FK Krasnodar vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Krasnodar vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara — RFPL at Krasnodar Stadium.
- FK Krasnodar 30 games · 66 pts (2025/26)
- PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 30 games · 32 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Dec | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Dec | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Nov | FK Khimki | A | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Nov | FK Rubin Kazan | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Nov | FK Orenburg | H | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | FK Krasnodar | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Dec | FK Rostov | A | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Dec | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Nov | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Nov | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Nov | FK Akron Tolyatti | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Krasnodar | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #11 |
| 66 | Points | 32 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 20 / 6 / 4 | W / D / L | 8 / 8 / 14 |
| 60 | Scored | 35 |
| 23 | Conceded | 50 |
| +37 | GD | -15 |
| 2.20 | PPG | 1.07 |
| 67% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
FK Krasnodar this season
FK Krasnodar this season
20%
Clean Sheets
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara this season
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara this season
FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts). PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are 11th (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Krasnodar
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. FK Krasnodar get us underway at Krasnodar Stadium.
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 25' FK Krasnodar have won 423 goals from 266 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 30' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Krasnodar is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 40' Roman Ezhov has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 45' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Krasnodar that had 266 games and scored 423 goals.
- 46' PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara is taking the lead after the goal scored by Ivan Oleynikov on 41.
- 48' The Brazil Joao Victor breaks the deadlock on 48 minutes. 1-1!
- 53' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 58' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 63' It looks surprising FK Krasnodar does not make any changes. Igor Dmitriev has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 68' Diego Costa has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
- 71' FK Krasnodar manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Aleksandr Chernikov is hanging Eduard Spertsyan on the field on 71 minute.
- 72' Roman Ezhov is replacing Igor Dmitriev for the PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara side.
- 77' Glenn Bijl needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 81' The FK Krasnodar bench stirs into life. Joao Victor is withdrawn and Moses Cobnan gets his opportunity.
- 86' FK Krasnodar looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 87' Danila Kozlov is replacing Joao Batxi for the FK Krasnodar side.
- 89' Diego Costa has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 89.
- 90' Time for substitution for PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara. Ivan Oleynikov is replaced by Dmitrii Tsypchenko.
- 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
FK Krasnodar Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 31
- 15
-
7
Joao Victor ↓ Moses Cobnan 81'
- 20
- 1
- 10
- 4
-
88
Nikita Krivtsov ↓ Fedor Smolov 87'
-
11
Joao Batxi ↓ Danila Kozlov 87'
- 6
Bench
-
19
Fedor Smolov ↑ 87'
-
53
Aleksandr Chernikov ↑ 71'
- 18
- 40
-
8
Danila Kozlov ↑ 87'
-
90
Moses Cobnan ↑ 81'
- 13
- 5
- 58
- 79
- 28
- 95
Coach
Murad Musaev
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 23
- 95
- 30
- 4
- 13
- 6
- 22
- 9
- 25
-
28
Igor Dmitriev ↓ Roman Ezhov 72'
- 19
Bench
- 24
- 20
- 81
- 18
-
11
Roman Ezhov ↑ 72'
-
7
Dmitrii Tsypchenko ↑ 90'
-
73
Vladislav Shitov ↑ 81'
-
3
Thomas Galdames ↑ 81'
- 39
-
21
Dmitriy Ivanisenya ↑ 90'
- 17
Coach
Igor Osinkin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ari | 3 |
| Jhon Cordoba | 3 |
| Viktor Claesson | 2 |
| Maksim Glushenkov | 2 |
| Vladislav Sarveli | 2 |
| Shapi Suleimanov | 2 |
| Ari | 2 |
| Sergei Volkov | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Krasnodar Form
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Form
2025-03-01
FK Krasnodar
1–1
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
D
2024-12-07
FK Rostov
3–1
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
L
2024-12-01
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
2–3
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
W
2024-11-24
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
2–1
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
2024-11-10
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
1–2
PFC CSKA Moskva
L
2024-11-03
FK Akron Tolyatti
2–0
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.26
FK Krasnodar xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara xG
I would bet for:
FK Krasnodar to win 63% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
FK Krasnodar or Draw
84%
Draw or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
37%
FK Krasnodar or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
8%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
5.9%
4 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
4 – 1
4%
1 – 2
3.7%
0 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FK Krasnodar
| Handicap | FK Krasnodar covers | Push | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 20% | 55% |
| -1.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 23% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
42%
✓
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

