FK Spartak Moskva vs FK Krasnodar, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Spartak Moskva vs FK Krasnodar — RFPL at Otkrytie Arena.
- FK Spartak Moskva 30 games · 52 pts (2026/27)
- FK Krasnodar 30 games · 66 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | FK Krasnodar | H | 0–3 | L |
| 05 Oct | FK Rostov | H | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Sep | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Sep | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | A | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 3–0 | W |
| 06 Oct | FK Khimki | H | 4–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | FK Akron Tolyatti | A | 5–2 | W |
| 14 Sep | FK Rostov | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FK Spartak Moskva | FK Krasnodar | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #2 |
| 52 | Points | 66 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 15 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 20 / 6 / 4 |
| 47 | Scored | 60 |
| 39 | Conceded | 23 |
| +8 | GD | +37 |
| 1.73 | PPG | 2.20 |
| 50% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Spartak Moskva are 4th (52 pts). FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FK Spartak Moskva launch into their encounter with FK Krasnodar.
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 8' What a strike from Kevin! The score is 0-1.
- 10' That is a card for FK Krasnodar. Kevin will be fuming at that decision.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' Joao Victor has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 25' FK Krasnodar looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Eduard Spertsyan scoring 1 goals.
- 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Stanislav Agkatsev suffering a number of foals already.
- 34' FK Spartak Moskva player sees a card in front of him.
- 39' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 44' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 46' A stunning finish from Joao Victor — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 46' Shamar Nicholson makes way for Theo Bongonda at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Spartak Moskva.
- 51' FK Spartak Moskva are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Krasnodar backline.
- 56' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Spartak Moskva in their 5-3-2 trying to find a way past FK Krasnodar's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 61' FK Spartak Moskva seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 66' The 27-year-old Diego Costa has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 70' Time for substitution for FK Spartak Moskva. Manfred Ugalde is replaced by Willian Jose.
- 73' Another change for FK Krasnodar made on 73 minute. Eduard Spertsyan leaves to be changed by Kevin Castano.
- 78' FK Krasnodar have won 423 goals from 266 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 83' The crowd applauds Ezequiel Barco as he leaves the pitch. Mikhail Ignatov steps in for FK Spartak Moskva.
- 88' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 89' Joao Batxi makes way for Olakunle Olusegun at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Krasnodar.
- 90' Ruslan Litvinov is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- FK Krasnodar celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
FK Spartak Moskva Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
-
8
Marquinhos ↓ Jesus Medina 83'
- 35
-
14
Myenty Abena ↓ Daniil Denisov 46'
- 6
- 98
- 5
- 11
- 18
- 2
-
9
Manfred Ugalde ↓ Willian Jose 70'
- 68
Bench
-
12
Willian Jose ↑ 70'
- 47
- 29
- 82
-
77
Theo Bongonda ↑ 46'
-
19
Jesus Medina ↑ 83'
- 57
-
22
Mikhail Ignatov ↑ 83'
- 25
-
97
Daniil Denisov ↑ 46'
- 28
- 4
Coach
Dejan Stanković
FK Krasnodar Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
9
Jhon Cordoba ↓ Fedor Smolov 89'
- 3
- 15
-
7
Joao Victor ↓ Danila Kozlov 73'
- 53
- 1
- 10
- 4
- 98
-
11
Joao Batxi ↓ Olakunle Olusegun 89'
- 6
Bench
-
19
Fedor Smolov ↑ 89'
- 31
- 20
-
88
Nikita Krivtsov ↑ 83'
-
40
Olakunle Olusegun ↑ 89'
-
8
Danila Kozlov ↑ 73'
- 90
- 13
- 35
-
5
Kevin Castano ↑ 73'
Coach
Murad Musaev
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Eduard Spertsyan | 6 |
| Aleksandr Sobolev | 5 |
| Jordan Larsson | 4 |
| Quincy Promes | 4 |
| Jhon Cordoba | 3 |
| Zelimkhan Bakaev | 2 |
| Shamar Nicholson | 2 |
| Manfred Ugalde | 2 |
Head to Head
FK Spartak Moskva Form
2024-10-19
FK Spartak Moskva
0–3
FK Krasnodar
L
2024-10-05
FK Spartak Moskva
3–0
FK Rostov
W
2024-09-28
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
3–1
FK Spartak Moskva
L
2024-09-22
FK Spartak Moskva
2–2
FK Dinamo Moskva
D
2024-09-15
FK Dinamo Makhachkala
1–1
FK Spartak Moskva
D
2024-08-31
FK Spartak Moskva
1–0
FK Rubin Kazan
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24
FK Spartak Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.15
FK Krasnodar xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Krasnodar win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
FK Spartak Moskva or Draw
49%
Draw or FK Krasnodar
76%
FK Spartak Moskva or FK Krasnodar
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Krasnodar win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.8%
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 3
6.6%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 4
3.6%
1 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — FK Spartak Moskva
| Handicap | FK Spartak Moskva covers | Push | FK Krasnodar covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 12% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +1 | 43% | 21% | 36% |
| +1.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +2 | 64% | 17% | 18% |
| +2.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
Clean Sheet
FK Spartak Moskva keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

