Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Krasnodar vs FK Fakel Voronezh, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Sun 30 Mar 2025 · 11:00 UTC Krasnodar Stadium 27,325 HT 45' · FT 45'
Nikita Krivtsov 53' 1–0
Eduard Spertsyan 66' 2–0
Olakunle Olusegun 69' 3–0
Olakunle Olusegun 74' 4–0
Danila Kozlov 80' 5–0
Lucas Olaza 45' Y
Moses Cobnan 48' Y
Kevin 59' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FK Krasnodar vs FK Fakel VoronezhRFPL at Krasnodar Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar FK Fakel Voronezh H 5–0 W
16 Mar FK Rostov A 1–0 W
07 Mar FK Nizhny Novgorod A 3–0 W
01 Mar PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 1–1 D
08 Dec FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 0–0 D
01 Dec FK Spartak Moskva H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar FK Krasnodar A 0–5 L
15 Mar FK Orenburg A 0–1 L
08 Mar FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 0–2 L
02 Mar FK Khimki A 0–1 L
08 Dec PFC CSKA Moskva H 0–1 L
01 Dec FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 0–0 D

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
FK Krasnodar this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Krasnodar
0-15
1/
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FK Krasnodar is hosting FK Fakel Voronezh for another epic battle.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rayan Senhadji made 328 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 23' It’s a booking for FK Fakel Voronezh player. Mohamed Brahimi gets a card.
  • 28' It looks surprising FK Krasnodar does not make any changes. Andrey Ivlev has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 33' FK Krasnodar started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 33.
  • 38' FK Fakel Voronezh is showing some good football. However, FK Fakel Voronezh are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 43' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nichita Motpan, as he is very good at scoring at Krasnodar Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 45' It’s a booking for FK Krasnodar player. Lucas Olaza gets a card.
  • 48' The referee shows FK Krasnodar player a card on 48.
  • 53' What a strike from Nikita Krivtsov! The score is 1-0.
  • 58' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Fakel Voronezh that had 90 games and scored 73 goals.
  • 59' The referee shows FK Krasnodar player a card on 59.
  • 60' The FK Fakel Voronezh manager makes a substitution. Dylan Mertens departs to be replaced by Aleksey Kashtanov.
  • 63' Eduard Spertsyan is replacing Kevin for the FK Krasnodar side.
  • 66' What a strike from Eduard Spertsyan! The score is 2-0.
  • 68' Another change for FK Krasnodar made on 68 minute. Moses Cobnan leaves to be changed by Fedor Smolov.
  • 69' GOAL! Olakunle Olusegun scores on 69. Assisted by Eduard Spertsyan
  • 70' Time for substitution for FK Fakel Voronezh. Aleksandr Lomovitskiy is replaced by Nikolay Giorgobiani.
  • 74' What a strike from Olakunle Olusegun! The score is 4-0.
  • 79' Danila Kozlov has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nikita Krivtsov on 79 minute.
  • 80' Goal! Danila Kozlov scores his 6 goal in 394 matches.
  • 85' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 90' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • The final score is 5-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.74 FK Krasnodar xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 FK Fakel Voronezh xG
I would bet for: FK Krasnodar to win 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Krasnodar61% Draw24% FK Fakel Voronezh15%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

FK Krasnodar or Draw
85%
Draw or FK Fakel Voronezh
39%
FK Krasnodar or FK Fakel Voronezh
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Krasnodar41% Draw47% FK Fakel Voronezh12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted
5 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
13.3%
2 – 0
12%
1 – 1
11.7%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
3%
4 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — FK Krasnodar

Handicap FK Krasnodar covers Push FK Fakel Voronezh covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 18% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 25% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
47%
FK Fakel Voronezh keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.