismael has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 3.
- 8' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Lokomotiv Moskva must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 13' That is a card for FK Lokomotiv Moskva. Lucas Fasson will be fuming at that decision.
- 16' FK Lokomotiv Moskva is taking the lead after the goal scored by Aleksey Batrakov on 16.
- 21' FK Lokomotiv Moskva are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against RFK Akhmat Grozny's 4-4-2 shape.
- 26' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 26 minutes.
- 31' The travelling RFK Akhmat Grozny supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 36' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 40' Maksim Samorodov has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 40 minutes.
- 43' That looks like a foul for a card for Artiom Timofeev.
- 48' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Lokomotiv Moskva needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 53' FK Lokomotiv Moskva are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RFK Akhmat Grozny backline.
- 57' That looks like a foul for a card for Georgi Melkadze.
- 58' The whistle greets Artiom Timofeev as he departs to be replaced by Vadim Rakov.
- 63' Arsen Adamov has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 64' The FK Lokomotiv Moskva bench stirs into life. Dmitry Barinov is withdrawn and Danila Godyaev gets his opportunity.
- 69' FK Lokomotiv Moskva is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 74' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 76' Another substitution for FK Lokomotiv Moskva to replace Dmitry Vorobyev by Timur Suleimanov on 76 minute.
- 77' Vladislav Kamilov is replacing Daniil Zorin for the RFK Akhmat Grozny side.
- 78' It is a substitution in RFK Akhmat Grozny team. Daniil Utkin is replaced by Evgeny Kharin on 78 minute.
- 81' A change in the RFK Akhmat Grozny ranks — Mohamed Amine Talal exits the field as Mauro Luna Diale enters on 81.
- 86' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 89' Leo Goglichidze has so much to prove this time. He replaces Maksim Samorodov on 89 minute.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 71
- 23
- 10
- 3
- 24
- 77
- 22
-
9
Sergey Pinyaev ↓ Edgar Sevikyan 76'
-
94
Artiom Timofeev ↓ Vadim Rakov 58'
-
6
Dmitry Barinov ↓ Danila Godyaev 64'
- 83
Bench
- 5
-
99
Timur Suleimanov ↑ 76'
- 45
-
8
Vladislav Sarveli ↑ 58'
- 1
-
7
Edgar Sevikyan ↑ 76'
- 85
- 59
-
27
Vadim Rakov ↑ 58'
- 14
-
90
Danila Godyaev ↑ 64'
- 16
Coach
Mikhail Galaktionov
RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 14
- 55
- 88
- 75
-
47
Daniil Utkin ↓ Evgeny Kharin 78'
- 95
- 77
- 4
- 28
- 11
- 20
Bench
- 2
- 40
- 24
-
3
Leo Goglichidze ↑ 89'
-
19
Mauro Luna Diale ↑ 81'
-
18
Vladislav Kamilov ↑ 77'
- 5
- 13
-
59
Evgeny Kharin ↑ 78'
- 1
-
9
Rodrigo Ruiz Diaz ↑ 81'
Coach
Sergey Tashuev
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Anton Miranchuk | 3 |
| Sergey Pinyaev | 2 |
| Gerzino Nyamsi | 2 |
| Daniil Utkin | 2 |
| Aleksey Batrakov | 2 |
| Jan Kuchta | 2 |
| Grzegorz Krychowiak | 2 |
| Mohamed Konate | 2 |
Head to Head
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Form
2025-03-07
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–1
RFK Akhmat Grozny
D
2025-02-28
FK Dinamo Makhachkala
1–1
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
D
2024-12-08
FK Krasnodar
0–0
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
D
2024-12-01
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–3
FK Khimki
L
2024-11-23
FK Spartak Moskva
5–2
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
L
2024-11-09
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
2–1
FK Fakel Voronezh
W
RFK Akhmat Grozny Form
2025-03-07
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–1
RFK Akhmat Grozny
D
2025-03-01
RFK Akhmat Grozny
2–1
FK Rubin Kazan
W
2024-12-08
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–0
FK Orenburg
W
2024-12-02
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–1
FK Dinamo Moskva
D
2024-11-24
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
2–1
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
2024-11-10
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–2
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.91
FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07
RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 56% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
FK Lokomotiv Moskva or Draw
79%
Draw or RFK Akhmat Grozny
45%
FK Lokomotiv Moskva or RFK Akhmat Grozny
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
9%
0 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
5.7%
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
3.3%
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — FK Lokomotiv Moskva
| Handicap | FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers | Push | RFK Akhmat Grozny covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 17% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 23% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

