Sunday , 16 August 2026

FK Krasnodar vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 16:30 UTC Krasnodar Stadium 21,735 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 41+5' Ivan Oleynikov
Joao Victor 48' 1–1
Diego Costa 89' Y

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 1–1 D
08 Dec FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 0–0 D
01 Dec FK Spartak Moskva H 0–3 L
23 Nov FK Khimki A 2–2 D
10 Nov FK Rubin Kazan A 1–1 D
03 Nov FK Orenburg H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar FK Krasnodar A 1–1 D
07 Dec FK Rostov A 1–3 L
01 Dec FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 3–2 W
24 Nov RFK Akhmat Grozny H 2–1 W
10 Nov PFC CSKA Moskva H 1–2 L
03 Nov FK Akron Tolyatti A 0–2 L

Season Stats

FK Krasnodar PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
#2 Position #11
66 Points 32
30 Played 30
20 / 6 / 4 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 14
60 Scored 35
23 Conceded 50
+37 GD -15
2.20 PPG 1.07
67% Win % 27%

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts). PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are 11th (32 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! FK Krasnodar welcome PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara for this crunch clash at Krasnodar Stadium.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jhon Cordoba suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' It’s high time Igor Osinkin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' FK Krasnodar has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 20' FK Krasnodar is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Krasnodar and PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FK Krasnodar winning 100% of all matches.
  • 40' FK Krasnodar are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara backline.
  • 45' Kaio Pantaleao is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara so far.
  • 46' PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara is taking the lead after the goal scored by Ivan Oleynikov on 41.
  • 48' The Brazil Joao Victor breaks the deadlock on 48 minutes. 1-1!
  • 53' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 58' The 31-year-old Ivan Sergeev has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 63' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 63 minutes.
  • 68' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 71' FK Krasnodar ring the changes. Eduard Spertsyan has done his job and it is now time for Aleksandr Chernikov to step up.
  • 72' It is a substitution in PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara team. Igor Dmitriev is replaced by Roman Ezhov on 72 minute.
  • 77' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FK Krasnodar side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 81' A change in the FK Krasnodar ranks — Joao Victor exits the field as Moses Cobnan enters on 81.
  • 86' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 87' It is a substitution in FK Krasnodar team. Joao Batxi is replaced by Danila Kozlov on 87 minute.
  • 89' Diego Costa catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 89.
  • 90' Fresh legs for PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara! Dmitrii Tsypchenko comes on to replace Ivan Oleynikov.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.26 FK Krasnodar xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara xG
I would bet for: FK Krasnodar to win 63% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FK Krasnodar63% Draw21% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara16%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

FK Krasnodar or Draw
84%
Draw or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
37%
FK Krasnodar or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Krasnodar48% Draw40% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara12%
Actual: PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
8%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
5.9%
4 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
4 – 1
4%
1 – 2
3.7%
0 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — FK Krasnodar

Handicap FK Krasnodar covers Push PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara covers
-2.5 24% 76%
-2 24% 20% 55%
-1.5 45% 55%
-1 45% 23% 33%
-0.5 67% 33%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
42%
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.